ETF Approval Odds: SOL, DOGE, LTC, and XRP
Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have assigned approval probabilities to potential ETFs for Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), Litecoin (LTC), and XRP:
- Solana ETFs: 70% by 2025
- Dogecoin ETFs: 75%
- XRP ETFs: 65%
- Litecoin ETFs: 90% (highest likelihood)
Why Dogecoin ETFs Have an Edge Over XRP ETFs
Analysts believe Dogecoin has a higher approval chance than XRP due to the SEC's potential classification as a commodity.
XRP ETF Faces Uncertainties
The ongoing Ripple-SEC lawsuit poses the most significant hurdle for XRP ETF approval. The SEC is unlikely to approve an XRP ETF until the legal battle concludes.
Paul Atkins' SEC Nomination and Its Impact
Paul Atkins' nomination as SEC Chairman could delay ETF decisions if confirmed by the Senate. Historical precedents suggest a lengthy confirmation process.
Crypto Market Implications
Upcoming ETF approvals could significantly impact the trajectory of the cryptocurrency market.