Almost $6.3 billion of BTC options are set to expire on April 26, signaling potential downside price volatility that could see Bitcoin fall to the $61,000 mark. Bitcoin and crypto market recovery is expected by traders after the crypto market expiry, likely stopping profit-taking on downside hedges.
Bitcoin Price Recovery After Options Expiry?
Over 96k Bitcoin options of $6.2 billion in notional value are set to expire on Deribit on April 26. The put-call ratio is 0.68, indicating a rise in put options recently as monthly expiry approaches. The max pain point is $61,000, below the current price. The market can expect huge volatility with a pullback in price expected on the expiry day.
Moreover, 990k Ethereum options of notional value $3.1 billion are set to expire, with a put-call ratio of 0.51. The max pain point is $3,100, with the ETH price currently trading above the max pain point at also higher than the current price of $3,141.
Deribit revealed that realized volatility has surged as BTC Volatility Index (DVOL) saw a sharp increase as crypto options expiry comes near.
Options expert Greekslive said low crypto market volume this week pushed Bitcoin and Ethereum prices to trade near support levels. This weakness in the market caused significant declines in implied volatility (IV) across all major terms, with Dvol down as much as 15% since the halving. The lack of volatility in the market led to selling of large numbers of options.