Crypto: The SEC Starts the Countdown for Dogecoin and XRP ETFs

SEC Embraces Crypto Assets, Examining Dogecoin and XRP ETF Applications

With the departure of Gary Gensler, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has shifted its stance on cryptocurrencies, adopting a more conciliatory approach. This shift has paved the way for the SEC to consider crypto ETF applications, including those for Dogecoin and XRP submitted by Grayscale Investments.

SEC Acknowledges Grayscale ETF Applications

Grayscale, the pioneer behind the first-ever Solana ETF, has received official recognition from the SEC for its Dogecoin and XRP ETF applications. This recognition initiates a 240-day administrative review process, with a decision deadline of mid-October.

Significance of SEC's Recognition

The SEC's recognition signifies a departure from its previous stance, when even vague intentions to file crypto ETF applications were met with rejections. This evolution reflects a broader shift within the SEC, which under the influence of the Trump administration, has become more receptive to digital assets.

Bloomberg's Approval Probabilities

Analysts at Bloomberg assign a 65% probability of approval for an XRP ETF and a 75% probability for a Dogecoin ETF before the end of 2025. Litecoin stands out with an estimated approval probability of 90% this year.

Challenges for Dogecoin and XRP ETFs

Dogecoin, often perceived as a memecoin, may benefit from its similarities to Bitcoin, an asset that already has approved ETFs. XRP, on the other hand, faces legal hurdles due to the SEC's ongoing lawsuit against Ripple, alleging XRP's status as a security.

SEC's Move Towards Lenient Crypto Regulation

Under Gary Gensler's leadership, the SEC adopted a hostile stance towards cryptocurrencies. However, with his departure, the agency has signaled a willingness to provide clear regulation and explore the potential benefits of crypto assets.

Outlook for Crypto ETFs

The SEC's recognition of crypto ETF applications marks a significant step towards the potential approval of such products. However, challenges remain, including regulatory uncertainty and the need for further clarification from the SEC regarding assets like XRP and Solana.