Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Recovery Threatened by Potential Death Cross

Dogecoin (DOGE) occupies a precarious position, and any deviation could incur substantial losses for investors. The broader market sentiment is increasingly bearish, posing challenges for DOGE to avert a downturn.

Dogecoin Investors Face Potential Losses

As of this writing, Dogecoin trades above a critical support level, potentially leading to a death cross. The crypto market is cooling down, and the impact is evident across digital assets. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), a momentum indicator that identifies trend changes, hints at this bearishness.

The indicator observes the formation of a potential bearish crossover, with the green bars on the histogram declining. This suggests a waning bullishness despite a brief resurgence of optimism last week.

Typically, investors act as saviors when the market hinders recovery. However, this may not be the case with DOGE, as investors are likely to remain cautious. According to the Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) indicator, approximately 12.48 billion DOGE purchased between $0.13 and $0.15 will become unprofitable if Dogecoin's price falls. This $1.8 billion worth of supply turning loss-bearing could incentivize investors to hold until profitability is restored.

Dogecoin Price Prediction: The Last Line of Defense

Trading at $0.14, Dogecoin's price hovers above a crucial support level that has been tested repeatedly in the past. Breaching this support has historically led to a drawdown to the $0.12 level.

The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) are forming a potential death cross, where the short-term 50-day EMA crosses below the long-term 200-day EMA. This indicates a potential continuation of the downtrend.

Consequently, DOGE could fall to $0.12 support, potentially resulting in $1.8 billion in losses. However, a reversal from the $0.14 support could lead to a recovery beyond $0.15, invalidating the bearish thesis and restoring profitability for the 12.48 billion DOGE.