Last Time This Happened Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Crashed 44%, Analyst Warns

Dogecoin Technical Metrics Signal Caution for Investors

Dogecoin's technical and on-chain metrics raise concerns that investors should not ignore. Based on an analysis by Ali, the MVRV ratio for DOGE has fallen below its 200-day moving average, an event that has historically preceded price crashes of up to 44%.

The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) compares Dogecoin's current market capitalization to its realized capitalization, indicating potential overvaluation or undervaluation. A drop below the 200-day MA creates a "Death Cross," signaling potential price declines.

Historical Precedents Suggest Caution

Past Death Cross events for Dogecoin have coincided with significant price drops:

• In late 2023, a Death Cross led to a 26% decline in DOGE's price.
• In mid-2024, a similar event triggered a 44% price drop.

These historical patterns raise caution, as the current situation aligns with these warning signs.

Declining Whale Activity

Adding to the concern, crypto analyst Ali has observed an 88% decline in whale activity on the Dogecoin network since mid-November. Whales, who hold large amounts of cryptocurrency, often influence market movements. Their reduced activity suggests a lack of confidence in DOGE's short-term prospects.

Implications for Investors

The simultaneous occurrence of these warning signs raises concerns for DOGE holders. History suggests that Dogecoin could experience another price correction in the upcoming weeks or months. The potential magnitude remains uncertain, but historical precedents indicate a possible range of 26% to 44%.

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