The search for cheap cryptocurrencies that might explode in the coming year is gaining momentum. What factors drive this interest, and could this approach prove fruitful?
對未來一年可能爆發式增長的廉價加密貨幣的搜尋勢頭正在增強。哪些因素激發了這種興趣?這種方法能否有成果?
The collapse of several major crypto firms, including FTX, Celsius Digital, BlockFi, and Genesis Global, dampened the appetite for crypto investments in the last couple of years. However, a recent upturn in the crypto market, spearheaded by the impending approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), has reignited interest in digital assets.
包括 FTX、Celsius Digital、BlockFi 和 Genesis Global 在內的幾家主要加密貨幣公司的倒閉削弱了過去幾年對加密貨幣投資的興趣。然而,在現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)即將獲得批准的帶動下,加密貨幣市場最近出現好轉,重新點燃了人們對數位資產的興趣。
However, many would-be investors are not just looking at leading cryptos like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), especially given that their prices may be beyond the reach of many. There’s a growing trend of crypto enthusiasts trying to discover cheap cryptocurrencies, often referred to as ‘penny cryptocurrencies’.
然而,許多潛在投資者不僅僅關注比特幣(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)等領先的加密貨幣,特別是考慮到它們的價格可能超出了許多人的承受範圍。加密貨幣愛好者試圖發現廉價的加密貨幣(通常被稱為「便士加密貨幣」)的趨勢日益明顯。
The allure of such investments lies in their potential for exponential growth. For instance, if a cryptocurrency is priced at $0.01 and it rises to just $1.00, that would represent a 100x return on investment (ROI).
此類投資的吸引力在於其指數成長的潛力。例如,如果加密貨幣的定價為 0.01 美元,而其價格僅為 1.00 美元,則表示 100 倍的投資報酬率 (ROI)。
Of course, it is not an exact science, and given crypto’s inherently volatile nature, finding cheap cryptocurrencies that will explode is an exercise fraught with risks.
當然,這不是一門精確的科學,考慮到加密貨幣固有的波動性,尋找會爆炸的廉價加密貨幣是一項充滿風險的工作。
With that in mind, let’s delve into the factors that surround the desire to find cheap coins and how such an approach could be beneficial to investors, especially with the market showing signs of an upcoming bull run.
考慮到這一點,讓我們深入研究圍繞尋找廉價代幣的願望的因素,以及這種方法如何對投資者有利,特別是在市場顯示出即將到來的牛市跡象的情況下。
Reasons for investing in cheap cryptocurrencies
投資廉價加密貨幣的原因
The main reason for investing in cheap coins is the potential for high returns. As mentioned above, even a small increase in price can lead to substantial profits.
投資廉價硬幣的主要原因是高回報的潛力。如上所述,即使價格小幅上漲也能帶來可觀的利潤。
Such an approach may be particularly appealing to investors with a high tolerance for risk who would be willing to bear the notorious volatility of the digital asset market in exchange for the prospect of substantial monetary gain.
這種方法可能對具有較高風險承受能力的投資者特別有吸引力,他們願意承受數位資產市場臭名昭著的波動性,以換取可觀的貨幣收益。
Another reason for gunning for low-priced cryptocurrencies is that they offer an effective means of portfolio diversification. Apart from allowing investors to spread their funds much wider than they would have if they had put their money in the bigger, more expensive cryptocurrencies, cheap coins have traditionally shown a low correlation to traditional asset classes, such as stocks and bonds.
追逐低價加密貨幣的另一個原因是它們提供了投資組合多元化的有效手段。除了允許投資者比將資金投入更大、更昂貴的加密貨幣時更廣泛地分散資金之外,廉價硬幣傳統上與股票和債券等傳統資產類別的相關性較低。
Analysts attribute this low correlation to the unique factors that influence crypto prices, including technological updates, regulatory news, and market sentiment, which are often distinct from the factors that impact traditional financial markets.
分析師將這種低相關性歸因於影響加密貨幣價格的獨特因素,包括技術更新、監管新聞和市場情緒,這些因素通常與影響傳統金融市場的因素不同。
It makes them potentially excellent tools for spreading risk across different types of investments, a factor that could enhance portfolio performance during unstable market conditions.
這使它們成為在不同類型的投資之間分散風險的潛在優秀工具,這一因素可以在不穩定的市場條件下提高投資組合的表現。
Perceived risks of investing in cheap cryptocurrencies
投資廉價加密貨幣的感知風險
Despite their attractiveness as an investment option, low-cost coins come with several risks and limitations, including the following:
儘管作為投資選擇很有吸引力,但低成本硬幣也存在一些風險和限制,包括以下內容:
Market volatility: Cryptocurrencies, whether cheap or highly priced, are known for their extreme price volatility. The dynamic nature of digital assets often translates into rapid and significant price fluctuations. In the past, we’ve seen coins experience sharp increases, driving investors into a buying frenzy with hopes for substantial returns.
However, we have also seen those soaring prices tumble just as abruptly. Therefore, investors interested in exploring this sector should be aware of these price swings and be ready to face the potential losses they may entail.
市場波動性:加密貨幣,無論是廉價的還是高價的,都以其極端的價格波動而聞名。數位資產的動態特性通常會轉化為快速且顯著的價格波動。過去,我們看到代幣經歷了大幅上漲,促使投資者陷入瘋狂購買,希望獲得豐厚回報。然而,我們也看到那些飆升的價格同樣突然暴跌。因此,有興趣探索該行業的投資者應該意識到這些價格波動,並準備好面對它們可能帶來的潛在損失。
Insufficient regulation: Since coming to the fore, the crypto market has been characterized by a lack of significant regulatory oversight.
監管不足:自出現以來,加密貨幣市場的特徵是缺乏嚴格的監管。
While it has been a vital factor in crypto’s rapid expansion, the absence of stringent regulations also presents potential challenges. It has created fertile ground for market manipulation strategies, including ‘pump and dump’ schemes, where certain groups or individuals artificially inflate a token’s price for personal gain, only to sell off their holdings once they have enticed other investors to buy, resulting in a precipitous price drop.
雖然它是加密貨幣快速擴張的重要因素,但缺乏嚴格的監管也帶來了潛在的挑戰。它為市場操縱策略創造了肥沃的土壤,包括「拉高拋售」計劃,即某些團體或個人為了個人利益而人為抬高代幣的價格,只有在吸引其他投資者購買時才出售其持有的代幣,從而導致價格急劇下跌。
Additionally, a dearth of comprehensive regulations opened the door for unethical practices such as insider trading, which may affect a coin’s stability.
此外,缺乏全面的法規為內線交易等不道德行為打開了大門,這可能會影響代幣的穩定性。
Liquidity risks: This refers to the potential difficulty an investor may face when trying to buy or sell a low-priced digital asset without affecting its price.
流動性風險:這是指投資者在嘗試買入或賣出低價數位資產而不影響其價格時可能面臨的潛在困難。
Cheap cryptocurrencies are often more susceptible to liquidity risk, largely because they may not have as many buyers and sellers, making it harder to trade them without impacting their price.
廉價的加密貨幣通常更容易受到流動性風險的影響,這主要是因為它們可能沒有那麼多的買家和賣家,這使得在不影響其價格的情況下進行交易變得更加困難。
Technological risks: While the blockchain technology underpinning crypto is deemed to be more secure than the traditional financial system, it still has a few issues. These include potential security vulnerabilities that could lead to loss of investment.
技術風險:雖然支撐加密貨幣的區塊鏈技術被認為比傳統金融系統更安全,但它仍然存在一些問題。其中包括可能導致投資損失的潛在安全漏洞。
Current and future market trends
當前和未來的市場趨勢
Ever since its invention, Bitcoin has been the most dominant cryptocurrency in the market. At one point, it made up approximately 90% of the crypto market capitalization.
自發明以來,比特幣一直是市場上最主要的加密貨幣。它一度佔據加密貨幣市值的約 90%。
Currently, its market share stands at 52.3%, but between 2017 and 2022, data shows that the top 100 coins outperformed it by over 75% annually.
目前,其市佔率為 52.3%,但在 2017 年至 2022 年間,數據顯示,前 100 名代幣的表現每年超過其 75% 以上。
While not at Bitcoin’s level, several low-cost cryptocurrencies, including Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Polygon (MATIC), have carved out small niches for themselves in the digital asset market. These altcoins have gained traction, attracting users with lower transaction costs and specialized applications.
雖然還沒有達到比特幣的水平,但包括Ripple (XRP)、Cardano (ADA)、Dogecoin (DOGE) 和Polygon (MATIC) 在內的幾種低成本加密貨幣已經在數位資產市場上為自己開闢了一個小小的利基市場。這些山寨幣已經獲得了關注,以較低的交易成本和專門的應用程式吸引了用戶。
Analysts suggest that as the cryptocurrency market matures, the diversity between altcoins will become a key strength, disrupting the historical correlation often seen between Bitcoin and cheaper cryptocurrencies.
分析師表示,隨著加密貨幣市場的成熟,山寨幣之間的多樣性將成為關鍵優勢,打破比特幣和更便宜的加密貨幣之間常見的歷史相關性。
Furthermore, regulatory developments could significantly impact the crypto market going forward. The US Federal Reserve’s potential pivot to interest rate cuts by mid-2024 could alleviate pressure on the crypto market, making less expensive digital assets more attractive to investors.
此外,監管的發展可能會對加密貨幣市場的未來產生重大影響。聯準會可能在 2024 年中期轉向降息,這可能會緩解加密貨幣市場的壓力,從而使更便宜的數位資產對投資者更具吸引力。
At the same time, recent legal victories for XRP and Grayscale may pave the way for increased institutional investment in small cryptocurrencies.
同時,XRP 和 Grayscale 最近的法律勝利可能為增加小型加密貨幣的機構投資鋪平道路。
However, market watchers have urged investors looking to add cheap cryptocurrencies to their portfolios to factor in prevailing macroeconomic conditions such as the Fed’s interest rate hikes since March 2022, which, while aimed at curbing inflation, have also made riskier assets such as crypto less attractive.
然而,市場觀察家敦促希望在投資組合中添加廉價加密貨幣的投資者考慮當前的宏觀經濟狀況,例如聯準會自2022 年3 月以來的升息,雖然旨在抑制通膨,但也降低了加密貨幣等風險較高資產的吸引力。
You might also like: The best cryptos for investors to keep an eye on in 2024
你可能也喜歡: 2024 年最值得投資人關注的加密貨幣
Identifying promising, cheap cryptocurrencies
識別有前途、廉價的加密貨幣
When it comes to identify the best cheap cryptos that could explode, it’s crucial to conduct thorough market research. Here are key factors to consider:
當要確定可能爆炸的最便宜的加密貨幣時,進行徹底的市場研究至關重要。以下是需要考慮的關鍵因素:
Market capitalization: This refers to the total dollar market value of a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply. It is calculated by multiplying the total supply of coins by the current price of a single unit.
市值:指加密貨幣流通供應的總美元市值。它的計算方法是將代幣的總供應量乘以單一單位的當前價格。
According to experts, higher market caps can indicate stability and less risk. However, lower-cap coins may offer substantial potential for growth.
專家表示,較高的市值可以表明穩定性和風險較小。然而,低市值代幣可能會提供巨大的成長潛力。
User adoption: Investment experts advise those interested in buying cheap cryptocurrencies to look for ones that have wide user adoption or show signs of growing adoption.
用戶採用率:投資專家建議有興趣購買廉價加密貨幣的人尋找具有廣泛用戶採用率或顯示出採用率不斷增長跡象的加密貨幣。
Investors can gauge this by the number of active wallets, transaction volumes, and partnerships with other reputable organizations.
投資者可以透過活躍錢包的數量、交易量以及與其他信譽良好的組織的合作關係來衡量這一點。
Development activity: Cheap coins from projects that have regular updates and active development may make for a better investment. To find out about such activity, investors can check a project’s GitHub repository.
開發活動:來自定期更新和積極開發的專案的廉價代幣可能會帶來更好的投資。要了解此類活動,投資者可以檢查專案的 GitHub 儲存庫。
Community engagement: Regardless of price, potentially successful cryptocurrencies will be backed by vibrant communities. It is advisable to check social media platforms like Reddit, X, and Telegram for active discussions and activities around a coin or project.
社區參與:無論價格如何,潛在成功的加密貨幣都將得到充滿活力的社區的支持。建議查看 Reddit、X 和 Telegram 等社交媒體平台,以了解有關代幣或專案的積極討論和活動。
Case studies
實例探究
XRP (XRP)
瑞波幣 (XRP)
XRP is coming off the back of a famous partial victory against the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which reinstated its standing in the crypto space. The coin is relatively stable and boasts a solid use case, facilitating transactions on the Ripple network.
XRP 在對抗美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 方面取得了著名的部分勝利,恢復了其在加密貨幣領域的地位。該貨幣相對穩定,並擁有可靠的用例,促進了瑞波網路上的交易。
With a market cap of $34 billion, XRP is currently valued at $0.6333 per unit, making it one of the cheapest cryptocurrencies in the top 100 right now.
XRP 的市值為 340 億美元,目前每單位估值為 0.6333 美元,使其成為目前前 100 名中最便宜的加密貨幣之一。
Although there are no guarantees that XRP’s price will spike any time soon, its current level means even small upticks could reflect large profit percentages.
儘管不能保證 XRP 的價格很快就會飆升,但其目前的水平意味著即使小幅上漲也可能反映出很大的利潤百分比。
Cardano (ADA)
卡爾達諾(ADA)
Currently at $0.4095 and with a valuation of $14.4 billion that ranks it at #9 on the crypto market cap list, ADA remains one of the cheapest altcoins, even more so now as the crypto space recovers from the slump triggered by the FTX collapse.
ADA 目前的價格為0.4095 美元,估值為144 億美元,在加密貨幣市值排行榜上排名第9 位,它仍然是最便宜的山寨幣之一,隨著加密貨幣領域從FTX 崩潰引發的低迷中恢復過來,ADA 仍然是最便宜的山寨幣之一。
Cardano’s price was 27.1% higher in December 2023 than it was at the same point in 2022. In the last 30 days, it has risen 25.7%, while also recording 6.7% and 6.3% jumps in the last week and fortnight, respectively.
卡爾達諾的價格在 2023 年 12 月比 2022 年同期上漲了 27.1%。在過去 30 天裡,它上漲了 25.7%,同時在上周和兩週內分別上漲了 6.7% 和 6.3%。
ADA has a vibrant community, a strong development team, and numerous use cases, including staking on the Cardano network and transacting on decentralized apps built on it.
ADA 擁有充滿活力的社群、強大的開發團隊和眾多用例,包括在卡爾達諾網路上進行質押以及在其上構建的去中心化應用程式上進行交易。
Dogecoin (DOGE)
狗狗幣 (DOGE)
DOGE is ranked #10 on the crypto market cap list. It has a fully diluted valuation of $12.8 billion, with each coin priced at $0.0903.
DOGE 在加密貨幣市值排行榜上排名第 10。它的完全攤薄後估值為 128 億美元,每枚代幣售價為 0.0903 美元。
The meme coin is reportedly owned by more than 4 million people, and its presence on social media is not to be sniffed at either. The r/dogecoin subreddit group on Reddit boasts more than 2.4 million members, while the coin’s official X (formely known as Twitter) page has 3.8 million followers, making it one of the largest and most active communities in the crypto space.
據報道,這款迷因幣擁有超過 400 萬人,而且它在社群媒體上的存在也不容小覷。 Reddit 上的 r/dogecoin subreddit 群組擁有超過 240 萬會員,而該幣的官方 X(以前稱為 Twitter)頁面擁有 380 萬粉絲,使其成為加密貨幣領域最大、最活躍的社區之一。
Additionally, Dogecoin has constantly been on the receiving end of good press spearheaded by celebrity endorsements, including X owner Elon Musk, rapper Snoop Dogg, and Kiss frontman Gene Simmons.
此外,狗狗幣一直受到名人代言的好評,包括 X 所有者馬斯克、說唱歌手史努比狗狗和 Kiss 主唱吉恩西蒙斯。
Although the meme coin’s price is currently down 13.1% from last year, it jumped 31.1% in the last 30 days and 11.8% over two weeks.
儘管 meme 幣的價格目前較去年下跌 13.1%,但在過去 30 天內上漲了 31.1%,在兩週內上漲了 11.8%。
Final thoughts
最後的想法
Investing in cheap cryptocurrencies entails a substantial amount of risk; therefore, it is advisable to proceed with caution.
投資廉價的加密貨幣會帶來很大的風險;因此,建議謹慎行事。
Expert advice for building a strategy that protects you while giving you the opportunity to make profits includes diversifying your portfolio across different coins and price ranges, doing your own research, staying informed and up-to-date with news and developments in the crypto market, using trusted platforms, and only investing what you can afford to lose.
制定保護您的策略同時為您提供盈利機會的專家建議包括使您的投資組合在不同的代幣和價格範圍內多樣化、進行自己的研究、隨時了解加密貨幣市場的新聞和發展,使用值得信賴的平台,並且只投資您可以承受損失的部分。
Read more: Crypto analyst remains bullish despite recent pullback
閱讀更多:儘管最近出現回調,加密貨幣分析師仍然看漲