Dogecoin (DOGE), the meme-driven cryptocurrency, remains confined within a narrow trading range of $0.075-$0.088 since the beginning of 2024, leaving investors grappling with its future trajectory. While activity has dwindled compared to early 2023, a significant portion of DOGE addresses remain profitable, fueling cautious optimism.

自2024 年初以來，狗狗幣(DOGE) 是一種由迷因驅動的加密貨幣，其交易區間一直局限於0.075 美元至0.088 美元的狹窄交易區間，這讓投資者苦苦思索其未來的發展軌跡。儘管與 2023 年初相比，活動有所減少，但 DOGE 地址的很大一部分仍然盈利，這引發了謹慎樂觀的情緒。

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Profitable Addresses Offer Glimmer Of Hope

有利可圖的地址帶來了一線希望

Approximately 60% of DOGE addresses, totaling roughly 1.34 million, currently hold their tokens at a profit, implying they bought at lower prices. This data, gathered by blockchain analytics firm IntoTheBlock, suggests underlying bullish sentiment despite declining market engagement.

大約 60% 的 DOGE 地址（總計約 134 萬個）目前持有其代幣並獲利，這意味著他們以較低的價格購買。該數據由區塊鏈分析公司 IntoTheBlock 收集，顯示儘管市場參與度下降，但潛在的看漲情緒。

Technical Support And Resistance Levels

技術支撐位和阻力位

Analysts highlight key support levels around $0.077-$0.079, where a large number of investors entered the market. This zone could act as a buying floor, preventing further price depreciation.

分析師強調 0.077-0.079 美元附近的關鍵支撐位，大量投資者在此進入市場。該區域可以充當買入底線，防止價格進一步貶值。

However, breaching this support could trigger a dip to $0.07, offering potential entry points for bargain-seeking investors. Conversely, overcoming the $0.088 resistance level could pave the way for a price climb towards $0.094.

然而，突破這一支撐位可能會引發跌至 0.07 美元，為尋求逢低買入的投資者提供潛在的切入點。相反，克服 0.088 美元的阻力位可能為價格攀升至 0.094 美元鋪平道路。

BTCUSD trading at $50,093 on the daily chart: TradingView.com

BTCUSD 日線圖交易價格為 50,093 美元：TradingView.com

Dwindling Activity Raises Concerns

活動減少引發擔憂

A closer look at network activity paints a less rosy picture. Both transaction volume and whale activity, signifying large-scale investments, have decreased significantly, indicating reduced trading interest. This lack of enthusiasm could hamper Dogecoin’s upward momentum.

仔細觀察網路活動，我們會發現一幅不太樂觀的景象。代表大規模投資的交易量和鯨魚活動均大幅下降，顯示交易興趣下降。這種缺乏熱情可能會阻礙狗狗幣的上漲勢頭。

#Dogecoin is experiencing a decrease in transaction volume and whale transaction count, which typically indicates lower trading activity. This could be a sign that fewer people are buying, selling, or transferring #DOGE, possibly due to reduced interest or confidence in it! pic.twitter.com/SiKNxx4FhN

#Dogecoin 的交易量和鯨魚交易數量正在減少，這通常表示交易活動減少。這可能表示購買、出售或轉讓#DOGE 的人越來越少，可能是因為對其興趣或信心下降！ pic.twitter.com/SiKNxx4FhN

— Ali (@ali_charts) February 12, 2024 

— 阿里 (@ali_charts) 2024 年 2 月 12 日

Technical analysis reveals a stalemate between the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) acting as support and a falling trendline acting as resistance. This pattern signals a lack of clear direction in the near term. Flipping the trendline to support could be a positive indicator, but achieving that requires renewed buying pressure.

技術分析顯示，作為支撐的 50 天指數移動平均線 (EMA) 和作為阻力的下降趨勢線之間陷入僵局。這種模式顯示短期內缺乏明確的方向。將趨勢線翻轉至支撐位可能是積極的指標，但實現這一目標需要新的購買壓力。

Valentine’s Day Prediction Offers Modest Hope

情人節預測帶來了一絲希望

Crypto exchange Changelly offers a moderate prediction for Valentine’s Day, forecasting a 1.12% price increase to $0.082591. While this could bring temporary cheer to DOGE holders, it also underlines the currency’s sensitivity to market sentiment and overall volatility.

加密貨幣交易所 Changelly 對情人節做出了溫和的預測，預測價格將上漲 1.12% 至 0.082591 美元。雖然這可能會給 DOGE 持有者帶來暫時的歡呼，但它也突顯了該貨幣對市場情緒和整體波動性的敏感性。

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Dogecoin: Long-Term Concerns Linger

狗狗幣：長期擔憂揮之不去

Meanwhile, Dogecoin’s recent fall from the top 10 cryptocurrency rankings raises concerns about its long-term viability. Unlike competitors offering real-world applications, DOGE primarily relies on celebrity endorsements and internet trends. This raises questions about its ability to compete in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.

與此同時，狗狗幣最近從前 10 名加密貨幣排名中跌落，引發了人們對其長期生存能力的擔憂。與提供現實世界應用程式的競爭對手不同，DOGE 主要依賴名人代言和網路趨勢。這引發了人們對其在快速發展的加密貨幣領域中競爭的能力的質疑。

The future of Dogecoin remains uncertain. While a short-term price rise is possible, concerns about its utility and competitive edge compared to other projects persist. Investors should approach DOGE with caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Remember, price predictions are merely educated guesses, and the cryptocurrency market remains inherently unpredictable.

狗狗幣的未來仍然不確定。雖然短期價格上漲是可能的，但與其他項目相比，對其效用和競爭優勢的擔憂仍然存在。投資者應謹慎接觸 DOGE，並在做出任何投資決定之前進行徹底的研究。請記住，價格預測只是有根據的猜測，加密貨幣市場本質上仍然是不可預測的。

Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

精選圖片來自 Pexels，圖表來自 TradingView

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