Trader Warns of Over 65% XRP Price Crash – Here's Why
交易員警告 XRP 價格暴跌超過 65% – 原因如下
Cryptocurrency trader Alan Santana has shared a bearish outlook for XRP on TradingView. His analysis suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend for the popular cryptocurrency.
加密貨幣交易員 Alan Santana 在 TradingView 上分享了 XRP 的看跌前景。他的分析表明,流行的加密貨幣的下跌趨勢可能會持續。
Descending Channel and Bearish Signals
下降通道和看跌訊號
Santana's analysis reveals a descending channel formation for XRP, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. The trader emphasizes the significance of recent bearish price action, with three consecutive bearish closes strengthening the downward momentum. A notable bearish signal emerged in the latest trading session, where the day started with a positive price movement but reversed course and closed red. This pattern, following two red days, confirms bearish sentiment and suggests seller dominance.
Santana 的分析揭示了 XRP 的下降通道形成,其特徵是一系列較低的高點和較低的低點。該交易員強調了近期看跌價格走勢的重要性,連續三次看跌收盤加強了下行勢頭。最新交易時段出現了顯著的看跌訊號,當天價格以積極的走勢開始,但隨後逆轉並以紅色收盤。在兩個紅色交易日之後的這個模式證實了看跌情緒,並表明賣方佔據主導地位。
Key Support Levels and Potential Targets
主要支持水平和潛在目標
Santana's chart identifies several Fibonacci retracement levels that may act as potential support areas for XRP. The 0.382 level at $0.5529 is currently serving as immediate support. Should this level fail to hold, the 0.618 level at $0.4871 becomes a crucial support within the descending channel. In a more bearish scenario, the 0.786 level at $0.4403 could provide stronger support if the price continues to decline. The analyst predicts a possible move towards the lower trendline of the channel, with a target around $0.3823. This target aligns with historical support and the channel's lower boundary.
Santana 的圖表確定了幾個可能作為 XRP 潛在支撐區域的斐波那契回撤水準。 0.5529 美元的 0.382 水平目前是直接支撐。如果該水準未能守住,則 0.4871 美元的 0.618 水準將成為下降通道內的關鍵支撐。在更悲觀的情況下,如果價格繼續下跌,0.786 水平(0.4403 美元)可能會提供更強的支撐。分析師預測可能會向該通道的較低趨勢線移動,目標約為 0.3823 美元。此目標與歷史支撐位和通道下限一致。
Extended Bearish Scenario
擴大看跌情景
Santana's analysis also considers the possibility of an extended bearish scenario. In this case, he outlines deeper support levels that could come into play. The 1.236 Fibonacci extension level at $0.3149 represents the first support in such a scenario. If bearish pressure intensifies further, the 1.382 extension at $0.2743 could be tested, indicating a more severe decline. In an extreme bearish case, Santana even considers the possibility of XRP reaching the 1.618 extension level at $0.2085, which could represent a move of approximately 65.44% from current levels.
桑塔納的分析也考慮了長期看跌情景的可能性。在這種情況下,他概述了可能發揮作用的更深層次的支持水平。 1.236 斐波那契擴展位 0.3149 美元代表了這種情況下的第一個支撐位。如果看跌壓力進一步加劇,則可能會測試 1.382 延伸位 0.2743 美元,這表明下跌更為嚴重。在極端看跌的情況下,Santana 甚至考慮 XRP 達到 1.618 延伸水準 0.2085 美元的可能性,這可能會比目前水準上漲約 65.44%。
Overall Market Conditions
整體市場狀況
Santana acknowledges that broader market conditions will influence XRP's price action. A strong market-wide crash could push prices below predicted levels. However, he remains optimistic about long-term prospects and expects renewed growth after the current bearish wave subsides.
Santana 承認更廣泛的市場狀況將影響 XRP 的價格趨勢。整個市場的劇烈崩盤可能會使價格低於預期水準。不過,他對長期前景仍持樂觀態度,並預計在當前的看跌浪潮消退後將出現新的成長。