,Crypto Analysts Diverge on Dogecoin's Future Price Trajectory

加密货币分析师对狗狗币未来价格轨迹存在分歧

Analyst Skepticism: Pav Hundal

分析师怀疑：Pav Hundal

Pav Hundal, senior analyst at Australian exchange Swyftx, expressed skepticism in an interview about DOGE's potential to reach $1, citing risks associated with its current holder base.

澳大利亚交易所 Swyftx 的高级分析师 Pav Hundal 在接受采访时对 DOGE 达到 1 美元的潜力表示怀疑，理由是与其当前持有者群体相关的风险。

Hundal noted that many Dogecoin holders who bought into the memecoin during the 2021 hype are now underwater due to the price decline. This situation could create a perilous scenario if DOGE's price rallies.

Hundal 指出，许多在 2021 年炒作期间购买了 memecoin 的狗狗币持有者现在由于价格下跌而陷入水下。如果 DOGE 的价格上涨，这种情况可能会造成危险的情况。

Holders seeking to recoup their initial investments may create significant sell pressure as they attempt to break even, potentially inhibiting sustained price appreciation.

寻求收回初始投资的持有人在试图实现收支平衡时可能会产生巨大的抛售压力，从而可能抑制价格的持续升值。

Market Dynamics Impacting DOGE's Price

影响 DOGE 价格的市场动态

As reported by Bitcoinist, the analyst explained that these investors, known as underwater holders, are likely to use any upward price movements in DOGE to sell their holdings.

据 Bitcoinist 报道，分析师解释说，这些被称为“水下持有者”的投资者可能会利用 DOGE 价格的任何上涨来出售其持有的股票。

This sell-off could prevent the crypto from achieving stable and consistent appreciation, as the market would be flooded with supply every time there is a minor price spike.

这种抛售可能会阻止加密货币实现稳定和持续的升值，因为每次价格小幅上涨时，市场都会充斥着供应。

Furthermore, Hundal raised concerns about broader market dynamics affecting Dogecoin. He suggested that the crypto may suffer from a lack of depth in this cycle, referring to declining open interest and a shift in liquidity towards newer memecoins.

此外，洪达尔对影响狗狗币的更广泛的市场动态表示担忧。他认为，加密货币可能会因这一周期缺乏深度而受到影响，指的是未平仓合约的下降和流动性向新模因币的转变。

This trend could lead to reduced market depth and volatility for DOGE, further complicating its path to higher prices.

这种趋势可能会导致 DOGE 的市场深度和波动性降低，使其价格上涨的道路进一步复杂化。

Contrasting Views from Other Analysts

其他分析师的对比观点

In contrast to Hundal's bearish outlook, other analysts maintain a more optimistic view of Dogecoin's prospects. Rekt Capital, a prominent figure in the crypto analysis community, argues that Dogecoin's cyclical nature in the market could see it perform well in the current bull market.

与 Hundal 的悲观前景相反，其他分析师对狗狗币的前景保持更为乐观的看法。加密货币分析界的知名人士 Rekt Capital 认为，狗狗币在市场上的周期性特性可能会使其在当前的牛市中表现良好。

According to him, Dogecoin has historically repeated its performance patterns, indicating potential for future gains.

据他介绍，狗狗币在历史上一直重复着其表现模式，这表明了未来收益的潜力。

Rekt Capital's view is supported by analysis from fellow crypto analyst CobraVanguard, who identified bullish patterns on Dogecoin's trading chart. CobraVanguard highlighted an ascending triangle and bullish structure on the chart, both traditional indicators of potential bullish momentum.

Rekt Capital 的观点得到了加密货币分析师 CobraVanguard 分析的支持，CobraVanguard 发现了狗狗币交易图表上的看涨模式。 CobraVanguard 强调了图表上的上升三角形和看涨结构，这都是潜在看涨势头的传统指标。

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These chart patterns suggest that Dogecoin may be on the verge of a breakout, leading to a substantial price rally.

这些图表模式表明狗狗币可能处于突破边缘，导致价格大幅上涨。

CobraVanguard predicts that the price action could follow an AB=CD pattern, a common technical analysis tool used to forecast price trajectory based on previous movements.

CobraVanguard 预测价格走势可能遵循 AB=CD 模式，这是一种常见的技术分析工具，用于根据之前的走势预测价格轨迹。

Despite the positive technical indicators, broader sentiment around Dogecoin remains mixed. Some analysts express concerns about external market factors, such as the emergence of competing memecoins, which could draw investor interest and capital away from Dogecoin.

尽管技术指标积极，但围绕狗狗币的整体情绪仍然喜忧参半。一些分析师对外部市场因素表示担忧，例如竞争性模因币的出现，这可能会吸引投资者的兴趣和资本远离狗狗币。