Former BitMEX CEO's Bold Predictions for Bitcoin and Dogecoin

BitMEX 前首席执行官对比特币和狗狗币的大胆预测

In an interview with Alpha First, Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, shared his audacious forecasts for Bitcoin and Dogecoin. Analyzing global economic trends and potential policies under Trump's administration, Hayes offered insights on how these factors could impact the crypto market in the next 12 months.

BitMEX 前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 在接受 Alpha First 采访时分享了他对比特币和狗狗币的大胆预测。海耶斯分析了特朗普政府领导下的全球经济趋势和潜在政策，就这些因素在未来 12 个月内如何影响加密货币市场提供了见解。

Bitcoin's Potential Surge Amid Economic Shifts

经济转型期间比特币的潜在飙升

Hayes anticipates that Trump's focus on monetary expansion and increased credit may trigger inflation in the U.S. This scenario, he argues, would favor Bitcoin, which has consistently outperformed traditional banking assets.

海耶斯预计，特朗普对货币扩张和信贷增加的关注可能会引发美国的通货膨胀。他认为，这种情况将有利于比特币，因为比特币的表现一直优于传统银行资产。

Hayes emphasizes that nationalist economic policies are not limited to the U.S., with countries like China and Japan prioritizing internal growth, creating a conducive environment for decentralized assets. As globalization wanes, Hayes predicts Bitcoin's prosperity in this evolving economic landscape.

海耶斯强调，民族主义经济政策并不局限于美国，中国和日本等国家优先考虑内部增长，为去中心化资产创造了有利的环境。随着全球化的减弱，海耶斯预测比特币将在不断变化的经济格局中繁荣。

Diversifying Beyond Bitcoin

超越比特币的多元化

While Bitcoin remains dominant, Hayes stresses the importance of exploring alternative asset classes within the crypto market. He observes that as Bitcoin's value rises, investors often seek diversification in meme coins, NFTs, Layer-1 and Layer-2 solutions, and gaming-related tokens to maximize returns.

尽管比特币仍然占据主导地位，但海耶斯强调了在加密货币市场中探索替代资产类别的重要性。他观察到，随着比特币价值的上涨，投资者往往会寻求 meme 币、NFT、Layer-1 和 Layer-2 解决方案以及游戏相关代币的多元化，以实现回报最大化。

Dogecoin's Potential and Meme Coin Volatility

狗狗币的潜力和 Meme 币的波动性

Hayes acknowledges the excitement surrounding meme coins due to their rapid price fluctuations. He cites Dogecoin's remarkable ability to reach a multi-billion dollar market cap in a matter of days, driven by speculative hype. Hayes envisions Dogecoin potentially reaching $1, but cautions investors about the inherent volatility of such assets.

海耶斯承认，模因币因其价格快速波动而令人兴奋。他指出，在投机炒作的推动下，狗狗币具有在几天之内达到数十亿美元市值的非凡能力。海耶斯预计狗狗币可能会达到 1 美元，但他警告投资者此类资产固有的波动性。

Bold Bitcoin Forecast

大胆的比特币预测

Hayes remains bullish on Bitcoin's long-term trajectory, projecting it to reach $100,000 by the end of 2024 and potentially $250,000 by late 2025. He attributes this growth to rising institutional interest and capital inflow from traditional finance sectors.

海耶斯仍然看好比特币的长期发展轨迹，预计到 2024 年底，比特币价格将达到 10 万美元，到 2025 年底可能达到 25 万美元。他将这种增长归因于机构兴趣的上升和传统金融领域的资本流入。

Advice for Investors

给投资者的建议

Drawing from past market cycles, Hayes urges investors to secure profits during significant gains and avoid emotional decision-making. "There's always time to re-enter the market," he advises, encouraging both new and experienced investors to approach their decisions with caution and strategy.

海耶斯借鉴过去的市场周期，敦促投资者在大幅上涨时确保利润，并避免做出情绪化的决策。他建议：“总有时间重新进入市场”，并鼓励新投资者和经验丰富的投资者谨慎行事并采取策略。

The Bit Journal will continue to monitor Arthur Hayes' predictions and their implications for the crypto market.

《Bit Journal》将继续关注 Arthur Hayes 的预测及其对加密市场的影响。

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