Will Bitcoin and Altcoins See a Sharp Drop on September 4th?

Analyst Miles Deutscher suggests that Bitcoin may be nearing the end of its 'capitulation phase.' However, he believes BTC could trade sideways for a few more weeks before establishing a clear uptrend. He notes that any major pullback during this phase could create an opportunity to accumulate altcoins.

比特币和山寨币会在 9 月 4 日大幅下跌吗？分析师 Miles Deutscher 表示，比特币可能已接近“投降阶段”的结束。然而，他认为比特币可能会持续几周的横盘整理，然后才会形成明显的上升趋势。他指出，这一阶段的任何重大回调都可能创造积累山寨币的机会。

Deutscher analyzes the "Total 3" index, which represents the altcoin market excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum. He identifies a critical breakout level at $560 billion. A drop below this level could indicate a bearish retest, potentially leading to another sharp decline similar to those witnessed on July 4th and August 4th. Such a drop would present a buying opportunity at the bottom of the red zone, historically a favorable area for altcoin purchases.

Deutscher 分析了“Total 3”指数，该指数代表了不包括比特币和以太坊的山寨币市场。他确定了 5600 亿美元的关键突破水平。跌破该水平可能表明看跌重新测试，可能导致类似于 7 月 4 日和 8 月 4 日所见的另一次大幅下跌。这样的下跌将为红色区域底部提供买入机会，该区域历来是山寨币购买的有利区域。

Deutscher discusses specific altcoins:

Deutscher 讨论了具体的山寨币：

• Sui (SUI): Key levels include $0.90 (high timeframe) and the August 4th low. Investors may consider buying after a confirmed uptrend or during liquidation events in the support zone.
• Pepe (PEPE): Similar to Sui, consider waiting for a confirmed uptrend or bidding in the support zone around the August 4th liquidation wick.
• Solana (SOL): Despite negative sentiment, Deutscher sees potential buy zones between $120 and $130, with $90 as a worst-case scenario. He believes Solana remains a strong performer long-term.

Sui (SUI)：关键水平包括 0.90 美元（高点时间范围）和 8 月 4 日低点。投资者可以考虑在确认上涨趋势后或在支撑区域的清算事件期间买入。Pepe (PEPE)：与 Sui 类似，考虑等待确认的上涨趋势或在 8 月 4 日清算烛线附近的支撑区域竞价。Solana (SOL)：尽管市场情绪消极，但多伊彻认为潜在的买入区间在 120 美元至 130 美元之间，最坏的情况是 90 美元。他相信 Solana 长期而言仍然表现强劲。