Bitcoin Still Has Room to Fall, Says Standard Chartered

渣打银行表示，比特币仍有下跌空间

The British firm Standard Chartered has issued a new report stating that the largest digital coin, Bitcoin (BTC), still has room to decline.

英国渣打银行发布了一份新报告，指出最大的数字货币比特币（BTC）仍有下跌空间。

Despite recent price dips, Standard Chartered's analysis suggests that the cryptocurrency could potentially fall as low as $50,000. In a Wednesday note, Geoffrey Kendrick, the report's lead author and digital assets researcher for the British company, attributed the potential decline to a "broader macro backdrop" that has become unfavorable for liquidity-driven assets like crypto.

尽管最近价格下跌，但渣打银行的分析表明，加密货币可能会跌至 50,000 美元。该报告的主要作者、这家英国公司的数字资产研究员杰弗里·肯德里克(Geoffrey Kendrick)在周三的一份报告中，将潜在的下跌归因于“更广泛的宏观背景”，这种背景对加密货币等流动性驱动的资产变得不利。

"The driver seems to be a combination of crypto-specific and broader macro," Kendrick explained, adding that Bitcoin's break below $60,000 has opened a path towards the $50,000-$52,000 range.

Kendrick 解释说：“驱动因素似乎是特定加密货币和更广泛的宏观因素的结合。”他补充说，比特币跌破 60,000 美元已经为迈向 50,000 美元至 52,000 美元区间开辟了道路。

Standard Chartered's Bullish Bitcoin Predictions

渣打银行看涨比特币的预测

Despite the bearish outlook, Standard Chartered has previously made bullish predictions for Bitcoin. In April, the bank projected that the largest digital coin would reach $100,000 by the end of 2024. In July, its analysts revised their forecast to $120,000 within the same timeframe.

尽管前景看跌，渣打银行此前仍对比特币做出了看涨预测。 4 月份，该银行预计到 2024 年底，最大的数字货币将达到 100,000 美元。7 月份，其分析师将同一时间段内的预测修正为 120,000 美元。

Just last month, Standard Chartered predicted that Bitcoin could hit $150,000 per coin by the end of the year.

就在上个月，渣打银行预测，到今年年底，比特币的价格可能会达到每枚 15 万美元。

Market Factors Impacting Bitcoin

影响比特币的市场因素

Bitcoin's recent volatility has been influenced by several factors, including the approval of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in January. This influx of capital from investors previously unexposed to cryptocurrencies initially drove the price higher.

比特币近期的波动受到多种因素的影响，其中包括美国证券交易委员会在一月份批准比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）。此前从未接触过加密货币的投资者的资金涌入最初推高了价格。

However, the Federal Reserve's signaling of prolonged high interest rates has dampened investor appetite for riskier assets like Bitcoin. Consequently, outflows from Bitcoin ETFs have been significant.

然而，美联储长期高利率的信号抑制了投资者对比特币等风险较高资产的兴趣。因此，比特币 ETF 的资金流出量非常大。

Despite reaching a new high in March, Bitcoin's price has since dropped by 13% in seven days, currently standing at $56,900. It has traded well below its 2021 record of $69,044 since April.

尽管比特币在 3 月份创下新高，但此后 7 天内下跌了 13%，目前为 56,900 美元。自 4 月份以来，其交易价格已远低于 2021 年创下的 69,044 美元的纪录。

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