The outlook for a sustainable Bitcoin price bottom remains uncertain, according to new analysis from trader CryptoCon, who spots unresolved technical risks despite nascent stabilization signs.
交易商 CryptoCon 的最新分析显示,比特币价格可持续触底的前景仍不确定,尽管出现了稳定迹象,但技术风险尚未解决。
CryptoCon maintains his long-term bullish outlook anchored around the BitX model, which forecasts parabolic upside cycles based on lengthening time horizons:
CryptoCon 维持以 BitX 模型为基础的长期看涨前景,该模型根据延长的时间范围预测抛物线上行周期:
“BitX shows how I believe #Bitcoin price moves up by multiples of 10X. It remains right on track along the projected curve and says that Bitcoin should be at least 100k for this cycle top.”
“BitX 展示了我对 #Bitcoin 价格上涨 10 倍的看法。它仍然沿着预测曲线走在正确的轨道上,并表示比特币在这个周期的顶部应该至少达到 10 万。”
The model asserts that Bitcoin tops out around $100K this cycle. And fitting historical data patterns, reaching the next magnitude level at $1 million requires four more halving cycles and over 16 years of maturation or by November 28th, 2041.
该模型断言,比特币在本周期的最高价格约为 10 万美元。根据历史数据模式,要达到 100 万美元的下一个量级水平,还需要四个减半周期和超过 16 年的成熟期,即到 2041 年 11 月 28 日。
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Near-Term Shows Indecision
近期表现出犹豫不决
However, while multi-year projections stay ambitious, trader Mags highlights that near-term uncertainty persists given Bitcoin’s trouble building conviction:
然而,尽管多年预测仍然雄心勃勃,但交易员 Mags 强调,鉴于比特币难以建立信念,近期不确定性依然存在:
“Bitcoin about to close another Month in Green Out of the past 13 months, Bitcoin has closed 10 candles in the green and only 3 in red. This clearly indicates that Bitcoin is super stronger and is in a macro uptrend. Any Pullback / Red Months are for buying”
“比特币即将再以绿色收盘一个月。在过去 13 个月中,比特币已经有 10 根蜡烛以绿色收盘,只有 3 根蜡烛以红色收盘。这清楚地表明比特币超级强劲并且处于宏观上升趋势。任何回调/红色月份都适合买入”
So in essence, Bitcoin shows evidence of broader basing and mean reversion cycles, enabling exponentially higher moves over decades. But its struggle to reclaim next resistance means potentially more volatile consolidation lies ahead before the next growth wave towards $100K materializes. Still, data argues the long-term outlook remains decisively bullish.
因此,从本质上讲,比特币显示了更广泛的基础和均值回归周期的证据,从而在几十年内实现了指数级更高的波动。但其收复下一个阻力位的努力意味着,在下一波 10 万美元的增长浪潮实现之前,可能会出现更不稳定的盘整。尽管如此,数据表明长期前景仍然明显乐观。
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The post Bitcoin Could Hit $100,000 This Cycle Top: Analyst Shares Timeline for BTC to Reach $1,000,000 appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.
《比特币本周期可能触及 100,000 美元:分析师分享 BTC 达到 1,000,000 美元的时间表》一文首先出现在 CaptainAltcoin 上。