Dogecoin Price Outlook: Whale Activity Decline and Technical Signals Raise Questions

Dogecoin价格前景：鲸鱼活动下降和技术信号提出问题

Dogecoin (DOGE) has witnessed a significant drop in whale transactions, raising concerns about its price trajectory. While some analysts predict a downturn, others anticipate a potential upswing if crucial support levels are breached.

Dogecoin（Doge）目睹了鲸鱼交易的大幅度下降，引起了人们对其价格轨迹的担忧。虽然一些分析师预测，但其他分析师预计如果违反关键支持水平，可能会有潜在的上升。

Decline in Whale Activity

鲸鱼活动的下降

Blockchain data analysis indicates that large holders are showing reduced interest in DOGE, resulting in a substantial decline in large transactions. Since November, whale transaction volume has plummeted by approximately 88%, according to crypto analyst Ali.

区块链数据分析表明，大型持有人对Doge的兴趣降低，导致大型交易大幅下降。根据加密分析师Ali的数据，自11月以来，鲸鱼交易量下降了约88％。

According to IntoTheBlock data, transactions exceeding $100,000 have decreased by 25.68% within a week, while those over $1 million have fallen from 680 to 25. Whales are currently transacting an average of 2.42 million tokens weekly, with a transaction volume of $100 million to $200 million, down from $5.75 billion previously.

根据Intotheblock数据，一周内超过100,000美元的交易减少了25.68％，而超过100万美元的交易已从680美元下降到25个。目前，每周平均每周交易242万个代币，交易量为1亿美元至200万美元至200万美元至200万美元至200万美元。百万，低于以前57.5亿美元。

Technical Signals Suggest Price Drop

技术信号建议价格下降

Technical indicators point to bearish sentiment for DOGE, with its MVRV ratio remaining below the 200-day moving average. Historical data shows that "death cross" patterns have triggered market value declines of 26% to 44%. At its current price of $0.266, DOGE faces further downside potential based on current trends.

技术指标指出的是Doge的看跌情绪，其MVRV比率仍低于200天移动平均线。历史数据表明，“死亡交叉”模式触发了26％至44％的市场价值下降。 Doge以目前的价格为0.266美元，基于当前趋势，面临进一步的下行潜力。

Bullish Forecasts

看涨预测

However, analysts such as Trader Tardigrade maintain positive outlooks, viewing the current price as a short-term consolidation before the uptrend resumes. They believe DOGE has the potential to rally towards $7 over the next 5 months if it breaches resistance levels.

但是，诸如Trader Tardigrade之类的分析师保持积极的前景，将目前的价格视为上升恢复之前的短期合并。他们认为，如果Doge违反阻力水平，那么在未来5个月中，有可能会涨到7美元。

Historical Trends and Potential Breakout

历史趋势和潜在的突破

DOGECAPITAL interprets the current DOGE price pattern as similar to the 2017 market, suggesting a major price transformation may be imminent. Analysis on X reveals a 1,442-day pattern correlating accumulation patterns with rapid price surges.

Dogecital将目前的Doge价格模式解释为与2017年市场相似，这表明可能即将进行重大价格转换。 X上的分析揭示了1,442天的模式与价格快速飙升相关的积累模式。

The analyst suggests that the current market phase exhibits signs of preceding substantial upswings, based on the white indicator on the price chart. DOGE's historical pattern repetition using curved trendlines is used in the assessment, but traders are cautioned about potential market volatility.

分析师认为，基于价格表上的白色指标，当前的市场阶段表现出了大量上升的迹象。评估中使用了Doge使用曲线趋势线的历史模式重复，但要警告交易者潜在的市场波动。

Factors Influencing Price Growth

影响价格增长的因素

Previous price spikes for DOGE have been driven by retail investments, media hype, and trading speculation. A future rally in 2025 would likely rely on increased market interest and favorable external market conditions.

以前的Doge价格峰值是由散户投资，媒体炒作和交易推测所驱动的。未来的集会在2025年可能会依靠增加的市场利益和有利的外部市场状况。

Despite bearish indicators, DOGECAPITAL projections indicate that DOGE could reach future all-time highs. Historically, DOGE has exceeded its previous peak values when market conditions have been favorable, potentially moving towards a psychological price level of $10.

尽管看跌指标，但饲养的投影表明，Doge可能会达到未来的历史最高水平。从历史上看，当市场条件良好时，Doge已超过了以前的峰值价值，可能会朝着10美元的心理价格水平发展。