狗狗币的价格模式：历史周期表明潜在的反弹

You can also read this news on COINTURK NEWS: Dogecoin’s Price Patterns: Historical Cycles Indicate Potential Rally

您还可以在 COINTURK NEWS 上阅读此新闻：狗狗币的价格模式：历史周期表明潜在的反弹

Historical models, while not predicting the future, are intriguing as they have repeated many times in the past. The price patterns we have seen in previous years do not necessarily have to repeat today. However, if this happens, we might see the start of the legendary Dogecoin rally in April. So, what do historical data tell us?

历史模型虽然不能预测未来，但很有趣，因为它们在过去已经重复了很多次。我们前几年看到的价格模式今天不一定会重复。然而，如果这种情况发生，我们可能会在四月份看到传奇的狗狗币反弹的开始。那么，历史数据告诉我们什么呢？

Dogecoin (DOGE) Cycle Chart

狗狗币 (DOGE) 周期图

Does history repeat itself? In crypto, it has the potential to because many investors take positions by following these patterns, and we inevitably see periods when the chart takes such a shape. Sometimes, however, we see these historical patterns fail to work, surprising everyone.

历史会重演吗？在加密货币领域，它有潜力，因为许多投资者都遵循这些模式来建仓，而且我们不可避免地会看到图表呈现这种形状的时期。然而，有时我们会看到这些历史模式不起作用，这让所有人感到惊讶。

The current chart reflects the patterns followed by the DOGE price in bull markets. In fact, there is also a cyclical appearance for DOGE here. Similar to Bitcoin halving charts but different. In December 2013, Dogecoin formed a falling wedge on the weekly chart. This was followed by a 679-day consolidation period and a surprising 8,773% bull market.

当前图表反映了牛市中 DOGE 价格所遵循的模式。事实上，这里DOGE也有周期性的出现。与比特币减半图表类似但有所不同。 2013 年 12 月，狗狗币在周线图上形成下降楔形。接下来是长达 679 天的盘整期和令人惊讶的 8,773% 牛市。

A similar formation also occurred between January 2018 and February 2019, and we saw an astonishing rally of 23,740%.

2018 年 1 月至 2019 年 2 月期间也出现了类似的形态，我们看到了 23,740% 的惊人涨幅。

Dogecoin (DOGE) 2024 Target

狗狗币 (DOGE) 2024 年目标

Analysts say that a formation very similar to the one mentioned in the first section occurred between May 2021 and June 2022. As far as we know from the previous ones, this suggests that the price is pregnant with a major uptrend movement.

分析师表示，2021 年 5 月至 2022 年 6 月期间出现了与第一部分提到的非常相似的形态。据我们从之前的形态来看，这表明价格正在孕育着重大的上升趋势。

The consolidation phase after the falling wedge has been ongoing for a while. If historical data are to give us a glimpse of the future, and if the previous formation is to repeat this year, we are on the eve of a major uptrend movement.

下降楔形之后的盘整阶段已经持续了一段时间。如果历史数据能让我们一睹未来，如果今年要重复之前的形态，那么我们正处于重大上升趋势的前夜。

The targeted end date for the current consolidation is in April, and after April 2024, the DOGE price needs to start an exciting rally. This also coincides with the Bitcoin halving period. Ali Martinez wrote;

当前盘整的目标结束日期是 4 月，2024 年 4 月之后，DOGE 价格需要开始令人兴奋的反弹。这也恰逢比特币减半期。阿里·马丁内斯写道；

“Dogecoin’s price movement seems to reflect the patterns observed in past bull markets. If history repeats itself, we might see DOGE enter a parabolic breakout around April.”
“狗狗币的价格走势似乎反映了过去牛市中观察到的模式。如果历史重演，我们可能会看到 DOGE 在四月份左右进入抛物线突破。”

But the problem is that the cryptocurrency markets now have a very different environment than previous cycles. So, it may not be as easy as before for meme coins to catch another big hype, reaching the massive volumes of the past, instead of promising, technology-producing projects. If it happens, historical patterns talk about a new peak over three dollars.

但问题是，加密货币市场现在的环境与之前的周期截然不同。因此，模因币可能不像以前那么容易再一次大肆宣传，达到过去的巨大数量，而不是有前途的技术生产项目。如果发生这种情况，历史规律表明将出现超过 3 美元的新峰值。

However, the issue here is that the peak target calculated proportionally with the previous ones needs to be adjusted downwards as the market value increases. Otherwise, the altcoin would need to see a market value in the tens of trillions of dollars, which is not possible. Perhaps a more reasonable target should be growth of about 10% of the previous ones, like a 10x growth. This would mean the price reaching the dream target of one dollar.

但这里的问题是，之前按比例计算的峰值目标需要随着市值的增加而向下调整。否则，山寨币的市值将需要达到数十万亿美元，这是不可能的。也许更合理的目标应该是之前的增长10%左右，比如10倍的增长。这将意味着价格达到一美元的梦想目标。