Kamala Harris has emerged as the frontrunner in the upcoming US Presidential elections, according to crypto betting site Polymarket.
据加密货币博彩网站 Polymarket 称,卡马拉·哈里斯 (Kamala Harris) 已成为即将到来的美国总统选举的领跑者。
Harris currently holds a 49% probability of winning the White House in November, compared to 48% for Trump.
目前,哈里斯在 11 月入主白宫的可能性为 49%,而特朗普的可能性为 48%。
Polymarket's predictions align with other reputable polls, indicating a significant shift in favor of Harris.
Polymarket 的预测与其他知名民意调查一致,表明哈里斯的立场发生了重大转变。
While this could potentially impact the crypto market due to Trump's pro-crypto stance, it does not necessarily indicate the end of the bull market.
尽管由于特朗普的支持加密货币立场,这可能会影响加密货币市场,但这并不一定意味着牛市的结束。
Low-cap cryptocurrencies, which exhibit less correlation with market sentiment, could experience increased demand during this period of uncertainty.
低市值加密货币与市场情绪的相关性较低,在这段不确定时期可能会经历需求增加。
Polymarket and other sources, including RealClearPolitics, now show Harris leading in the National Average and several swing states.
Polymarket 和包括 RealClearPolitics 在内的其他来源现在显示哈里斯在全国平均水平和几个摇摆州中处于领先地位。
However, it's worth noting that the race remains tight, and Trump has agreed to debate Harris next month, which could influence the odds.
然而,值得注意的是,竞选仍然激烈,特朗普已同意下个月与哈里斯进行辩论,这可能会影响胜算。
Will Crypto Prices Witness a Reversal?
加密货币价格会出现逆转吗?
Harris's growing lead may lead to a short-term setback in crypto prices.
哈里斯的领先优势可能会导致加密货币价格短期下跌。
However, a Trump defeat may not significantly alter the expected bull run for cryptocurrencies.
然而,特朗普的失败可能不会显着改变加密货币的预期牛市。
Harris has indicated a more conciliatory approach towards the crypto industry and is unlikely to appoint SEC Chairman Gary Gensler for a second term.
哈里斯表示对加密货币行业采取更加温和的态度,并且不太可能任命 SEC 主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 连任。
Additionally, the Federal Reserve's aggressive quantitative easing measures, including a 50bps interest rate cut, are expected to infuse the crypto market with fresh capital.
此外,美联储积极的量化宽松措施,包括降息 50 个基点,预计将为加密货币市场注入新的资本。
Low-Cap Cryptos May Benefit
低市值加密货币可能会受益
Low-cap cryptocurrencies often exhibit low or no correlation with the broader market.
低市值加密货币通常与大盘表现出较低的相关性或没有相关性。
Amid political uncertainty, demand for these assets could surge.
在政治不确定性的情况下,对这些资产的需求可能会激增。
Investors may seek refuge in low-cap tokens and new meme coins, similar to the recent success of Pepe Unchained (PEPU) and its presale gains.
投资者可能会寻求低市值代币和新模因代币的庇护,类似于 Pepe Unchained (PEPU) 最近的成功及其预售收益。
Emerging play-to-earn projects, such as PlayDoge, are also gaining traction due to their beginner-friendly gameplay and lucrative rewards.
PlayDoge 等新兴的边玩边赚项目也因其适合初学者的游戏玩法和丰厚的奖励而受到关注。
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
免责声明:本文仅供参考,不构成财务或投资建议。