尼古拉斯·默滕 (Nicholas Merten) 发出狗狗币警告，称狗狗币还没有跌落得足够远——这就是原因

Crypto analyst Nicholas Merten is issuing a warning that memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE) is likely not finished correcting against Bitcoin (BTC).

加密货币分析师尼古拉斯·默滕 (Nicholas Merten) 发出警告，模因币狗狗币 (DOGE) 可能尚未完成对比特币 (BTC) 的修正。

In a new video update, Merten tells his 512,000 YouTube subscribers that he expects Dogecoin to remain in a bearish trend against Bitcoin for a while as the monthly DOGE/BTC chart continues to show weakness

在新的视频更新中，Merten 告诉他的 512,000 名 YouTube 订阅者，他预计狗狗币兑比特币将在一段时间内保持看跌趋势，因为月度 DOGE/BTC 图表继续显示疲软

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“I do believe that things will go up and to the right in the future. I just don’t think they’re going to do it yet.

“我确实相信，未来事情会向好的方向发展。我只是认为他们还不会这么做。

I got to say, if this is new support and all we see is a 22% move [up] on a monthly candle followed by three months of just fading those gains with no follow through, that’s not a bull market.

我必须说，如果这是新的支撑位，而我们看到的只是月度蜡烛图上涨 22%，随后三个月这些涨幅就逐渐消退而没有后续行动，那么这不是牛市。

We can see what Dogecoin looks like in a bull market – 600% moves in a month, 542%, even towards more moderate months, 80%, 30%, 209%, multiple months. 73%, 79%, 114% in a single month. That is what I’m looking for. And maybe Dogecoin isn’t going to produce such optimistic results. But man, I got to see some 10%, 20%, 30% months in a row before I start to really getting excited.”

我们可以看到狗狗币在牛市中的样子——一个月内变动 600%，542%，甚至更温和的月份，80%、30%、209%，多个月。单月分别增长73%、79%、114%。这就是我正在寻找的。也许狗狗币不会产生如此乐观的结果。但是，伙计，我必须连续几个月看到大约 10%、20%、30%，然后我才开始真正感到兴奋。”

According to Merten, Dogecoin is only worth looking at if DOGE/BTC starts to repeat similar moves to June and October of 2021.

根据 Merten 的说法，只有当 DOGE/BTC 开始重复 2021 年 6 月和 10 月的类似走势时，狗狗币才值得关注。

“I don’t care about this [current trend]… From buyers in June [2022], a 23% move, barely closing any of those gains out, holding them up there and then having a 94% move. I understand there’s some nuance with maybe Elon [Musk] was saying Twitter was going to use DOGE or whatever.

“我不关心这个[当前趋势]……从买家的角度来看，[2022 年]6 月，价格上涨了 23%，几乎没有收回任何涨幅，将其保持在该水平，然后上涨了 94%。我知道埃隆（马斯克）所说的 Twitter 将使用 DOGE 或其他什么东西可能有一些细微差别。

Look, whatever. It doesn’t matter what the narrative is. What matters is the price action. Because no matter what those narratives are, if price is not showing that it’s interested at that range anymore, and we’re moving lower and lower, and there’s no buyers coming in, we’re likely going to continue moving lower and lower.

看看，无论如何。叙述的内容并不重要。重要的是价格走势。因为无论这些叙述是什么，如果价格不再显示出对这个范围感兴趣，并且我们的价格越来越低，并且没有买家进来，我们很可能会继续越来越低。

It’s a rolling effect of weakening expectations. People slowly coming to the realization that they were overexposed, that what they thought was a dip is still too high. And only until you really get that market buy-side pressure will these assets start to move.”

这是预期减弱的滚动效应。人们慢慢地意识到他们的曝光过度，他们认为的下降仍然太高。只有当你真正感受到市场买方的压力时，这些资产才会开始移动。”

Merten is anticipating a roughly 90% correction, which would mean DOGE/BTC would find its market bottom around 0.00000130.

Merten 预计会有大约 90% 的修正，这意味着 DOGE/BTC 将在 0.00000130 左右找到市场底部。

DOGE/BTC is trading at 0.00000218 BTC ($0.0582) at time of writing.

截至撰写本文时，DOGE/BTC 的交易价格为 0.00000218 BTC（0.0582 美元）。