The cryptocurrency market has been battered and bloody in recent days, memecoins like Dogecoin (DOGE) included. During this period, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has dipped below $55,000. This volatility has had a cascading effect on altcoins, with memecoins bearing the brunt of the impact, leaving holders concerned about their investments.

最近几天，加密货币市场遭受重创和血腥，其中包括像狗狗币（DOGE）这样的模因币。在此期间，比特币（BTC）的价格已跌破 55,000 美元。这种波动对山寨币产生了连锁反应，模因币首当其冲，让持有者对自己的投资感到担忧。

Prominent crypto analyst Michael Van de Poppe has voiced his concerns, stating that he is "worried about the altcoin market."

著名的加密货币分析师 Michael Van de Poppe 表达了他的担忧，表示他“担心山寨币市场”。

Despite these concerns, some analysts remain more optimistic, particularly regarding Dogecoin. They argue that historical patterns suggest a potential recovery for DOGE.

尽管存在这些担忧，一些分析师仍然更加乐观，尤其是对于狗狗币。他们认为，历史模式表明 DOGE 有可能复苏。

Dogecoin Following Historical Patterns

狗狗币遵循历史模式

According to a report by AMB Crypro, popular analyst Vision Pulse has highlighted Dogecoin's historical cycle, demonstrating that the current trend bears similarities to past patterns.

根据 AMB Crypro 的一份报告，受欢迎的分析师 Vision Pulse 强调了狗狗币的历史周期，表明当前的趋势与过去的模式有相似之处。

"What if I told you Dogecoin plays out identically to the last cycle? Check this out. Dogecoin pumps almost 400% to the .236 retracement in 2020 then dumps 50% as BTC.D goes up. Look what's happening now," he said.

“如果我告诉你狗狗币的表现与上一个周期相同怎么办？看看这个。狗狗币在 2020 年上涨近 400% 至 0.236 回撤位，然后随着 BTC.D 上涨而下跌 50%。看看现在发生了什么，”他说。

According to Vision Pulse, DOGE could see another 400% surge, mirroring its 2020 performance, and this historical behavior suggests that the memecoin's current decline may not be long-lived.

根据 Vision Pulse 的数据，DOGE 可能会再次飙升 400%，反映其 2020 年的表现，这一历史行为表明，memecoin 目前的下跌可能不会长久。

Optimistic Views from Other Analysts

其他分析师的乐观看法

Similarly, another analyst, Javon Marks, points to Dogecoin's recurring cycle as an indicator of potential for a significant rally.

同样，另一位分析师贾文·马克斯 (Javon Marks) 指出，狗狗币的循环周期是潜在大幅上涨的指标。

"Throughout the years, DOGE log breakouts have led to significant pumps and higher highs, and it has done it once again with the current breakout holding! Based off the last 2 breakouts, each of these pumps have been larger in magnitude, and if we were to see it play out again, we could potentially see a $10+ DOGE this bull run, a 7200%+ move," said Javon.

“多年来，DOGE 的对数突破导致了显着的上涨和更高的高点，并且在当前的突破持有中再次做到了这一点！根据最近两次突破，每一次上涨的幅度都更大，如果我们如果看到它再次上演，我们可能会看到这次牛市的 DOGE 价格超过 10 美元，涨幅超过 7200%，”Javon 说。

At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading around the $0.09176 mark, reflecting a 15.4% decline on the daily chart.

截至撰写本文时，狗狗币交易价格在 0.09176 美元附近，日线图上下跌 15.4%。

Over the past week, DOGE has dropped by 31.32%, extending its month-long downtrend. Its trading volume has also declined by 20.48% to $713.6 million over the past 24 hours.

过去一周，DOGE下跌了31.32%，延续了一个月的下跌趋势。过去 24 小时内，其交易量也下降了 20.48% 至 7.136 亿美元。

Technical analysis reveals a strong bearish momentum for Dogecoin. The RSI indicator is at 34, while the RSI-based moving average is at 49, suggesting higher selling pressure in the market.

技术分析显示狗狗币有强劲的看跌势头。 RSI 指标为 34，而基于 RSI 的移动平均线为 49，表明市场抛售压力更大。

However, the RSI entering the oversold territory could present a buying opportunity, potentially triggering a trend reversal due to increasing buying pressure.

然而，RSI 进入超卖区域可能会带来买入机会，由于买入压力增加，可能会引发趋势逆转。

Potential for Trend Reversal

趋势逆转的潜力

The DMI indicator also indicates decreasing bearish momentum. Although the negative index at 19.7 is above the positive index at 17.9, the negative index is sloping down.

DMI 指标也表明看跌势头正在减弱。尽管19.7的负指数高于17.9的正指数，但负指数正在向下倾斜。

The neutral index at 29 is above the negative index, further hinting at a potential reversal as the price drops into the oversold zone.

29 的中性指数高于负值指数，进一步暗示随着价格跌入超卖区域，可能出现逆转。

Additionally, Santiment analysis shows that the funding rate accumulated by exchanges is positive at 0.005%, indicating that long positions are paying shorts to maintain their positions, reflecting bullish sentiment among traders anticipating an increase in price.

此外，Santiment 分析显示，交易所累积的资金费率为 0.005%，表明多头头寸正在向空头支付费用以维持其头寸，反映出交易者预期价格上涨的看涨情绪。

Moreover, outflows from large holders have decreased from 192 million to 42 million, suggesting that large DOGE holders are not selling their assets, reflecting confidence in a potential uptrend.

此外，大持有者的资金流出已从 1.92 亿减少至 4,200 万，这表明 DOGE 的大持有者没有出售其资产，反映出对潜在上升趋势的信心。

If Dogecoin manages to close above the critical support of $0.105 on the daily chart, the memecoin could reverse its current downtrend and attempt to challenge the significant resistance level at $0.13. This development would serve as a bullish signal for investors, aligning with the historical patterns highlighted by analysts.

如果狗狗币能够收于日线图上 0.105 美元的关键支撑位上方，则 memecoin 可能会扭转当前的下跌趋势，并尝试挑战 0.13 美元的重要阻力位。这一发展将成为投资者的看涨信号，与分析师强调的历史模式相一致。