Cryptocurrency Market Analysis

加密货币市场分析

The United States consumer price index for August rose 0.2% for the month, in line with estimates, but risk assets reacted negatively. Initially, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) fell more than 1.5%, but it has since recovered and turned positive. Bitcoin (BTC), which had dipped near $55,500, has also rallied back above $57,500, demonstrating strong buying at lower levels.

美国 8 月份消费者价格指数上涨 0.2%，符合预期，但风险资产反应消极。最初，标准普尔 500 指数 (SPX) 下跌超过 1.5%，但此后已恢复并转正。比特币 (BTC) 曾一度下跌至 55,500 美元附近，目前也已反弹至 57,500 美元上方，显示出较低水平的强劲买盘。

The next key catalyst for risk assets could be the interest rate cut anticipated from the US Federal Reserve at its upcoming meeting on Sept. 18. CME Group's FedWatch Tool currently shows an 85% probability of a 25-basis point cut.

风险资产的下一个关键催化剂可能是美联储在 9 月 18 日即将举行的会议上预期降息。芝商所集团的 FedWatch 工具目前显示降息 25 个基点的可能性为 85%。

Bitcoin's recovery above $58,000 on Sept. 9 appears to have lifted sentiment. Data from Farside Investors reveals positive inflows into US-based exchange-traded funds on Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.

9 月 9 日，比特币反弹至 58,000 美元上方，似乎提振了市场情绪。 Farside Investors 的数据显示，9 月 9 日和 9 月 10 日，美国交易所交易基金出现积极资金流入。

Top 10 Cryptocurrency Analysis

十大加密货币分析

Bitcoin (BTC)

比特币（BTC）

• Bitcoin's recovery faces resistance at the 20-day exponential moving average ($57,841), but strong buying near $55,724 provides support.
• A break above the 20-day EMA could lead to a potential rally towards $65,000.
• Conversely, a break below $55,724 would signal continued selling pressure, potentially leading to a decline towards $49,000.

Ether (ETH)

比特币的复苏面临20日指数移动平均线（57,841美元）的阻力，但55,724美元附近的强劲买盘提供了支撑。突破20日均线可能会导致潜在反弹至65,000美元。相反，跌破55,724美元将表明比特币继续上涨抛售压力，可能导致以太币 (ETH) 跌至 49,000 美元

• Ether has pushed above the breakdown level of $2,300, but faces resistance near the 20-day EMA ($2,451).
• A sustained close below $2,300 could lead to a drop towards $2,111 and psychological support at $2,000.
• To regain momentum, buyers need to push the price above the 20-day EMA and rally towards the 50-day SMA ($2,682).

BNB (BNB)

以太币已突破 2,300 美元的击穿水平，但在 20 日均线（2,451 美元）附近面临阻力。如果收盘价持续低于 2,300 美元，可能会导致跌向 2,111 美元和 2,000 美元的心理支撑。要重获动力，买家需要推动价格高于 20 日均线并反弹至 50 日均线（2,682 美元）。BNB (BNB)

• BNB's recovery faces selling at the 20-day EMA ($522), indicating resistance at higher levels.
• A rally above the moving averages could open the way for a potential surge towards $600 and $635.
• A break below the $495 to $460 support zone could trigger a downtrend towards $360.

Solana (SOL)

BNB 的复苏面临 20 日均线（522 美元）的抛售，表明更高水平存在阻力。反弹至移动平均线上方可能会为潜在飙升至 600 美元和 635 美元开辟道路。跌破 495 美元至 460 美元支撑区可能会触发下跌趋势为 360 美元。Solana (SOL)

• Solana's relief rally faces resistance at the 20-day EMA ($136) and could fall towards the pivotal support at $116.
• A break above the 50-day SMA ($148) would signal reduced selling pressure and potential for a rally towards $164.

XRP (XRP)

Solana 的缓解反弹面临 20 日均线（136 美元）的阻力，并可能跌向 116 美元的关键支撑位。突破 50 日均线（148 美元）将表明抛售压力减轻，并有可能反弹至 164 美元。XRP (瑞波币）

• XRP has failed to clear the breakdown level of $0.54 and is vulnerable to a slide towards the $0.46 to $0.41 support zone.
• A rally above the 50-day SMA ($0.57) would indicate bullish momentum and potential for a surge towards $0.64.

Dogecoin (DOGE)

XRP 未能突破 0.54 美元的击穿水平，很容易滑向 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元的支撑区。反弹至 50 日移动平均线（0.57 美元）上方将表明看涨势头和飙升至 0.64 美元的潜力。狗狗币 (DOGE) ）

• Dogecoin is facing resistance near the downtrend line of the falling wedge pattern and could slump towards $0.09 if it falls below the 20-day EMA ($0.10).
• A potential trend change could occur if buyers drive the price above the downtrend line and attempt a rally towards $0.14.

Toncoin (TON)

狗狗币在下降楔形形态的下降趋势线附近面临阻力，如果跌破 20 日均线（0.10 美元），可能会跌至 0.09 美元。如果买家将价格推高至下降趋势线上方并尝试反弹，则可能会发生潜在的趋势变化走向 0.14 美元.Toncoin (TON)

• Toncoin has broken above the 20-day EMA ($5.34) but struggles to sustain the higher levels.
• A range between the 50-day SMA ($5.97) and $4.50 is possible and a break below $4.50 could signal a head-and-shoulders pattern and a potential downtrend towards $3.50.

Cardano (ADA)

Toncoin 已突破 20 日均线（5.34 美元），但难以维持较高水平。可能会在 50 日均线（5.97 美元）和 4.50 美元之间波动，跌破 4.50 美元可能预示着头肩形态，潜在下跌趋势为 3.50 美元。卡尔达诺 (ADA)

• Cardano is experiencing a battle between bulls and bears near the 20-day EMA ($0.34).
• A drop below $0.33 could lead to a slide towards $0.31, while a break above the 50-day SMA ($0.35) would suggest bullish momentum.

Avalanche (AVAX)

卡尔达诺正在 20 日均线（0.34 美元）附近经历多头和空头之间的战斗。跌破 0.33 美元可能导致跌向 0.31 美元，而突破 50 日均线（0.35 美元）则表明看涨势头。雪崩（阿瓦克斯）

• Avalanche is finding it challenging to break above the resistance line of the descending channel.
• A drop below the moving averages could lead to a decline towards $17.29 and the channel's support line.
• A turn from the 20-day EMA ($22.98) could signal buying on dips and potential for a rally above the descending channel towards $29 and $33.

Shiba Inu (SHIB)

Avalanche 发现突破下降通道阻力线具有挑战性。跌破移动平均线可能导致跌向 17.29 美元和通道支撑线。从 20 日均线（22.98 美元）转向可能发出买入信号下跌和反弹至 29 美元和 33 美元下降通道之上的潜力。 Shiba Inu (SHIB)

• Shiba Inu is facing resistance at the 20-day EMA ($0.000014) and could plunge towards $0.000011 if it falls below the $0.000013 support.
• A break above the 50-day SMA ($0.000014) could lead to a surge towards $0.000016.

This analysis does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, and investors should conduct their own research before making any decisions.

Shiba Inu 面临 20 日均线（0.000014 美元）的阻力，如果跌破 0.000013 美元的支撑位，可能会暴跌至 0.000011 美元。突破 50 日均线（0.000014 美元）可能会导致价格飙升至 0.000016 美元。此分析不构成投资建议或推荐。加密货币交易涉及重大风险，投资者在做出任何决定之前应进行自己的研究。