The protracted – and significant – crypto bull market, started in earnest in October 2023 with a major Bitcoin (BTC) rally, has already seen multiple meme coins, old and new, surge to new highs or, at least, strive to reclaim their previous highs.

旷日持久且意义重大的加密货币牛市始于 2023 年 10 月，伴随着比特币 (BTC) 的大幅上涨，已经见证了多种新旧模因币飙升至新高，或者至少努力恢复之前的水平。高点。

The climate brought forth a string of predictions that Dogecoin (DOGE), the oldest meme coin in existence, is about to rise toward and beyond $1.

这种气候引发了一系列预测，即现存最古老的模因币狗狗币 (DOGE) 的价格即将升至甚至超过 1 美元。

One crypto expert, known as Credible Crypto on YouTube and CrediBULL Crypto on X, only partially agrees with the bullish expectations and has, in fact, recently shared his strategy for shorting DOGE.

一位在 YouTube 上被称为 Credible Crypto，在 X 上被称为 CrediBULL Crypto 的加密货币专家只部分同意看涨预期，事实上，他最近分享了他做空 DOGE 的策略。

Indeed, the expert believes that Dogecoin is yet to prove an uptrend with more sequential higher highs and higher lows and that it currently finds itself in a distribution top.

事实上，专家认为，狗狗币尚未证明具有更多连续更高的高点和更高的低点的上升趋势，并且它目前发现自己处于分布顶部。

According to Credible Crypto’s Analysis, DOGE price is likely to continue trading higher for some time before it enters the $0.19-0.20 range, which it will, in all likelihood, fail to sustain and break above. 

根据 Credible Crypto 的分析，DOGE 价格可能会在进入 0.19-0.20 美元区间之前继续走高一段时间，但很可能无法维持并突破该区间。

The analyst explained that they would take a short position once the meme coin is within this range as a drop to one of the crucial support levels and at least to the $0.09-$0.10 range, but even more likely to head toward or below $0.05.

这位分析师解释说，一旦 meme 代币跌至关键支撑位之一，并且至少跌至 0.09 美元至 0.10 美元的范围，但更有可能跌至或低于 0.05 美元，他们将采取空头头寸。

Short-term bear, long-term bull

短期看空，长期看多

The Analysis of Dogecoin’s likely next move partially hinges on the general trends in the crypto market, which have recently seen a significant pullback for Bitcoin and an even greater correction for other cryptocurrencies.

对狗狗币下一步可能走势的分析部分取决于加密货币市场的总体趋势，最近比特币出现了大幅回调，而其他加密货币则出现了更大的回调。

Following from this, Credible Crypto estimates that the market is not yet in a major ‘meme cycle’ but rather that it shall have to go through the motions with the subsequent phases being ‘Bitcoin,’ ‘large caps,’ ‘mid-caps,’ and ‘small caps.’

据此，Credible Crypto 估计市场尚未进入一个主要的“模因周期”，而是必须经历后续阶段的“比特币”、“大盘股”、“中盘股”、 ”和“小型大写字母”。

The expert, however, believes that a ‘meme coin megafinale’ will come at the tail end of the sequence and that a Dogecoin surge above $1 will be a crucial part of this phase. As a result, they have identified the likely fall to $0.05 as a good area to enter a long position after, hopefully, successfully shorting the meme coin.

然而，专家认为，“迷因币大结局”将出现在该序列的末尾，而狗狗币飙升至 1 美元以上将是这一阶段的关键部分。因此，他们认为，在成功做空 meme 代币后，可能会跌至 0.05 美元，这是进入多头头寸的好区域。

DOGE price chart

DOGE 价格走势图

With conflated outlooks, whether DOGE drops toward $0.05 or surges toward $1 first, its recent performance has both been strong and choppy. 

综合前景来看，无论 DOGE 先跌向 0.05 美元还是先飙升至 1 美元，其近期表现既强劲又波动。

With that being said, in the last 52 weeks, the meme coin has surged 100.27% and managed a 77.68% climb in 2024 alone.

话虽如此，在过去 52 周内，meme 币已飙升 100.27%，仅 2024 年就上涨了 77.68%。

Although more recent trading featured a rejection of a continued surge and significant volatility – albeit with consolidation within a new and higher range. As things stand, Dogecoin is down 8.27% in the last 30 days but 1.88% in the green on the weekly chart.

尽管近期交易的特点是拒绝持续飙升和大幅波动——尽管在新的更高区间内盘整。目前来看，狗狗币在过去 30 天内下跌了 8.27%，但在周线图上上涨了 1.88%。

Finally, the DOGE price today stands at $0.1587 after a 0.86% 24-hour drop.

最后，DOGE 价格在 24 小时下跌 0.86% 后，今天维持在 0.1587 美元。

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