Will Altcoins Face a 40% Drop? Lessons from Bitcoin’s 2020 Election Performance

Impact of U.S. Elections on Cryptocurrency Markets

As the U.S. presidential elections draw near, clarity on cryptocurrency regulations remains a paramount concern for investors, especially concerning Bitcoin and Ethereum.Analysts anticipate a market response akin to that observed in the 2020 elections if Kamala Harris emerges victorious.

Following the 2020 election on November 3, Bitcoin's value surged for approximately 66 days as investors sought refuge in the cryptocurrency. Conversely, altcoins experienced a substantial decline of around 40% over the ensuing two months. This trend suggests that a Harris win could initially propel Bitcoin's rise while altcoins undergo a temporary downturn before regaining momentum.

Investors are expected to exhibit similar behavior this time around, gravitating towards Bitcoin as a sanctuary. However, within a month or two, as faith in the crypto market as a whole is restored, altcoins may commence a catch-up. This recovery could be catalyzed by the ongoing relocation of crypto developers outside the United States since President Biden's inauguration, bolstering markets in Asia.

Potential for a New Memecoin Rally

Amidst the current regulatory landscape, particularly the SEC's stance on cryptocurrencies, a surge in meme coins is deemed plausible. According to analysts, meme coins may evade regulatory scrutiny unlike altcoins, due to their decentralized nature and lack of classification as securities.

In the event of a Harris victory, the market may initially exercise caution, mitigating risk. However, as confidence gradually returns, interest in Bitcoin and various meme coins is likely to intensify. Notably, while many meme coins could witness a rally, Dogecoin may face setbacks due to its association with Elon Musk and the former administration.