Impact of U.S. Elections on Cryptocurrency Markets

美國大選對加密貨幣市場的影響

As the U.S. presidential elections draw near, clarity on cryptocurrency regulations remains a paramount concern for investors, especially concerning Bitcoin and Ethereum.Analysts anticipate a market response akin to that observed in the 2020 elections if Kamala Harris emerges victorious.

隨著美國總統選舉的臨近，加密貨幣監管的明確性仍然是投資者最關心的問題，尤其是比特幣和以太幣。年選舉中觀察到的情況。

Following the 2020 election on November 3, Bitcoin's value surged for approximately 66 days as investors sought refuge in the cryptocurrency. Conversely, altcoins experienced a substantial decline of around 40% over the ensuing two months. This trend suggests that a Harris win could initially propel Bitcoin's rise while altcoins undergo a temporary downturn before regaining momentum.

11 月 3 日 2020 年大選後，隨著投資者尋求加密貨幣的避難，比特幣的價值在大約 66 天內飆升。相反，山寨幣在接下來的兩個月大幅下跌了 40% 左右。這一趨勢表明，哈里斯的獲勝可能會首先推動比特幣的上漲，而山寨幣在恢復勢頭之前會經歷暫時的低迷。

Investors are expected to exhibit similar behavior this time around, gravitating towards Bitcoin as a sanctuary. However, within a month or two, as faith in the crypto market as a whole is restored, altcoins may commence a catch-up. This recovery could be catalyzed by the ongoing relocation of crypto developers outside the United States since President Biden's inauguration, bolstering markets in Asia.

預計投資者這次也會表現出類似的行為，傾向比特幣作為避難所。然而，在一兩個月內，隨著對整個加密貨幣市場的信心恢復，山寨幣可能會開始迎頭趕上。自拜登總統就職以來，加密貨幣開發商不斷遷往美國境外，因此提振了亞洲市場，這可能會促進這種復甦。

Potential for a New Memecoin Rally

新 Memecoin 反彈的潛力

Amidst the current regulatory landscape, particularly the SEC's stance on cryptocurrencies, a surge in meme coins is deemed plausible. According to analysts, meme coins may evade regulatory scrutiny unlike altcoins, due to their decentralized nature and lack of classification as securities.

在當前的監管環境下，特別是美國證券交易委員會對加密貨幣的立場，模因幣的激增被認為是合理的。分析師表示，與山寨幣不同，迷因幣可能會逃避監管審查，因為它們具有去中心化的性質並且不屬於證券分類。

In the event of a Harris victory, the market may initially exercise caution, mitigating risk. However, as confidence gradually returns, interest in Bitcoin and various meme coins is likely to intensify. Notably, while many meme coins could witness a rally, Dogecoin may face setbacks due to its association with Elon Musk and the former administration.

如果哈里斯獲勝，市場最初可能會謹慎行事，以降低風險。然而，隨著信心逐漸恢復，人們對比特幣和各種迷因幣的興趣可能會增強。值得注意的是，雖然許多迷因幣可能會反彈，但狗狗幣可能會因其與伊隆馬斯克和前政府的關係而面臨挫折。