The post Analyst Predicts Significant Downturn for Bitcoin Price Before It Reaches $1 Million Milestone appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

分析師預測比特幣價格在達到 100 萬美元里程碑之前將大幅下滑的貼文首先出現在 Coinpedia 金融科技新聞

Billy Markus, famous for creating Dogecoin and his fondness for memes, posed a playful question about the Bitcoin halving on X, using his alter name “Shibetoshi Nakamoto.” He jokingly asked users if the halving meant the price would halve, too. 

比利·馬庫斯(Billy Markus) 以創造狗狗幣(Dogecoin) 和他對表情包的喜愛而聞名，他用他的化名“Shibetoshi Nakamoto”在X 上提出了一個關於比特幣減半的有趣問題。他開玩笑地詢問用戶，減半是否代表價格也會減半。

Is Bitcoin Crash on the Cards?

比特幣即將崩潰嗎？

The humorous remark from Markus taps into the worries of some Bitcoin fans who are anxious about a possible price decline post-halving. Here’s what it means. 

馬庫斯的幽默言論引起了一些比特幣粉絲的擔憂，他們擔心減半後價格可能會下跌。這就是它的意思。

Even the official Kraken exchange account chimed in, clarifying that halving doesn’t work that way. Markus responded with a tongue-in-cheek, “What if it does, though?”

就連 Kraken 官方交易帳號也加入進來，澄清減半並不是這樣的。馬庫斯半開玩笑地回答：“如果真的發生了怎麼辦？”

Meanwhile, Bitcoin advocate Samson Mow from Jan3 encouraged everyone to appreciate Bitcoin’s current value of $0.06 million and reminded them that we are still in the early stages of Bitcoin’s potential. While he didn’t make specific price predictions, he has previously hinted at Bitcoin reaching $1 million, emphasizing the long-term perspective.

同時，比特幣倡導者 Samson Mow 從 1 月 3 日開始鼓勵大家欣賞比特幣目前 6 萬美元的價值，並提醒他們我們仍處於比特幣潛力的早期階段。雖然他沒有做出具體的價格預測，但他先前曾暗示比特幣將達到 100 萬美元，強調了長期前景。

With just one day to Bitcoin halving, scheduled to cut block rewards in half for miners, the community eagerly awaits Bitcoin’s price reaction. During this fourth halving, each new block will yield miners 3.125 BTC instead of 6.25 BTC, further solidifying Bitcoin’s deflationary nature and reducing its supply injected into the market. Influencers like Mow believe that the halving will create a supply shock, while the emergence of spot BTC ETFs contributes to a demand shock in the market.

距離比特幣減半僅剩一天，礦工的區塊獎勵將減少一半，社群熱切等待比特幣的價格反應。在第四次減半期間，每個新區塊將為礦工帶來 3.125 BTC，而不是 6.25 BTC，這進一步鞏固了比特幣的通貨緊縮性質，並減少了注入市場的供應。 Mow等影響者認為，減半將造成供給衝擊，而現貨BTC ETF的出現則導致市場需求衝擊。

Bernstein researchers project a 7% drop in network hash rate after the halving, as less efficient miners exit amid increased revenues from ETFs. Hong Kong’s approval of BTC and ETH ETFs in Asia signals the potential for similar moves in South Korea, Japan, and Singapore. Reports suggest Hong Kong’s ETFs could attract up to $25 billion in the capital when trading begins by April 30.

Bernstein 研究人員預計，減半後網路哈希率將下降 7%，因為效率較低的礦工會隨著 ETF 收入的增加而退出。香港在亞洲批准 BTC 和 ETH ETF，顯示韓國、日本和新加坡也有可能採取類似措施。報告顯示，香港 ETF 在 4 月 30 日開始交易時可能會吸引高達 250 億美元的資金。

What next? 

接下來是什麼？

Looking at the bigger event and crash reports, the traders assume it to be just a minor pullback, the markets are preparing to display a diverse price action being extremely volatile at the moment. The major reason to be bearish on Bitcoin is that the token has formed a double-bottom pattern below the current levels, along with a lot of liquidity, which is required for the whales to execute huge orders. 

縱觀更大的事件和崩盤報告，交易員認為這只是一個小幅回調，市場正準備展示目前極度波動的多樣化價格走勢。看跌比特幣的主要原因是，該代幣已在當前水平以下形成雙底形態，並且具有大量流動性，這是鯨魚執行巨額訂單所必需的。