The post Analyst Predicts Significant Downturn for Bitcoin Price Before It Reaches $1 Million Milestone appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News

分析师预测比特币价格在达到 100 万美元里程碑之前将大幅下滑的帖子首先出现在 Coinpedia 金融科技新闻

Billy Markus, famous for creating Dogecoin and his fondness for memes, posed a playful question about the Bitcoin halving on X, using his alter name “Shibetoshi Nakamoto.” He jokingly asked users if the halving meant the price would halve, too. 

比利·马库斯 (Billy Markus) 以创造狗狗币 (Dogecoin) 和他对表情包的喜爱而闻名，他用他的化名“Shibetoshi Nakamoto”在 X 上提出了一个关于比特币减半的有趣问题。他开玩笑地询问用户，减半是否意味着价格也会减半。

Is Bitcoin Crash on the Cards?

比特币即将崩溃吗？

The humorous remark from Markus taps into the worries of some Bitcoin fans who are anxious about a possible price decline post-halving. Here’s what it means. 

马库斯的幽默言论引起了一些比特币粉丝的担忧，他们担心减半后价格可能会下跌。这就是它的意思。

Even the official Kraken exchange account chimed in, clarifying that halving doesn’t work that way. Markus responded with a tongue-in-cheek, “What if it does, though?”

就连 Kraken 官方交易账户也加入进来，澄清减半并不是这样的。马库斯半开玩笑地回答道：“如果真的发生了怎么办？”

Meanwhile, Bitcoin advocate Samson Mow from Jan3 encouraged everyone to appreciate Bitcoin’s current value of $0.06 million and reminded them that we are still in the early stages of Bitcoin’s potential. While he didn’t make specific price predictions, he has previously hinted at Bitcoin reaching $1 million, emphasizing the long-term perspective.

与此同时，比特币倡导者 Samson Mow 从 1 月 3 日开始鼓励大家欣赏比特币目前 6 万美元的价值，并提醒他们我们仍处于比特币潜力的早期阶段。虽然他没有做出具体的价格预测，但他此前曾暗示比特币将达到 100 万美元，强调了长期前景。

With just one day to Bitcoin halving, scheduled to cut block rewards in half for miners, the community eagerly awaits Bitcoin’s price reaction. During this fourth halving, each new block will yield miners 3.125 BTC instead of 6.25 BTC, further solidifying Bitcoin’s deflationary nature and reducing its supply injected into the market. Influencers like Mow believe that the halving will create a supply shock, while the emergence of spot BTC ETFs contributes to a demand shock in the market.

距离比特币减半仅剩一天，矿工的区块奖励将减少一半，社区热切等待比特币的价格反应。在第四次减半期间，每个新区块将为矿工带来 3.125 BTC，而不是 6.25 BTC，这进一步巩固了比特币的通货紧缩性质，并减少了注入市场的供应量。 Mow等影响者认为，减半将造成供应冲击，而现货BTC ETF的出现则导致市场需求冲击。

Bernstein researchers project a 7% drop in network hash rate after the halving, as less efficient miners exit amid increased revenues from ETFs. Hong Kong’s approval of BTC and ETH ETFs in Asia signals the potential for similar moves in South Korea, Japan, and Singapore. Reports suggest Hong Kong’s ETFs could attract up to $25 billion in the capital when trading begins by April 30.

Bernstein 研究人员预计，减半后网络哈希率将下降 7%，因为效率较低的矿工会随着 ETF 收入的增加而退出。香港在亚洲批准 BTC 和 ETH ETF，这表明韩国、日本和新加坡也有可能采取类似举措。报告显示，香港 ETF 在 4 月 30 日开始交易时可能会吸引高达 250 亿美元的资金。

What next? 

接下来是什么？

Looking at the bigger event and crash reports, the traders assume it to be just a minor pullback, the markets are preparing to display a diverse price action being extremely volatile at the moment. The major reason to be bearish on Bitcoin is that the token has formed a double-bottom pattern below the current levels, along with a lot of liquidity, which is required for the whales to execute huge orders. 

纵观更大的事件和崩盘报告，交易员认为这只是一次小幅回调，市场正准备展示目前极度波动的多样化价格走势。看跌比特币的主要原因是，该代币已在当前水平以下形成双底形态，并且具有大量流动性，这是鲸鱼执行巨额订单所必需的。