Predictions from BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes

BitMEX 執行長 Arthur Hayes 的預測

Arthur Hayes, CEO of BitMEX, has made bold predictions about the cryptocurrency market. Hayes discussed the potential of Aptos surpassing Solana, the possibility of a Dogecoin ETF, and the significant danger of major custodian hacks in the crypto industry.

BitMEX 執行長 Arthur Hayes 對加密貨幣市場做出了大膽的預測。 Hayes 討論了 Aptos 超越 Solana 的潛力、狗狗幣 ETF 的可能性，以及加密產業中主要託管人駭客攻擊的重大危險。

Hayes' Predictions

海耶斯的預測

• Aptos vs. Solana: Hayes believes that Aptos, a Layer-1 blockchain similar to Solana, will overtake Solana as the second most popular Layer-1 blockchain within the next one to three years.
• Dogecoin ETF: Hayes predicts the launch of a Dogecoin ETF by the end of the current market cycle. This would make it easier for investors to invest in Dogecoin through traditional financial markets.
• Memecoins: Hayes views memecoins like Dogecoin as "luxury brands" in the crypto world and believes they will continue to exist.
• Biggest Crypto Risk: Hayes warns that the biggest risk to the crypto market is the potential hacking of a major crypto custodian. He estimates that such a hack could result in losses of up to $100 billion, potentially ending the current market phase.

Why Hayes Believes Aptos Will Outperform Solana

Aptos vs. Solana：Hayes 認為Aptos（類似Solana 的Layer-1 區塊鏈）將在未來一到三年內取代Solana，成為第二受歡迎的Layer-1 區塊鏈。 Dogecoin ETF到目前市場週期結束時。這將使投資者更容易透過傳統金融市場投資狗狗幣。說，最大的風險對加密貨幣市場來說，主要加密貨幣託管機構可能遭受駭客攻擊。他估計這樣的駭客攻擊可能會導致高達 1,000 億美元的損失，並有可能結束當前的市場階段。

Hayes emphasizes Aptos' capabilities in advancing Web3 technologies and addressing real-world challenges through its smart contract programming language. He believes that these capabilities will make Aptos more attractive to developers and enterprises.

Hayes 強調了 Aptos 在推進 Web3 技術和透過其智慧合約程式語言解決現實世界挑戰方面的能力。他相信這些能力將使 Aptos 對開發者和企業更具吸引力。

Conclusion

結論

Hayes' predictions highlight the evolving landscape of the cryptocurrency market. While the accuracy of these predictions remains to be seen, they underscore the volatility and unpredictability of the crypto industry.

海耶斯的預測凸顯了加密貨幣市場不斷變化的格局。雖然這些預測的準確性仍有待觀察，但它們強調了加密產業的波動性和不可預測性。