Predictions from BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes

BitMEX 首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 的预测

Arthur Hayes, CEO of BitMEX, has made bold predictions about the cryptocurrency market. Hayes discussed the potential of Aptos surpassing Solana, the possibility of a Dogecoin ETF, and the significant danger of major custodian hacks in the crypto industry.

BitMEX 首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 对加密货币市场做出了大胆的预测。 Hayes 讨论了 Aptos 超越 Solana 的潜力、狗狗币 ETF 的可能性，以及加密行业中主要托管人黑客攻击的重大危险。

Hayes' Predictions

海耶斯的预测

• Aptos vs. Solana: Hayes believes that Aptos, a Layer-1 blockchain similar to Solana, will overtake Solana as the second most popular Layer-1 blockchain within the next one to three years.
• Dogecoin ETF: Hayes predicts the launch of a Dogecoin ETF by the end of the current market cycle. This would make it easier for investors to invest in Dogecoin through traditional financial markets.
• Memecoins: Hayes views memecoins like Dogecoin as "luxury brands" in the crypto world and believes they will continue to exist.
• Biggest Crypto Risk: Hayes warns that the biggest risk to the crypto market is the potential hacking of a major crypto custodian. He estimates that such a hack could result in losses of up to $100 billion, potentially ending the current market phase.

Why Hayes Believes Aptos Will Outperform Solana

Aptos vs. Solana：Hayes 认为 Aptos（类似于 Solana 的 Layer-1 区块链）将在未来一到三年内取代 Solana，成为第二受欢迎的 Layer-1 区块链。 Dogecoin ETF：Hayes 预测将推出 Dogecoin ETF到当前市场周期结束时。这将使投资者更容易通过传统金融市场投资狗狗币。 Memecoins：Hayes 将像 Dogecoin 这样的 memecoin 视为加密世界中的“奢侈品牌”，并相信它们将继续存在。 最大的加密风险：Hayes 警告说，最大的风险对加密货币市场来说，主要加密货币托管机构可能遭受黑客攻击。他估计这样的黑客攻击可能会导致高达 1000 亿美元的损失，并有可能结束当前的市场阶段。 为什么 Hayes 相信 Aptos 将超越 Solana

Hayes emphasizes Aptos' capabilities in advancing Web3 technologies and addressing real-world challenges through its smart contract programming language. He believes that these capabilities will make Aptos more attractive to developers and enterprises.

Hayes 强调了 Aptos 在推进 Web3 技术和通过其智能合约编程语言解决现实世界挑战方面的能力。他相信这些能力将使 Aptos 对开发者和企业更具吸引力。

Conclusion

结论

Hayes' predictions highlight the evolving landscape of the cryptocurrency market. While the accuracy of these predictions remains to be seen, they underscore the volatility and unpredictability of the crypto industry.

海耶斯的预测凸显了加密货币市场不断变化的格局。虽然这些预测的准确性还有待观察，但它们强调了加密行业的波动性和不可预测性。