Why Bitcoin's Price Didn't Surge After the Fed's Interest Rate Cut

為什麼聯準會降息後比特幣價格沒有飆升

Crypto Tips recently published a video on YouTube explaining why the Bitcoin price failed to explode after the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce interest rates by 50 basis points. This is the first such cut since 2020.

Crypto Tips 最近在 YouTube 上發布了一段視頻，解釋了聯準會決定降息 50 個基點後比特幣價格未能暴漲的原因。這是自 2020 年以來的首次此類削減。

The analyst argues that the interest rate cut does not directly impact BTC's price in the short term. Instead, the major concern is the $1 trillion that the Fed prints every 100 days to cover debt.

該分析師認為，降息短期內不會直接影響BTC的價格。相反，主要的擔憂是聯準會每 100 天印製 1 兆美元來償還債務。

Role of Open Interest and Leverage

未平倉合約和槓桿的作用

High open interest is cited as a reason for Bitcoin's failure to rise as anticipated. Many traders are taking risky bets on the price increasing.

高持倉量被認為是比特幣未能如預期上漲的原因。許多交易商對價格上漲進行了冒險押注。

The analyst warns that these traders resemble gamblers, and many may be forced to sell if they begin to lose money. This could lead to a temporary dip in Bitcoin's price before it recovers.

分析師警告說，這些交易者就像賭徒，如果他們開始虧損，許多人可能會被迫出售。這可能會導致比特幣價格在恢復之前暫時下跌。

He compares the current six-month period of price stability to previous cycles, particularly 2020, when Bitcoin remained within a similar range for around 160 days before surging.

他將當前六個月的價格穩定期與先前的周期進行了比較，特別是 2020 年，當時比特幣在飆升之前約 160 天保持在類似的範圍內。

Even during a period of rising interest rates, BTC's price climbed from $15,500 to $30,000. He predicts that after the anticipated sell-off, Bitcoin could rally to $100,000 or more. He believes that a reduction in excessive leverage will strengthen the market, laying the groundwork for substantial growth.

即使在利率上升期間，BTC 的價格也從 15,500 美元攀升至 30,000 美元。他預測，在預期的拋售之後，比特幣可能會反彈至 10 萬美元或更高。他認為，過度槓桿的減少將增強市場，為大幅成長奠定基礎。

Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price

影響比特幣價格的關鍵因素

Crypto analysts identify the following factors as primarily influencing Bitcoin's price:

加密貨幣分析師認為以下因素主要影響比特幣的價格：

• Monetary inflation: the money being printed by the Federal Reserve
• High leverage and open interest in Bitcoin futures
• Accumulation phases, as Bitcoin has historically experienced periods of relative quiet before significant price increases

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貨幣通膨：聯準會印製的貨幣比特幣期貨的高槓桿率和未平倉合約累積階段，因為比特幣歷史上在價格大幅上漲之前經歷過相對平靜的時期有關更多每日加密貨幣更新，請在Twitter (X)、CoinMarketCap 和Binance 上關注我們方塊。加入我們的免費 Telegram 群組以接聽我們未來的電話。