Why Bitcoin's Price Didn't Surge After the Fed's Interest Rate Cut
为什么美联储降息后比特币价格没有飙升
Crypto Tips recently published a video on YouTube explaining why the Bitcoin price failed to explode after the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce interest rates by 50 basis points. This is the first such cut since 2020.
Crypto Tips 最近在 YouTube 上发布了一段视频,解释了美联储决定降息 50 个基点后比特币价格未能暴涨的原因。这是自 2020 年以来的首次此类削减。
The analyst argues that the interest rate cut does not directly impact BTC's price in the short term. Instead, the major concern is the $1 trillion that the Fed prints every 100 days to cover debt.
该分析师认为,降息短期内不会直接影响BTC的价格。相反,主要的担忧是美联储每 100 天印制 1 万亿美元来偿还债务。
Role of Open Interest and Leverage
未平仓合约和杠杆的作用
High open interest is cited as a reason for Bitcoin's failure to rise as anticipated. Many traders are taking risky bets on the price increasing.
高持仓量被认为是比特币未能按预期上涨的原因。许多交易商对价格上涨进行了冒险押注。
The analyst warns that these traders resemble gamblers, and many may be forced to sell if they begin to lose money. This could lead to a temporary dip in Bitcoin's price before it recovers.
分析师警告说,这些交易者就像赌徒,如果他们开始亏损,许多人可能会被迫出售。这可能会导致比特币价格在恢复之前暂时下跌。
He compares the current six-month period of price stability to previous cycles, particularly 2020, when Bitcoin remained within a similar range for around 160 days before surging.
他将当前六个月的价格稳定期与之前的周期进行了比较,特别是 2020 年,当时比特币在飙升之前约 160 天保持在类似的范围内。
Even during a period of rising interest rates, BTC's price climbed from $15,500 to $30,000. He predicts that after the anticipated sell-off, Bitcoin could rally to $100,000 or more. He believes that a reduction in excessive leverage will strengthen the market, laying the groundwork for substantial growth.
即使在利率上升期间,BTC 的价格也从 15,500 美元攀升至 30,000 美元。他预测,在预期的抛售之后,比特币可能会反弹至 10 万美元或更高。他认为,过度杠杆的减少将增强市场,为大幅增长奠定基础。
Key Factors Influencing Bitcoin's Price
影响比特币价格的关键因素
Crypto analysts identify the following factors as primarily influencing Bitcoin's price:
加密货币分析师认为以下因素主要影响比特币的价格:
- Monetary inflation: the money being printed by the Federal Reserve
- High leverage and open interest in Bitcoin futures
- Accumulation phases, as Bitcoin has historically experienced periods of relative quiet before significant price increases
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货币通胀:美联储印制的货币比特币期货的高杠杆率和未平仓合约积累阶段,因为比特币历史上在价格大幅上涨之前经历过相对平静的时期有关更多每日加密货币更新,请在 Twitter (X)、CoinMarketCap 和 Binance 上关注我们正方形。加入我们的免费 Telegram 群组以接听我们未来的电话。