Bitcoin's Decline: Economic Pressures, Technical Indicators Drive Downfall

比特幣的衰落：經濟壓力，技術指標驅動衰落

Recent data suggests a heightened probability of Bitcoin (BTC) falling to $75,000 by March 28, with a 22% chance compared to 10% a week earlier. Economic pressures, including tariffs imposed by the US, inflation concerns, and expectations of interest rate hikes, have created volatility in the cryptocurrency market. As a result, Bitcoin has lost 11% of its value over the past four days, dipping below $93,000, while Ethereum (ETH) has fallen under $2,200. Experts attribute the decline to both technical indicators and global economic developments.

最近的數據表明，到3月28日，比特幣（BTC）降至75,000美元，比一周前10％的機會降至75,000美元。經濟壓力，包括美國對通貨膨脹的關注以及對利率上升的期望，在加密貨幣市場上引起了波動。結果，比特幣在過去四天中損失了其價值的11％，下降到93,000美元以下，而以太坊（ETH）下跌了2,200美元。專家將下降歸因於技術指標和全球經濟發展。

Global Economic Uncertainties and Their Impact on Cryptocurrencies

全球經濟不確定性及其對加密貨幣的影響

The US tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China are increasing import costs. The 10% tariff on Chinese goods and 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports are stoking inflationary pressures. This has led to weaker expectations for interest rate cuts by central banks, strengthening the US dollar. A stronger dollar, coupled with reduced global liquidity, poses risks for cryptocurrencies.

美國對加拿大，墨西哥和中國的關稅正在增加進口成本。中國商品的10％關稅和墨西哥和加拿大進口的25％的關稅正在引起通貨膨脹壓力。這導致對中央銀行降低利率降低的期望較弱，從而加強了美元。一美元越來越強，加上降低的全球流動性，給加密貨幣帶來了風險。

US Tariffs and the Cryptocurrency Market

美國關稅和加密貨幣市場

Analysts warn that these tariffs could impact consumer prices. Andre Dragosch, head of Bitwise Europe, highlights the potential shock to financial markets from a contraction in money supply. These factors are driving investors out of the cryptocurrency market.

分析師警告說，這些關稅可能會影響消費者價格。 Bitwise Europe負責人Andre Dragosch強調了貨幣供應收縮對金融市場的潛在震驚。這些因素將投資者趕出了加密貨幣市場。

Technical Analysis and Expert Predictions

技術分析和專家預測

The emergence of a double top formation in Bitcoin charts indicates a target level of $75,000. This technical indicator suggests the dominance of sellers in the market. However, some analysts, including Arthur Hayes, believe the decline will be temporary and predict a subsequent rally. According to Hayes, Bitcoin could experience a stronger recovery after reaching $75,000.

比特幣圖中雙層構造的出現表明目標水平為75,000美元。該技術指標表明賣方在市場上的主導地位。但是，一些分析師，包括亞瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes），認為下降將是暫時的，並預測隨後的集會。根據海斯的說法，比特幣在達到75,000美元後可能會經歷更強的康復。

Regulatory Developments and Potential Market Movements

監管發展和潛在的市場運動

Regulatory actions by the SEC on Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), XRP, and Litecoin (LTC) have raised expectations of market movement. Official approval of these assets could attract capital inflows. Positive interventions by the Fed could also restore confidence in the cryptocurrency market.

SEC對Dogecoin（Doge），Solana（Sol），XRP和Litecoin（LTC）的監管行動提高了對市場運動的期望。這些資產的官方認可可能會吸引資本流入。美聯儲的積極干預也可以恢復對加密貨幣市場的信心。