Bitcoin's Decline: Economic Pressures, Technical Indicators Drive Downfall

比特币的衰落：经济压力，技术指标驱动衰落

Recent data suggests a heightened probability of Bitcoin (BTC) falling to $75,000 by March 28, with a 22% chance compared to 10% a week earlier. Economic pressures, including tariffs imposed by the US, inflation concerns, and expectations of interest rate hikes, have created volatility in the cryptocurrency market. As a result, Bitcoin has lost 11% of its value over the past four days, dipping below $93,000, while Ethereum (ETH) has fallen under $2,200. Experts attribute the decline to both technical indicators and global economic developments.

最近的数据表明，到3月28日，比特币（BTC）降至75,000美元，比一周前10％的机会降至75,000美元。经济压力，包括美国对通货膨胀的关注以及对利率上升的期望，在加密货币市场上引起了波动。结果，比特币在过去四天中损失了其价值的11％，下降到93,000美元以下，而以太坊（ETH）下跌了2,200美元。专家将下降归因于技术指标和全球经济发展。

Global Economic Uncertainties and Their Impact on Cryptocurrencies

全球经济不确定性及其对加密货币的影响

The US tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China are increasing import costs. The 10% tariff on Chinese goods and 25% on Mexican and Canadian imports are stoking inflationary pressures. This has led to weaker expectations for interest rate cuts by central banks, strengthening the US dollar. A stronger dollar, coupled with reduced global liquidity, poses risks for cryptocurrencies.

美国对加拿大，墨西哥和中国的关税正在增加进口成本。中国商品的10％关税和墨西哥和加拿大进口的25％的关税正在引起通货膨胀压力。这导致对中央银行降低利率降低的期望较弱，从而加强了美元。一美元越来越强，加上降低的全球流动性，给加密货币带来了风险。

US Tariffs and the Cryptocurrency Market

美国关税和加密货币市场

Analysts warn that these tariffs could impact consumer prices. Andre Dragosch, head of Bitwise Europe, highlights the potential shock to financial markets from a contraction in money supply. These factors are driving investors out of the cryptocurrency market.

分析师警告说，这些关税可能会影响消费者价格。 Bitwise Europe负责人Andre Dragosch强调了货币供应收缩对金融市场的潜在震惊。这些因素将投资者赶出了加密货币市场。

Technical Analysis and Expert Predictions

技术分析和专家预测

The emergence of a double top formation in Bitcoin charts indicates a target level of $75,000. This technical indicator suggests the dominance of sellers in the market. However, some analysts, including Arthur Hayes, believe the decline will be temporary and predict a subsequent rally. According to Hayes, Bitcoin could experience a stronger recovery after reaching $75,000.

比特币图中双层构造的出现表明目标水平为75,000美元。该技术指标表明卖方在市场上的主导地位。但是，一些分析师，包括亚瑟·海斯（Arthur Hayes），认为下降将是暂时的，并预测随后的集会。根据海斯的说法，比特币在达到75,000美元后可能会经历更强的康复。

Regulatory Developments and Potential Market Movements

监管发展和潜在的市场运动

Regulatory actions by the SEC on Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), XRP, and Litecoin (LTC) have raised expectations of market movement. Official approval of these assets could attract capital inflows. Positive interventions by the Fed could also restore confidence in the cryptocurrency market.

SEC对Dogecoin（Doge），Solana（Sol），XRP和Litecoin（LTC）的监管行动提高了对市场运动的期望。这些资产的官方认可可能会吸引资本流入。美联储的积极干预也可以恢复对加密货币市场的信心。