This analyst believes that Cardano’s price action is tracking the overall crypto market weakness seen in Bitcoin.

這位分析師認為，卡爾達諾的價格走勢正在追蹤比特幣的整體加密貨幣市場疲軟。

An analyst behind the Austin Hilton YouTube channel, which covers cryptocurrency price analysis and predictions, outlined a bearish near-term outlook for Cardano (ADA) token in a video update published Dec. 15. The video is largely focused on what is known an Elliot Wave analysis. Elliott Wave Analysis in cryptocurrency is a technical analysis method that predicts future price movements by identifying repetitive wave patterns in market trends.

Austin Hilton YouTube 頻道（涵蓋加密貨幣價格分析和預測）背後的一位分析師在12 月15 日發布的更新影片中概述了卡爾達諾（ADA）代幣的近期看跌前景。該影片主要集中在所謂的艾略特波浪分析。加密貨幣中的艾略特波浪分析是一種技術分析方法，透過識別市場趨勢中的重複波浪模式來預測未來價格走勢。

The analyst believes Cardano is currently unfolding wave C of a larger corrective pattern, following an incomplete wave B top. He notes that ADA is closely tracking overall market weakness, as Bitcoin has also started to fulfill a bearish scenario.

分析師認為，在不完整的 B 波頂部之後，卡爾達諾目前正在展開更大修正模式的 C 波。他指出，ADA 正在密切追蹤整體市場疲軟情況，因為比特幣也開始出現看跌情景。

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While not fully confirmed yet, the analyst suggests ADA’s local top is likely in place already.

儘管尚未完全確認，但分析師表示 ADA 的本地最高層可能已經就位。

However, he notes a break below the $0.54 level is still needed to solidify the start of wave C. Initial support is seen around $0.507, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent advance. Below, the analyst highlights the 38.2% level at $0.438 as the next area of expected support.

不過，他指出，仍需要跌破 0.54 美元水準才能鞏固 C 浪的開始。初步支撐位在 0.507 美元附近，與近期上漲的 23.6% 斐波那契回檔位一致。下面，分析師強調 38.2% 的水平 0.438 美元是下一個預期支撐區域。

Looking ahead, a prolonged and complex fourth wave is envisioned, possibly lasting several weeks. The analyst believes this wave could develop into a triangle consolidation or other complex pattern before an eventual fifth wave rally resumes. However, he cautions that the $0.345 level must hold to keep upside hopes intact long-term.

展望未來，預計將出現長期且複雜的第四波浪潮，可能持續數週。分析師認為，在最終恢復第五波反彈之前，這一波可能會發展為三角形盤整或其他複雜模式。不過，他警告說，必須守住 0.345 美元的水平，才能保持長期上漲的希望完好無損。

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