This analyst believes that Cardano’s price action is tracking the overall crypto market weakness seen in Bitcoin.

这位分析师认为，卡尔达诺的价格走势正在追踪比特币的整体加密货币市场疲软。

An analyst behind the Austin Hilton YouTube channel, which covers cryptocurrency price analysis and predictions, outlined a bearish near-term outlook for Cardano (ADA) token in a video update published Dec. 15. The video is largely focused on what is known an Elliot Wave analysis. Elliott Wave Analysis in cryptocurrency is a technical analysis method that predicts future price movements by identifying repetitive wave patterns in market trends.

Austin Hilton YouTube 频道（涵盖加密货币价格分析和预测）背后的一位分析师在 12 月 15 日发布的更新视频中概述了卡尔达诺（ADA）代币的近期看跌前景。该视频主要集中在所谓的艾略特波浪分析。加密货币中的艾略特波浪分析是一种技术分析方法，通过识别市场趋势中的重复波浪模式来预测未来价格走势。

The analyst believes Cardano is currently unfolding wave C of a larger corrective pattern, following an incomplete wave B top. He notes that ADA is closely tracking overall market weakness, as Bitcoin has also started to fulfill a bearish scenario.

分析师认为，在不完整的 B 波顶部之后，卡尔达诺目前正在展开更大修正模式的 C 波。他指出，ADA 正在密切跟踪整体市场疲软情况，因为比特币也开始出现看跌情景。

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While not fully confirmed yet, the analyst suggests ADA’s local top is likely in place already.

尽管尚未完全确认，但分析师表示 ADA 的本地最高层可能已经就位。

However, he notes a break below the $0.54 level is still needed to solidify the start of wave C. Initial support is seen around $0.507, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent advance. Below, the analyst highlights the 38.2% level at $0.438 as the next area of expected support.

不过，他指出，仍需要跌破 0.54 美元水平才能巩固 C 浪的开始。初步支撑位在 0.507 美元附近，与近期上涨的 23.6% 斐波那契回撤位一致。下面，分析师强调 38.2% 的水平 0.438 美元是下一个预期支撑区域。

Looking ahead, a prolonged and complex fourth wave is envisioned, possibly lasting several weeks. The analyst believes this wave could develop into a triangle consolidation or other complex pattern before an eventual fifth wave rally resumes. However, he cautions that the $0.345 level must hold to keep upside hopes intact long-term.

展望未来，预计将出现长期且复杂的第四波浪潮，可能持续数周。分析师认为，在最终恢复第五波反弹之前，这一波可能会发展为三角形盘整或其他复杂模式。不过，他警告说，必须守住 0.345 美元的水平，才能保持长期上涨的希望完好无损。

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