馬斯克 (Elon Musk) 的 X 推出 P2P 支付，狗狗幣價格反彈 13%

Dogecoin price briefly grazed $0.09 on Jan. 12, up 13% since Elon Musk’s X announced plans to launch a P2P payment platform earlier in the week.

1 月 12 日，狗狗幣價格短暫上漲 0.09 美元，自從 Elon Musk 的 X 本週稍早宣布計劃推出 P2P 支付平台以來，狗狗幣價格上漲了 13%。

On Jan. 9, Elon Musk’s social media giant X issued a blog post titled “Transforming the Global Town Square” outlining a roadmap for 2024. In addition to deepening artificial intelligence (AI) integration for advertising, X also mentioned plans to launch peer-to-peer payments functionality. This positive reaction triggered a Dogecoin (DOGE) price reaction.

1月9日，馬斯克旗下社群媒體巨頭X發布了一篇題為《改造全球城鎮廣場》的博文，概述了2024年的路線圖。除了深化人工智慧（AI）與廣告的融合外，X也提到計畫推出同業-點對點支付功能。這一積極反應引發了狗狗幣（DOGE）的價格反應。

We will launch peer-to-peer payments, unlocking more user utility and new opportunities for commerce, and showcasing the power of living more of your life in one place.
我們將推出點對點支付，釋放更多用戶效用和新的商業機會，並展示在一個地方享受更多生活的力量。
– X.com, Jan. 9
– X.com，1 月 9 日

Elon Musk’s and X’s affinity with Dogecoin has been well documented over the years, with the DOGE logo momentarily added to the website in 2023.

馬斯克 (Elon Musk) 和 X 與狗狗幣的密切關係多年來已得到充分記錄，DOGE 徽標於 2023 年暫時添加到網站上。

In effect, X’s newly unveiled plans to launch a P2P network have triggered speculation that the social media giant could leverage the Dogecoin network.

實際上，X 最近公佈的推出 P2P 網路的計劃引發了人們的猜測，即這家社群媒體巨頭可能會利用狗狗幣網路。

The chart from TradingView depicts that the DOGE price has bounced 13% within days of the blog post. However, on-chain data movements suggest the rally could be short-lived.

TradingView 的圖表顯示，在部落格發布後的幾天內，DOGE 價格反彈了 13%。然而，鏈上數據變動表明，漲勢可能是短暫的。

800 million Dogecoin sell orders could truncate price rally

8 億個狗狗幣賣單可能會削弱物價上漲

After the 13% rally that saw Dogecoin reclaim $0.09 territory on Jan 11, DOGE price has retraced below the $0.084 mark at press time on Jan 12. A deeper inquest into the on-chain data trends shows that the dominant sentiment across Dogecoin markets is still bearish, despite the recent price upswing in the aftermath of X’s unveiling official plans to launch peer-to-peer payment.

在1 月11 日狗狗幣上漲13% 收復0.09 美元區域之後，截至1 月12 日發稿時，狗狗幣價格已回落至0.084 美元以下。對鏈上數據趨勢的深入研究表明，狗狗幣市場的主導情緒仍然是儘管在 X 公佈推出點對點支付的官方計劃後，最近價格上漲，但還是看跌。

IntoTheBlock’s aggregate exchange order books data sums up the value of a specific cryptocurrency’s active buy and sell orders listed across various exchanges.

IntoTheBlock 的匯總交易所訂單簿資料匯總了各個交易所列出的特定加密貨幣的活躍買賣訂單的價值。

The chart below illustrates that currently, DOGE traders have listed orders to sell off 798 million DOGE. On a concerning note, this far outweighs the active buy orders of 752.4 million DOGE.

下圖顯示，目前 DOGE 交易者已掛出賣出 7.98 億筆 DOGE 的訂單。令人擔憂的是，這遠遠超過了 7.524 億個 DOGE 的活躍買單。

When the ‘Sell/Ask’ side of the order books towers higher than the Buy/Bid side, as depicted above, it implies that market momentum is leaning bearish.

當訂單簿的「賣出/要價」一側高於「買入/出價」一側時（如上圖所示），這意味著市場動能傾向於看跌。

Dogecoin sell orders currently outnumber the buy orders by 48 million DOGE. Intuitively, when the market supply for an asset outpaces demand by such a substantial margin, it puts downward pressure on price.

目前狗狗幣的賣出訂單數量比買進訂單多出 4,800 萬個 DOGE。直觀上，當某種資產的市場供應量大大超過需求量時，就會對價格造成下行壓力。

The current spot market dynamics point towards an imminent DOGE price correction.

目前的現貨市場動態顯示 DOGE 價格即將調整。

Losing the $0.07 support could catalyze major losses

失去 0.07 美元的支撐位可能會引發重大損失

DOGE price appears to be at risk of a major price correction, drawing inferences from the exchange order books trend analyzed above. But to validate this outlook, the bears must scale the initial support buy-wall around $0.07.

從上述分析的交易所訂單簿趨勢得出推論，DOGE 價格似乎面臨重大價格調整的風險。但為了驗證這一前景，空頭必須將初始支撐買入牆擴大到 0.07 美元左右。

IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) data groups the current DOGE-funded wallets according to their historical entry prices. It depicts that 568,880 addresses had acquired 46.9 billion DOGE at an average price of $0.072. Notably, this is the largest cluster of current Dogecoin holders below the current prices.

IntoTheBlock 的全球資金進/出 (GIOM) 數據根據歷史入場價格對當前 DOGE 資助的錢包進行分組。它描述了 568,880 個地址以 0.072 美元的平均價格購買了 469 億個 DOGE。值得注意的是，這是當前價格低於當前價格的最大的狗狗幣持有者群體。

A move below that $0.72 support level could trigger panic and possibly catalyze larger losses.

跌破 0.72 美元的支撐位可能會引發恐慌，並可能引發更大的損失。

Alternatively, the bullish traders could invalidate this pessimistic forecast if the DOGE price scales to the $0.10 territory. But in this scenario, the $0.095 resistance could mount a major obstacle.

或者，如果 DOGE 價格升至 0.10 美元區域，看漲交易者可能會推翻這一悲觀預測。但在這種情況下，0.095 美元的阻力位可能會成為一個主要障礙。