埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 的 X 推出 P2P 支付，狗狗币价格反弹 13%

Dogecoin price briefly grazed $0.09 on Jan. 12, up 13% since Elon Musk’s X announced plans to launch a P2P payment platform earlier in the week.

1 月 12 日，狗狗币价格短暂上涨 0.09 美元，自埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 的 X 本周早些时候宣布计划推出 P2P 支付平台以来，狗狗币价格上涨了 13%。

On Jan. 9, Elon Musk’s social media giant X issued a blog post titled “Transforming the Global Town Square” outlining a roadmap for 2024. In addition to deepening artificial intelligence (AI) integration for advertising, X also mentioned plans to launch peer-to-peer payments functionality. This positive reaction triggered a Dogecoin (DOGE) price reaction.

1月9日，埃隆·马斯克旗下社交媒体巨头X发布了一篇题为《改造全球城镇广场》的博文，概述了2024年的路线图。除了深化人工智能（AI）与广告的融合外，X还提到计划推出同行-点对点支付功能。这一积极反应引发了狗狗币（DOGE）的价格反应。

We will launch peer-to-peer payments, unlocking more user utility and new opportunities for commerce, and showcasing the power of living more of your life in one place.
我们将推出点对点支付，释放更多用户效用和新的商业机会，并展示在一个地方享受更多生活的力量。
– X.com, Jan. 9
– X.com，1 月 9 日

Elon Musk’s and X’s affinity with Dogecoin has been well documented over the years, with the DOGE logo momentarily added to the website in 2023.

埃隆·马斯克 (Elon Musk) 和 X 与狗狗币的密切关系多年来已得到充分记录，DOGE 徽标于 2023 年暂时添加到网站上。

In effect, X’s newly unveiled plans to launch a P2P network have triggered speculation that the social media giant could leverage the Dogecoin network.

实际上，X 最近公布的推出 P2P 网络的计划引发了人们的猜测，即这家社交媒体巨头可能会利用狗狗币网络。

The chart from TradingView depicts that the DOGE price has bounced 13% within days of the blog post. However, on-chain data movements suggest the rally could be short-lived.

TradingView 的图表显示，在博客发布后的几天内，DOGE 价格反弹了 13%。然而，链上数据变动表明，涨势可能是短暂的。

800 million Dogecoin sell orders could truncate price rally

8 亿个狗狗币卖单可能会削弱价格上涨

After the 13% rally that saw Dogecoin reclaim $0.09 territory on Jan 11, DOGE price has retraced below the $0.084 mark at press time on Jan 12. A deeper inquest into the on-chain data trends shows that the dominant sentiment across Dogecoin markets is still bearish, despite the recent price upswing in the aftermath of X’s unveiling official plans to launch peer-to-peer payment.

在 1 月 11 日狗狗币上涨 13% 收复 0.09 美元区域之后，截至 1 月 12 日发稿时，狗狗币价格已回落至 0.084 美元以下。对链上数据趋势的深入研究表明，狗狗币市场的主导情绪仍然是尽管在 X 公布推出点对点支付的官方计划后，最近价格上涨，但还是看跌。

IntoTheBlock’s aggregate exchange order books data sums up the value of a specific cryptocurrency’s active buy and sell orders listed across various exchanges.

IntoTheBlock 的汇总交易所订单簿数据汇总了各个交易所列出的特定加密货币的活跃买卖订单的价值。

The chart below illustrates that currently, DOGE traders have listed orders to sell off 798 million DOGE. On a concerning note, this far outweighs the active buy orders of 752.4 million DOGE.

下图显示，目前 DOGE 交易者已挂出卖出 7.98 亿个 DOGE 的订单。令人担忧的是，这远远超过了 7.524 亿个 DOGE 的活跃买单。

When the ‘Sell/Ask’ side of the order books towers higher than the Buy/Bid side, as depicted above, it implies that market momentum is leaning bearish.

当订单簿的“卖出/要价”一侧高于“买入/出价”一侧时（如上图所示），这意味着市场势头倾向于看跌。

Dogecoin sell orders currently outnumber the buy orders by 48 million DOGE. Intuitively, when the market supply for an asset outpaces demand by such a substantial margin, it puts downward pressure on price.

目前狗狗币的卖出订单数量比买入订单多出 4800 万个 DOGE。直观上，当某种资产的市场供应量大大超过需求量时，就会给价格带来下行压力。

The current spot market dynamics point towards an imminent DOGE price correction.

当前的现货市场动态表明 DOGE 价格即将调整。

Losing the $0.07 support could catalyze major losses

失去 0.07 美元的支撑位可能会引发重大损失

DOGE price appears to be at risk of a major price correction, drawing inferences from the exchange order books trend analyzed above. But to validate this outlook, the bears must scale the initial support buy-wall around $0.07.

从上面分析的交易所订单簿趋势得出推论，DOGE 价格似乎面临重大价格调整的风险。但为了验证这一前景，空头必须将初始支撑买入墙扩大到 0.07 美元左右。

IntoTheBlock’s Global In/Out of the Money (GIOM) data groups the current DOGE-funded wallets according to their historical entry prices. It depicts that 568,880 addresses had acquired 46.9 billion DOGE at an average price of $0.072. Notably, this is the largest cluster of current Dogecoin holders below the current prices.

IntoTheBlock 的全球资金进/出 (GIOM) 数据根据历史入场价格对当前 DOGE 资助的钱包进行分组。它描述了 568,880 个地址以 0.072 美元的平均价格购买了 469 亿个 DOGE。值得注意的是，这是当前价格低于当前价格的最大的狗狗币持有者群体。

A move below that $0.72 support level could trigger panic and possibly catalyze larger losses.

跌破 0.72 美元的支撑位可能会引发恐慌，并可能引发更大的损失。

Alternatively, the bullish traders could invalidate this pessimistic forecast if the DOGE price scales to the $0.10 territory. But in this scenario, the $0.095 resistance could mount a major obstacle.

或者，如果 DOGE 价格升至 0.10 美元区域，看涨交易者可能会推翻这一悲观预测。但在这种情况下，0.095 美元的阻力位可能会成为一个主要障碍。