Bitcoin has regained its footing above $100K, a development that was anticipated to trigger bullish waves in the markets. While other tokens have struggled to maintain momentum, Dogecoin has demonstrated resilience, attempting to sustain an upward trend. Since the beginning of 2025, the price has made repeated efforts to surpass $0.4. Recent whale activity suggests a significant price movement, while technical indicators hint at a potential correction on the horizon.

比特幣已重新站穩 10 萬美元以上，預計這一發展將引發市場看漲浪潮。雖然其他代幣難以保持勢頭，但狗狗幣卻表現出了韌性，試圖維持上升趨勢。自2025年初以來，價格屢次突破0.4美元。最近的鯨魚活動顯示價格出現重大變動，而技術指標則暗示即將出現潛在的調整。

Dogecoin Price Rally Outlook

狗狗幣價格上漲前景

The retail trading community often follows the lead of whales, perceiving their actions as a strong signal for future price movements. The recent increase in whale accumulation has boosted optimism surrounding Dogecoin, positively impacting its price. Whales consistently accumulated DOGE throughout 2024, pausing in November, but have since resumed and exceeded the levels seen during the 2021 bull run. Over 5000 wallets currently hold more than 1 million DOGE each, a bullish indicator.

零售交易界經常追隨鯨魚的腳步，將他們的行為視為未來價格走勢的強烈訊號。最近鯨魚累積的增加增強了人們對狗狗幣的樂觀情緒，對其價格產生了積極影響。鯨魚在 2024 年持續累積 DOGE，在 11 月暫停，但此後又恢復並超過了 2021 年牛市期間的水平。目前有超過 5000 個錢包每個錢包持有超過 100 萬個 DOGE，這是一個看漲指標。

Conversely, retail traders remain cautious, and the active address count remains within average levels. This hesitation stems primarily from technical factors that contradict the bullish narrative. The TD sequential indicator, which identifies trend reversals, remains bearish, suggesting a potential price correction. Additionally, the weighted social sentiment hovers around 0.60, indicating a lack of optimism among the crowd regarding Dogecoin's upside potential.

相反，零售交易者保持謹慎，活躍地址數量仍處於平均水平。這種猶豫主要源自於與看漲敘事相矛盾的技術因素。識別趨勢逆轉的 TD 順序指標仍然看跌，表明潛在的價格調整。此外，加權社會情緒徘徊在 0.60 左右，顯示人群對狗狗幣的上漲潛力缺乏樂觀態度。

Technical Outlook

技術展望

The Dogecoin price chart reveals attempts by bulls to sustain the bullish trend, but the rally has faced resistance at the 50-day MA. This level has provided a solid support, while the price has struggled to generate a significant rebound to higher ranges. A decline in volume has hindered the rally's progress. The incremental RSI appears to have paused the upward momentum, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

狗狗幣價格圖表顯示多頭試圖維持看漲趨勢，但反彈在 50 日均線處遇到阻力。這一水準提供了堅實的支撐，而價格卻難以大幅反彈至更高的區間。成交量的下降阻礙了反彈的進展。相對強弱指數的增量似乎已經暫停了上漲勢頭，強化了看跌前景。

Despite the bearish signals, Dogecoin's price may challenge the bearish narrative if it manages to break above the 0.786 FIB level at $0.4 in the coming hours. This move could pave the way for a positive ascending trend, potentially reaching the 2024 high of $0.55. However, a new ATH at $1 remains a distant possibility.

儘管有看跌訊號，但如果狗狗幣在未來幾個小時內成功突破 0.786 FIB 水平（0.4 美元），它的價格可能會挑戰看跌說法。這項措施可能為積極的上升趨勢鋪平道路，有可能達到 2024 年的高點 0.55 美元。然而，新的 ATH 達到 1 美元的可能性仍然遙遠。