Bitcoin has regained its footing above $100K, a development that was anticipated to trigger bullish waves in the markets. While other tokens have struggled to maintain momentum, Dogecoin has demonstrated resilience, attempting to sustain an upward trend. Since the beginning of 2025, the price has made repeated efforts to surpass $0.4. Recent whale activity suggests a significant price movement, while technical indicators hint at a potential correction on the horizon.

比特币已重新站稳 10 万美元以上，预计这一发展将引发市场看涨浪潮。虽然其他代币难以保持势头，但狗狗币却表现出了韧性，试图维持上升趋势。 2025年初以来，价格屡次突破0.4美元。最近的鲸鱼活动表明价格出现重大变动，而技术指标则暗示即将出现潜在的调整。

Dogecoin Price Rally Outlook

狗狗币价格上涨前景

The retail trading community often follows the lead of whales, perceiving their actions as a strong signal for future price movements. The recent increase in whale accumulation has boosted optimism surrounding Dogecoin, positively impacting its price. Whales consistently accumulated DOGE throughout 2024, pausing in November, but have since resumed and exceeded the levels seen during the 2021 bull run. Over 5000 wallets currently hold more than 1 million DOGE each, a bullish indicator.

零售交易界经常追随鲸鱼的脚步，将他们的行为视为未来价格走势的强烈信号。最近鲸鱼积累的增加增强了人们对狗狗币的乐观情绪，对其价格产生了积极影响。鲸鱼在 2024 年持续积累 DOGE，在 11 月暂停，但此后又恢复并超过了 2021 年牛市期间的水平。目前有超过 5000 个钱包每个钱包持有超过 100 万个 DOGE，这是一个看涨指标。

Conversely, retail traders remain cautious, and the active address count remains within average levels. This hesitation stems primarily from technical factors that contradict the bullish narrative. The TD sequential indicator, which identifies trend reversals, remains bearish, suggesting a potential price correction. Additionally, the weighted social sentiment hovers around 0.60, indicating a lack of optimism among the crowd regarding Dogecoin's upside potential.

相反，零售交易者保持谨慎，活跃地址数量仍处于平均水平。这种犹豫主要源于与看涨叙述相矛盾的技术因素。识别趋势逆转的 TD 顺序指标仍然看跌，表明潜在的价格调整。此外，加权社会情绪徘徊在 0.60 左右，表明人群对狗狗币的上涨潜力缺乏乐观态度。

Technical Outlook

技术展望

The Dogecoin price chart reveals attempts by bulls to sustain the bullish trend, but the rally has faced resistance at the 50-day MA. This level has provided a solid support, while the price has struggled to generate a significant rebound to higher ranges. A decline in volume has hindered the rally's progress. The incremental RSI appears to have paused the upward momentum, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

狗狗币价格图表显示多头试图维持看涨趋势，但反弹在 50 日均线处遇到阻力。这一水平提供了坚实的支撑，而价格却难以大幅反弹至更高的区间。成交量的下降阻碍了反弹的进展。相对强弱指数的增量似乎已经暂停了上涨势头，强化了看跌前景。

Despite the bearish signals, Dogecoin's price may challenge the bearish narrative if it manages to break above the 0.786 FIB level at $0.4 in the coming hours. This move could pave the way for a positive ascending trend, potentially reaching the 2024 high of $0.55. However, a new ATH at $1 remains a distant possibility.

尽管有看跌信号，但如果狗狗币在未来几个小时内成功突破 0.786 FIB 水平（0.4 美元），它的价格可能会挑战看跌说法。这一举措可能为积极的上升趋势铺平道路，有可能达到 2024 年的高点 0.55 美元。然而，新的 ATH 达到 1 美元的可能性仍然遥远。