Bitcoin's Volatility: Key Support Levels Tested

比特幣的波動性：測試的關鍵支撐位

Recent fluctuations in Bitcoin's price have tested key support levels amidst a mix of bearish sentiment and optimistic long-term outlooks.

在看跌情緒和樂觀的長期前景的混合下，近期比特幣價格的波動測試了關鍵支撐位。

Three Blind Mice Pattern Raises Concerns

三隻盲鼠模式引發擔憂

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has observed a "Three Blind Mice" pattern in Bitcoin's price action. This pattern suggests that the current downturn could extend further, as seen in late 2022 when it preceded a significant drop. Brandt warns that Bitcoin could dip towards $50,000 if it fails to hold above $60,000.

資深交易員彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）觀察到比特幣價格走勢中的「三隻盲鼠」模式。這種模式表明，當前的經濟低迷可能會進一步延續，正如 2022 年末大幅下跌之前所看到的那樣。 Brandt 警告稱，如果比特幣未能保持在 60,000 美元以上，其價格可能會跌至 50,000 美元。

Bullish Market Structure Remains Intact

看漲的市場結構維持不變

Despite the recent pullback, analysts like Rekt Capital maintain a bullish outlook. Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the $60,000 support level and remains within a bullish market structure. Moreover, indicators such as the STH-SOPR suggest a "buy the dip" opportunity.

儘管近期出現回調，但 Rekt Capital 等分析師仍維持看漲前景。比特幣多次測試 6 萬美元的支撐位，並保持在看漲的市場結構內。此外，STH-SOPR 等指標顯示存在「逢低買入」的機會。

Expert Analysts Predict Final Major Dip

專家分析師預測最終大幅下跌

Dan Gambardello believes Bitcoin could be experiencing its last significant dip before a broader recovery. He highlights Bitcoin's ability to hold above its 50-day moving average and the importance of its lower trend line. Oversold RSI conditions also indicate a potential bottom. However, a dip into the $58,000-$55,500 Fibonacci support zone is still possible.

Dan Gambardello 認為，比特幣可能正在經歷更廣泛復甦之前的最後一次大幅下跌。他強調了比特幣保持在 50 日移動均線之上的能力以及其較低趨勢線的重要性。超賣 RSI 狀況也顯示潛在的底部。然而，仍有可能跌入 58,000 美元至 55,500 美元的斐波那契支撐區域。

Bitcoin ETFs Experience Outflows

比特幣 ETF 經歷資金外流

Market uncertainty has led to significant outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, including Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, which saw $144.7 million in redemptions. Geopolitical tensions and concerns over the U.S. economy have contributed to the broader pullback in the crypto market.

市場不確定性導緻美國現貨比特幣 ETF 大量資金流出，其中包括 Fidelity 的 Wise Origin 比特幣基金，該基金贖回了 1.447 億美元。地緣政治緊張局勢和對美國經濟的擔憂導致了加密貨幣市場的更廣泛回調。

Long-Term Outlook Remains Positive

長期前景依然樂觀

Despite short-term bearish indicators, the long-term prospects for Bitcoin remain positive. Historical data suggests strong performance leading into and following Bitcoin halvings, which is expected in 2024. Some analysts predict Bitcoin could exceed $100,000 by the end of 2024.

儘管短期指標看跌，但比特幣的長期前景仍然樂觀。歷史數據表明，比特幣減半前後表現強勁，預計在 2024 年減半。

Critical Zone for Bitcoin

比特幣的關鍵區域

Bitcoin remains in a critical zone, with traders and analysts watching closely to determine whether it will hold above $60,000 or face further downside. Market sentiment will be heavily influenced by external factors such as geopolitical developments and macroeconomic trends.

比特幣仍處於關鍵區域，交易員和分析師密切關注，以確定是否會維持在 6 萬美元以上，還是面臨進一步下跌。市場情緒將嚴重受到地緣政治發展和宏觀經濟趨勢等外在因素的影響。

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.

免責聲明：本文僅供參考，不構成財務或投資建議。