Bitcoin's Volatility: Key Support Levels Tested

比特币的波动性：测试的关键支撑位

Recent fluctuations in Bitcoin's price have tested key support levels amidst a mix of bearish sentiment and optimistic long-term outlooks.

在看跌情绪和乐观的长期前景的混合下，近期比特币价格的波动测试了关键支撑位。

Three Blind Mice Pattern Raises Concerns

三只盲鼠模式引发担忧

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has observed a "Three Blind Mice" pattern in Bitcoin's price action. This pattern suggests that the current downturn could extend further, as seen in late 2022 when it preceded a significant drop. Brandt warns that Bitcoin could dip towards $50,000 if it fails to hold above $60,000.

资深交易员彼得·勃兰特（Peter Brandt）观察到比特币价格走势中的“三只盲鼠”模式。这种模式表明，当前的经济低迷可能会进一步延续，正如 2022 年末出现大幅下跌之前所看到的那样。 Brandt 警告称，如果比特币未能保持在 60,000 美元以上，其价格可能会跌至 50,000 美元。

Bullish Market Structure Remains Intact

看涨的市场结构保持不变

Despite the recent pullback, analysts like Rekt Capital maintain a bullish outlook. Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the $60,000 support level and remains within a bullish market structure. Moreover, indicators such as the STH-SOPR suggest a "buy the dip" opportunity.

尽管近期出现回调，但 Rekt Capital 等分析师仍维持看涨前景。比特币多次测试 60,000 美元的支撑位，并保持在看涨的市场结构内。此外，STH-SOPR 等指标表明存在“逢低买入”的机会。

Expert Analysts Predict Final Major Dip

专家分析师预测最终大幅下跌

Dan Gambardello believes Bitcoin could be experiencing its last significant dip before a broader recovery. He highlights Bitcoin's ability to hold above its 50-day moving average and the importance of its lower trend line. Oversold RSI conditions also indicate a potential bottom. However, a dip into the $58,000-$55,500 Fibonacci support zone is still possible.

Dan Gambardello 认为，比特币可能正在经历更广泛复苏之前的最后一次大幅下跌。他强调了比特币保持在 50 日移动均线之上的能力以及其较低趋势线的重要性。超卖 RSI 状况也表明潜在的底部。然而，仍有可能跌入 58,000 美元至 55,500 美元的斐波那契支撑区域。

Bitcoin ETFs Experience Outflows

比特币 ETF 经历资金外流

Market uncertainty has led to significant outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, including Fidelity's Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, which saw $144.7 million in redemptions. Geopolitical tensions and concerns over the U.S. economy have contributed to the broader pullback in the crypto market.

市场不确定性导致美国现货比特币 ETF 大量资金流出，其中包括 Fidelity 的 Wise Origin 比特币基金，该基金赎回了 1.447 亿美元。地缘政治紧张局势和对美国经济的担忧导致了加密货币市场的更广泛回调。

Long-Term Outlook Remains Positive

长期前景依然乐观

Despite short-term bearish indicators, the long-term prospects for Bitcoin remain positive. Historical data suggests strong performance leading into and following Bitcoin halvings, which is expected in 2024. Some analysts predict Bitcoin could exceed $100,000 by the end of 2024.

尽管短期指标看跌，但比特币的长期前景仍然乐观。历史数据表明，比特币减半前后表现强劲，预计在 2024 年减半。一些分析师预测，到 2024 年底，比特币的价格可能会超过 10 万美元。

Critical Zone for Bitcoin

比特币的关键区域

Bitcoin remains in a critical zone, with traders and analysts watching closely to determine whether it will hold above $60,000 or face further downside. Market sentiment will be heavily influenced by external factors such as geopolitical developments and macroeconomic trends.

比特币仍处于关键区域，交易员和分析师密切关注，以确定其是否会维持在 60,000 美元以上，还是面临进一步下跌。市场情绪将严重受到地缘政治发展和宏观经济趋势等外部因素的影响。

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.

免责声明：本文仅供参考，不构成财务或投资建议。