Bitcoin and Altcoin Price Analysis

比特幣和山寨幣價格分析

Bitcoin (BTC)

比特幣（BTC）

Bitcoin (BTC) has declined approximately 12% in April. If this trend continues, it will mark the worst monthly performance since November 2022 (CoinGlass data). Bitcoin bulls may face ongoing challenges in May, as the month has historically resulted in negative monthly closes for the past three years.

比特幣 (BTC) 4 月下跌了約 12%。如果這種趨勢持續下去，將創下自 2022 年 11 月以來最糟糕的月度表現（CoinGlass 數據）。比特幣多頭可能在 5 月面臨持續的挑戰，因為過去三年的月度收盤價歷來都是負值。

Net outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds for three consecutive days indicate cautiousness among traders (Farside Investors data). They are awaiting a resumption of Bitcoin's uptrend before making further purchases.

現貨比特幣交易所交易基金連續三天出現淨流出，顯示交易者持謹慎態度（Farside Investors 數據）。他們正在等待比特幣恢復上漲趨勢，然後再進行進一步購買。

Altcoins

山寨幣

While Bitcoin searches for direction, certain altcoins may demonstrate resilience. Santiment analysts note that gas fees on the Ethereum network have reached a six-month low, suggesting a "lack of demand and strain on the network." This could indicate a market bottom and potential turnaround for Ether (ETH) and associated altcoins "sooner than many may expect."

當比特幣尋找方向時，某些山寨幣可能會表現出彈性。 Santiment 分析師指出，以太坊網路上的 Gas 費用已達到六個月低點，顯示「需求不足且網路緊張」。這可能表明以太坊（ETH）和相關山寨幣的市場觸底和潛在的好轉「比許多人預期的要早」。

Technical Analysis

技術分析

Bitcoin (BTC)

比特幣（BTC）

Bitcoin has been gradually approaching critical support at $59,600, where bulls are likely to mount a strong defense. A sharp reversal from this level would suggest resistance from bulls. BTC/USDT could then climb to the 20-day EMA ($64,897) and 50-day SMA ($67,091). Breaking above this level could pave the way for a retest of $73,777.

比特幣已逐漸接近 59,600 美元的關鍵支撐位，多頭可能會在此進行強有力的防禦。從該水平急劇反轉將表明多頭的阻力。 BTC/USDT 隨後可能攀升至 20 日均線（64,897 美元）和 50 日均線（67,091 美元）。突破該水平可能為重新測試 73,777 美元鋪平道路。

However, if Bitcoin falls below $59,600, it could trigger a sell-off and push the pair towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

然而，如果比特幣跌破 59,600 美元，可能會引發拋售，並將該貨幣對推向 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位 54,298 美元。

Ether (ETH)

以太幣（ETH）

Ether broke above the 20-day EMA ($3,214) on April 27, but bulls failed to overcome the 50-day SMA ($3,397). The subsequent decline indicates selling pressure on rallies. ETH/USDT could drop to $3,056. A strong rebound from this level would suggest support and another attempt to push above the 50-day SMA.

以太坊於 4 月 27 日突破 20 日均線（3,214 美元），但多頭未能突破 50 日均線（3,397 美元）。隨後的下跌表明反彈時的拋售壓力。 ETH/USDT 可能跌至 3,056 美元。從該水平強勁反彈將暗示支撐並再次嘗試突破 50 日移動平均線。

Conversely, a break below $3,056 would indicate bearish dominance and potential fall to the pivotal support at $2,850.

相反，跌破 3,056 美元將表明看跌主導地位，並可能跌至 2,850 美元的關鍵支撐位。

BNB (BNB)

幣安幣 (BNB)

BNB has dipped to the moving averages, a crucial support level for bulls. A break below this level would suggest that bears are defending overhead resistance at $635. BNB/USDT could then descend to $495.

BNB 已跌至移動平均線，這是多頭的關鍵支撐位。跌破該水平表明空頭正在捍衛 635 美元的上方阻力位。 BNB/USDT 隨後可能會跌至 495 美元。

A rebound from the moving averages would indicate positive sentiment and buying on dips. This would increase the likelihood of a rally above $635 and a potential climb to $692.

移動平均線的反彈將表明積極的情緒和逢低買入。這將增加反彈至 635 美元以上並可能攀升至 692 美元的可能性。

Solana (SOL)

索拉納 (太陽)

Solana (SOL) continues to decline and is on track to reach support at $126. Buyers are expected to defend this level aggressively. A strong rebound from $126 would suggest buying at lower levels. SOL/USDT could reach the 20-day EMA ($149). A decline from the 20-day EMA would increase the probability of a fall below $126.

Solana (SOL) 繼續下跌，預計將達到 126 美元的支撐位。預計買家將積極捍衛這一水平。從 126 美元強勁反彈意味著在較低水平買入。 SOL/USDT 可能觸及 20 日均線（149 美元）。從 20 日均線下跌將增加跌破 126 美元的可能性。

Alternatively, a break above the 20-day EMA would indicate a potential extension within the $126 to $162 range. A clear direction may emerge after a break above $162 or below $126.

或者，突破 20 日均線將表明價格可能在 126 美元至 162 美元區間內延伸。突破 162 美元或跌破 126 美元後，可能會出現一個明確的方向。

XRP (XRP)

瑞波幣 (XRP)

XRP (XRP) fell below the uptrend line on April 27, indicating a shift in power towards bears. The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.53) and negative RSI suggest bearish dominance. XRP/USDT could descend to the support zone between $0.46 and $0.41. Buyers are expected to defend this zone fiercely, as a break below it could lead to a decline to $0.35.

XRP (XRP) 於 4 月 27 日跌破上升趨勢線，顯示力量轉向空頭。向下傾斜的 20 日均線（0.53 美元）和負 RSI 表明看跌占主導地位。 XRP/USDT 可能會跌至 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元之間的支撐區域。預計買家將大力捍衛該區域，因為跌破該區域可能導致價格跌至 0.35 美元。

A rise above the 20-day EMA would signal a potential comeback by bulls. They would gain strength with a break and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.58).

升破 20 日均線將預示多頭可能捲土重來。如果突破並收於 50 日移動平均線（0.58 美元）上方，它們將獲得力量。

Toncoin (TON)

東幣 (TON)

Toncoin (TON) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($5.27) on April 27, but the rally failed to reach the 20-day EMA ($5.70). This indicates selling pressure on minor rallies. A decline and break below the 50-day SMA would signal the start of a new downtrend. TON/USDT could fall to $4.7 and subsequently to $4.50.

Toncoin (TON) 於 4 月 27 日從 50 日均線（5.27 美元）反彈，但反彈未能達到 20 日均線（5.70 美元）。這表明小幅反彈面臨拋售壓力。下跌並跌破 50 日移動平均線將標誌著新的下降趨勢的開始。 TON/USDT 可能會跌至 4.7 美元，隨後跌至 4.50 美元。

However, bulls may attempt to push the price above the 20-day EMA and signal a comeback. The pair could then rise to the channel's support line, where bears are likely to mount a strong defense. A successful breakout above the channel would suggest the end of the correction.

然而，多頭可能會試圖將價格推高至 20 日均線上方並發出回歸訊號。隨後，該貨幣對可能會升至該通道的支撐線，空頭可能會在此進行強有力的防禦。成功突破通道上方將表示修正結束。

Dogecoin (DOGE)

狗狗幣 (DOGE)

Dogecoin (DOGE) broke below the symmetrical triangle pattern on April 27, indicating bearish dominance. DOGE/USDT could decline to strong support at $0.12, where bulls are likely to intervene. A weak bounce from $0.12 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown to $0.08.

狗狗幣 (DOGE) 於 4 月 27 日跌破對稱三角形形態，顯示看跌占主導地位。 DOGE/USDT 可能會跌至 0.12 美元的強勁支撐位，多頭可能會介入。從 0.12 美元開始的微弱反彈將增加跌至 0.08 美元的可能性。

On the upside, the zone between the 20-day EMA ($0.16) and the downtrend line is expected to pose a significant hurdle. Buyers must overcome this obstacle to signal a potential end to the downtrend.

從好的方面來看，20 日均線（0.16 美元）和下降趨勢線之間的區域預計將構成重大障礙。買家必須克服這一障礙，以發出下跌趨勢可能結束的訊號。

Cardano (ADA)

卡爾達諾（ADA）

Cardano (ADA) has fallen below the crucial support of $0.46, indicating continued bearish pressure. The downsloping moving averages and negative RSI suggest a downward trajectory. If the price remains below $0.46, ADA/USDT could drop to $0.40.

卡爾達諾（ADA）已跌破 0.46 美元的關鍵支撐位，顯示看跌壓力持續存在。向下傾斜的移動平均線和負 RSI 表示下行軌跡。如果價格保持在 0.46 美元以下，ADA/USDT 可能會跌至 0.40 美元。

This bearish view would be invalidated if the price reverses and breaks above $0.52. This could propel the price to the 50-day SMA ($0.58), where bears may again pose a strong challenge.

如果價格反轉並突破 0.52 美元，這種看跌觀點將失效。這可能會將價格推向 50 日移動平均線（0.58 美元），空頭可能會再次構成強勁挑戰。

Disclaimer: This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trading involve risk, and readers should conduct their own research before making any decisions.

免責聲明：本文不提供投資建議或推薦。所有投資和交易都涉及風險，讀者在做出任何決定之前應自行研究。