Bitcoin and Altcoin Price Analysis

比特币和山寨币价格分析

Bitcoin (BTC)

比特币（BTC）

Bitcoin (BTC) has declined approximately 12% in April. If this trend continues, it will mark the worst monthly performance since November 2022 (CoinGlass data). Bitcoin bulls may face ongoing challenges in May, as the month has historically resulted in negative monthly closes for the past three years.

比特币 (BTC) 4 月份下跌了约 12%。如果这种趋势持续下去，将创下自 2022 年 11 月以来最差的月度表现（CoinGlass 数据）。比特币多头可能在 5 月份面临持续的挑战，因为过去三年的月度收盘价历来都是负值。

Net outflows from spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds for three consecutive days indicate cautiousness among traders (Farside Investors data). They are awaiting a resumption of Bitcoin's uptrend before making further purchases.

现货比特币交易所交易基金连续三天出现净流出，表明交易者持谨慎态度（Farside Investors 数据）。他们正在等待比特币恢复上涨趋势，然后再进行进一步购买。

Altcoins

山寨币

While Bitcoin searches for direction, certain altcoins may demonstrate resilience. Santiment analysts note that gas fees on the Ethereum network have reached a six-month low, suggesting a "lack of demand and strain on the network." This could indicate a market bottom and potential turnaround for Ether (ETH) and associated altcoins "sooner than many may expect."

当比特币寻找方向时，某些山寨币可能会表现出弹性。 Santiment 分析师指出，以太坊网络上的 Gas 费用已达到六个月低点，表明“需求不足且网络紧张”。这可能表明以太坊（ETH）和相关山寨币的市场触底和潜在的好转“比许多人预期的要早”。

Technical Analysis

技术分析

Bitcoin (BTC)

比特币（BTC）

Bitcoin has been gradually approaching critical support at $59,600, where bulls are likely to mount a strong defense. A sharp reversal from this level would suggest resistance from bulls. BTC/USDT could then climb to the 20-day EMA ($64,897) and 50-day SMA ($67,091). Breaking above this level could pave the way for a retest of $73,777.

比特币已逐渐接近 59,600 美元的关键支撑位，多头可能会在此进行强有力的防御。从该水平急剧反转将表明多头的阻力。 BTC/USDT 随后可能攀升至 20 日均线（64,897 美元）和 50 日均线（67,091 美元）。突破该水平可能为重新测试 73,777 美元铺平道路。

However, if Bitcoin falls below $59,600, it could trigger a sell-off and push the pair towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $54,298.

然而，如果比特币跌破 59,600 美元，可能会引发抛售，并将该货币对推向 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元。

Ether (ETH)

以太币（ETH）

Ether broke above the 20-day EMA ($3,214) on April 27, but bulls failed to overcome the 50-day SMA ($3,397). The subsequent decline indicates selling pressure on rallies. ETH/USDT could drop to $3,056. A strong rebound from this level would suggest support and another attempt to push above the 50-day SMA.

以太坊于 4 月 27 日突破 20 日均线（3,214 美元），但多头未能突破 50 日均线（3,397 美元）。随后的下跌表明反弹时的抛售压力。 ETH/USDT 可能跌至 3,056 美元。从该水平强劲反弹将暗示支撑并再次尝试突破 50 日移动平均线。

Conversely, a break below $3,056 would indicate bearish dominance and potential fall to the pivotal support at $2,850.

相反，跌破 3,056 美元将表明看跌主导地位，并可能跌至 2,850 美元的关键支撑位。

BNB (BNB)

币安币 (BNB)

BNB has dipped to the moving averages, a crucial support level for bulls. A break below this level would suggest that bears are defending overhead resistance at $635. BNB/USDT could then descend to $495.

BNB 已跌至移动平均线，这是多头的关键支撑位。跌破该水平表明空头正在捍卫 635 美元的上方阻力位。 BNB/USDT 随后可能会跌至 495 美元。

A rebound from the moving averages would indicate positive sentiment and buying on dips. This would increase the likelihood of a rally above $635 and a potential climb to $692.

移动平均线的反弹将表明积极的情绪和逢低买入。这将增加反弹至 635 美元以上并可能攀升至 692 美元的可能性。

Solana (SOL)

索拉纳 (太阳)

Solana (SOL) continues to decline and is on track to reach support at $126. Buyers are expected to defend this level aggressively. A strong rebound from $126 would suggest buying at lower levels. SOL/USDT could reach the 20-day EMA ($149). A decline from the 20-day EMA would increase the probability of a fall below $126.

Solana (SOL) 继续下跌，有望达到 126 美元的支撑位。预计买家将积极捍卫这一水平。从 126 美元强劲反弹意味着在较低水平买入。 SOL/USDT 可能触及 20 日均线（149 美元）。从 20 日均线下跌将增加跌破 126 美元的可能性。

Alternatively, a break above the 20-day EMA would indicate a potential extension within the $126 to $162 range. A clear direction may emerge after a break above $162 or below $126.

或者，突破 20 日均线将表明价格可能在 126 美元至 162 美元区间内延伸。突破 162 美元或跌破 126 美元后，可能会出现一个明确的方向。

XRP (XRP)

瑞波币 (XRP)

XRP (XRP) fell below the uptrend line on April 27, indicating a shift in power towards bears. The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.53) and negative RSI suggest bearish dominance. XRP/USDT could descend to the support zone between $0.46 and $0.41. Buyers are expected to defend this zone fiercely, as a break below it could lead to a decline to $0.35.

XRP (XRP) 于 4 月 27 日跌破上升趋势线，表明力量转向空头。向下倾斜的 20 日均线（0.53 美元）和负 RSI 表明看跌占主导地位。 XRP/USDT 可能会跌至 0.46 美元至 0.41 美元之间的支撑区域。预计买家将大力捍卫该区域，因为跌破该区域可能导致价格跌至 0.35 美元。

A rise above the 20-day EMA would signal a potential comeback by bulls. They would gain strength with a break and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.58).

升破 20 日均线将预示多头可能卷土重来。如果突破并收于 50 日移动平均线（0.58 美元）上方，它们将获得力量。

Toncoin (TON)

东币 (TON)

Toncoin (TON) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($5.27) on April 27, but the rally failed to reach the 20-day EMA ($5.70). This indicates selling pressure on minor rallies. A decline and break below the 50-day SMA would signal the start of a new downtrend. TON/USDT could fall to $4.7 and subsequently to $4.50.

Toncoin (TON) 于 4 月 27 日从 50 日均线（5.27 美元）反弹，但反弹未能达到 20 日均线（5.70 美元）。这表明小幅反弹面临抛售压力。下跌并跌破 50 日移动平均线将标志着新的下降趋势的开始。 TON/USDT 可能会跌至 4.7 美元，随后跌至 4.50 美元。

However, bulls may attempt to push the price above the 20-day EMA and signal a comeback. The pair could then rise to the channel's support line, where bears are likely to mount a strong defense. A successful breakout above the channel would suggest the end of the correction.

然而，多头可能会试图将价格推高至 20 日均线上方并发出回归信号。随后，该货币对可能会升至该通道的支撑线，空头可能会在此进行强有力的防御。成功突破通道上方将表明修正结束。

Dogecoin (DOGE)

狗狗币 (DOGE)

Dogecoin (DOGE) broke below the symmetrical triangle pattern on April 27, indicating bearish dominance. DOGE/USDT could decline to strong support at $0.12, where bulls are likely to intervene. A weak bounce from $0.12 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown to $0.08.

狗狗币 (DOGE) 于 4 月 27 日跌破对称三角形形态，表明看跌占主导地位。 DOGE/USDT 可能会跌至 0.12 美元的强劲支撑位，多头可能会介入。从 0.12 美元开始的微弱反弹将增加跌至 0.08 美元的可能性。

On the upside, the zone between the 20-day EMA ($0.16) and the downtrend line is expected to pose a significant hurdle. Buyers must overcome this obstacle to signal a potential end to the downtrend.

从好的方面来看，20 日均线（0.16 美元）和下降趋势线之间的区域预计将构成重大障碍。买家必须克服这一障碍，以发出下跌趋势可能结束的信号。

Cardano (ADA)

卡尔达诺（ADA）

Cardano (ADA) has fallen below the crucial support of $0.46, indicating continued bearish pressure. The downsloping moving averages and negative RSI suggest a downward trajectory. If the price remains below $0.46, ADA/USDT could drop to $0.40.

卡尔达诺（ADA）已跌破 0.46 美元的关键支撑位，表明看跌压力持续存在。向下倾斜的移动平均线和负 RSI 表明下行轨迹。如果价格保持在 0.46 美元以下，ADA/USDT 可能会跌至 0.40 美元。

This bearish view would be invalidated if the price reverses and breaks above $0.52. This could propel the price to the 50-day SMA ($0.58), where bears may again pose a strong challenge.

如果价格反转并突破 0.52 美元，这种看跌观点将失效。这可能会将价格推向 50 日移动平均线（0.58 美元），空头可能会再次构成强劲挑战。

Disclaimer: This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trading involve risk, and readers should conduct their own research before making any decisions.

免责声明：本文不提供投资建议或推荐。所有投资和交易都涉及风险，读者在做出任何决定之前应自行研究。