加密貨幣市場新趨勢

New Trends in the Cryptocurrency Market

加密貨幣市場新趨勢

In the cryptocurrency market, a fresh breeze is blowing, buoying meme coins such as Shiba Inu and Pepe Coin while simultaneously reigniting Bitcoin (BTC) prices. Investors are brimming with optimism, anticipating higher weekly closings after weeks of escalating uncertainties. This BTC price forecast aims to analyze Bitcoin's technical and fundamental structure ahead of the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.

在加密貨幣市場中，一股清新的微風正在吹拂，提振了 Shiba Inu 和 Pepe Coin 等迷因幣，同時重新點燃了比特幣 (BTC) 的價格。投資者充滿樂觀情緒，預計在經歷了數週不斷升級的不確定性之後，每週收盤價將會上漲。本次比特幣價格預測旨在美國消費者物價指數（CPI）報告發布之前分析比特幣的技術和基本結構。

Potential Impacts of US Data

美國數據的潛在影響

The CPI is a highly regarded measure of inflation in the United States. It gauges the overall change over time in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates and publishes CPI measurements as weighted averages. Market observers and economists eagerly anticipate the BLS data release on May 15.

CPI 是美國備受推崇的通膨指標。它衡量消費者購買的商品和服務價格隨時間的整體變化。美國勞工統計局 (BLS) 以加權平均值的形式計算並發布 CPI 測量結果。市場觀察家和經濟學家熱切期待 5 月 15 日發布的 BLS 數據。

If inflation persists in April, the risk factor for volatile assets like Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies will intensify. Price movements in recent weeks have prompted further corrections towards $50,000. However, the $56,500 support level last week played a pivotal role in reviving the bull run narrative. This week, bulls are also gaining ground in anticipation of a public statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on May 14. Additionally, markets await the announcement of the Producer Price Index (PPI).

如果4月通膨持續，比特幣、加密貨幣等波動性資產的風險因素將會加劇。最近幾週的價格走勢促使價格進一步回調至 5 萬美元。然而，上週 56,500 美元的支撐位在重振牛市敘事中發揮了關鍵作用。本週，多頭也在期待聯準會主席鮑威爾 5 月 14 日的公開聲明。

Markets are highly attuned to Powell's remarks and the specific policy decisions contemplated by the Fed. Generally, investors do not anticipate a rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting in June. Attention has now shifted to September for the first potential rate cut in 2024. Bitcoin has yet to record a third consecutive daily rise candle since the last drop candle on May 10. A 2.1% surge in the cryptocurrency to $62,634 contributes to the stabilization of the uptrend.

市場高度關注鮑威爾的言論以及聯準會考慮的具體政策決定。一般來說，投資者預計即將舉行的六月聯準會會議不會降息。現在人們的注意力已經轉移到9 月份，因為2024 年首次可能降息。美元，有助於穩定比特幣價格。

Bitcoin’s $70,000 Target

比特幣的 70,000 美元目標

However, the BTC price forecast suggests that the leading cryptocurrency will remain in a precarious position unless it regains support from the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and 50-day EMA. The slightly bullish outlook of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator could further enhance the likelihood of a May breakout to $70,000. However, its current position at -864, coupled with short bullish histograms, indicates potential selling pressure risk. Investors should exercise caution this week, particularly in light of various macroeconomic events.

然而，BTC 價格預測表明，除非重新獲得 20 日指數移動平均線 (EMA) 和 50 日 EMA 的支撐，否則領先的加密貨幣將繼續處於不穩定狀態。移動平均線收斂分歧 (MACD) 指標的略微看漲前景可能會進一步提高 5 月突破 70,000 美元的可能性。然而，其目前位置為-864，加上空頭看漲長條圖，顯示潛在的拋售壓力風險。投資者本週應保持謹慎，尤其是考慮到各種宏觀經濟事件。

A decline below $60,000 is still possible, potentially extending the correction to $56,500 and, if sustained, towards $50,000. Conversely, positive CPI data could entice investors to support a Bitcoin price increase to $70,000. Surpassing resistance levels at $65,000 and $67,500 could potentially trigger a surge of FOMO.

仍有可能跌破 60,000 美元，調整幅度可能擴大至 56,500 美元，如果持續的話，將進一步擴大至 50,000 美元。相反，積極的 CPI 數據可能會吸引投資者支持比特幣價格上漲至 70,000 美元。突破 65,000 美元和 67,500 美元的阻力位可能會引發 FOMO 情緒的飆升。