加密货币市场新趋势

New Trends in the Cryptocurrency Market

加密货币市场新趋势

In the cryptocurrency market, a fresh breeze is blowing, buoying meme coins such as Shiba Inu and Pepe Coin while simultaneously reigniting Bitcoin (BTC) prices. Investors are brimming with optimism, anticipating higher weekly closings after weeks of escalating uncertainties. This BTC price forecast aims to analyze Bitcoin's technical and fundamental structure ahead of the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.

在加密货币市场中，一股清新的微风正在吹拂，提振了 Shiba Inu 和 Pepe Coin 等模因币，同时重新点燃了比特币 (BTC) 的价格。投资者充满乐观情绪，预计在经历了数周不断升级的不确定性之后，每周收盘价将会上涨。本次比特币价格预测旨在在美国消费者价格指数（CPI）报告发布之前分析比特币的技术和基本结构。

Potential Impacts of US Data

美国数据的潜在影响

The CPI is a highly regarded measure of inflation in the United States. It gauges the overall change over time in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates and publishes CPI measurements as weighted averages. Market observers and economists eagerly anticipate the BLS data release on May 15.

CPI 是美国备受推崇的通胀指标。它衡量消费者购买的商品和服务价格随时间的总体变化。美国劳工统计局 (BLS) 以加权平均值的形式计算并发布 CPI 测量结果。市场观察家和经济学家热切期待 5 月 15 日发布的 BLS 数据。

If inflation persists in April, the risk factor for volatile assets like Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies will intensify. Price movements in recent weeks have prompted further corrections towards $50,000. However, the $56,500 support level last week played a pivotal role in reviving the bull run narrative. This week, bulls are also gaining ground in anticipation of a public statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on May 14. Additionally, markets await the announcement of the Producer Price Index (PPI).

如果4月份通胀持续，比特币、加密货币等波动性资产的风险因素将会加剧。最近几周的价格走势促使价格进一步回调至 50,000 美元。然而，上周 56,500 美元的支撑位在重振牛市叙事中发挥了关键作用。本周，多头也在期待美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔 5 月 14 日的公开声明。此外，市场也在等待生产者价格指数 (PPI) 的公布。

Markets are highly attuned to Powell's remarks and the specific policy decisions contemplated by the Fed. Generally, investors do not anticipate a rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting in June. Attention has now shifted to September for the first potential rate cut in 2024. Bitcoin has yet to record a third consecutive daily rise candle since the last drop candle on May 10. A 2.1% surge in the cryptocurrency to $62,634 contributes to the stabilization of the uptrend.

市场高度关注鲍威尔的言论以及美联储考虑的具体政策决定。一般来说，投资者预计即将举行的六月美联储会议不会降息。现在人们的注意力已经转移到 9 月份，因为 2024 年首次可能降息。自 5 月 10 日最后一根下跌蜡烛以来，比特币尚未录得连续第三个日上涨蜡烛。加密货币飙升 2.1% 至 62,634 美元，有助于稳定比特币价格。上升趋势。

Bitcoin’s $70,000 Target

比特币的 70,000 美元目标

However, the BTC price forecast suggests that the leading cryptocurrency will remain in a precarious position unless it regains support from the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and 50-day EMA. The slightly bullish outlook of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator could further enhance the likelihood of a May breakout to $70,000. However, its current position at -864, coupled with short bullish histograms, indicates potential selling pressure risk. Investors should exercise caution this week, particularly in light of various macroeconomic events.

然而，BTC 价格预测表明，除非重新获得 20 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 和 50 日 EMA 的支撑，否则领先的加密货币将继续处于不稳定状态。移动平均线收敛分歧 (MACD) 指标的略微看涨前景可能会进一步提高 5 月份突破 70,000 美元的可能性。然而，其当前位置为-864，加上空头看涨柱状图，表明潜在的抛售压力风险。投资者本周应保持谨慎，尤其是考虑到各种宏观经济事件。

A decline below $60,000 is still possible, potentially extending the correction to $56,500 and, if sustained, towards $50,000. Conversely, positive CPI data could entice investors to support a Bitcoin price increase to $70,000. Surpassing resistance levels at $65,000 and $67,500 could potentially trigger a surge of FOMO.

仍有可能跌破 60,000 美元，调整幅度可能扩大至 56,500 美元，如果持续的话，将进一步扩大至 50,000 美元。相反，积极的 CPI 数据可能会吸引投资者支持比特币价格上涨至 70,000 美元。突破 65,000 美元和 67,500 美元的阻力位可能会引发 FOMO 情绪的飙升。