While some speculate Bitcoin may have already peaked in 2023, one prominent analyst believes there is more upside ahead this year.
尽管一些人猜测比特币可能已经在 2023 年达到顶峰，但一位著名分析师认为今年还有更多上涨空间。
According to popular TradingView trader FieryTrading’s recent analysis, Bitcoin could still rally to $48,500 before its 2024 halving event based on historical market cycles.
根据热门 TradingView 交易商 FieryTrading 最近的分析，根据历史市场周期，比特币在 2024 年减半事件之前仍可能反弹至 48,500 美元。
They posted an interesting comparison between the 2019 pre-halving Bitcoin pump and the current market cycle.
他们发布了 2019 年减半前比特币暴涨与当前市场周期之间的有趣比较。
In 2019, Bitcoin rallied from around $3,100 to $14,000 before the 2020 halving event. This pump took Bitcoin all the way to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which aligned with the 2019 yearly high.
2019 年，比特币在 2020 年减半事件之前从 3,100 美元左右上涨至 14,000 美元。此次上涨将比特币一路推向 0.618 斐波那契回撤位，与 2019 年的年度高点一致。
FieryTrading notes that if we examine the current cycle, the 0.618 Fib retracement level is around $48,500 – coincidentally near the 2022 yearly high from March.
FieryTrading 指出，如果我们检查当前周期，0.618 Fib 回撤位约为 48,500 美元，巧合的是接近 3 月份以来的 2022 年年度高点。
So could history repeat itself, with Bitcoin pumping to $48.5K in 2023 before the 2024 halving? As FieryTrading states, markets often rhyme from cycle to cycle. The symmetry is certainly interesting to observe.
那么历史是否会重演，比特币在 2023 年价格飙升至 4.85 万美元，然后在 2024 年减半呢？正如 FieryTrading 所说，市场往往在不同的周期中押韵。观察这种对称性确实很有趣。
Of course, relying solely on a Fibonacci extension carries risks. Still, the potential confluence between the 0.618 level, prior 2022 highs, and historic comparison to 2019, makes $48.5K a level to watch in the months ahead.
当然，仅仅依赖斐波那契扩展是有风险的。尽管如此，0.618 水平、2022 年之前的高点以及与 2019 年的历史比较之间的潜在汇合使得 48.5 万美元成为未来几个月值得关注的水平。
With Bitcoin already rallying in late 2022 and into 2023, from around $17k to over $37k, continued momentum could plausibly carry it to test the $48.5K zone later this year.
由于比特币已经在 2022 年底和 2023 年反弹，从 1.7 万美元左右上涨至 3.7 万美元以上，持续的势头可能会在今年晚些时候测试 4.85 万美元的区域。
However, breaking such a heavy resistance level will certainly be a tough task. Bitcoin may very well peak lower, or face harsh rejections at lower levels like $45K.
然而，突破如此沉重的阻力位肯定是一项艰巨的任务。比特币很可能会见顶走低，或者在 4.5 万美元等较低水平面临严厉拒绝。
Read also:
另请阅读：
- Altcoin Market Cap Gearing Up for 14% Rally, But Critical Support Retest Comes First
- Dogecoin Has Only One Direction From Here as Price Confirms Crucial Breakout
- Investment Spike in VC Spectra by Whales; Prospects for THORChain and Aptos
山寨币市值有望上涨 14%，但首先需要重新测试关键支撑
狗狗币从这里只有一个方向，因为价格确认了关键突破
Whales 对 VC Spectra 的投资激增； THORChain 和 Aptos 的前景
But in this market, anything is possible. If buying pressure remains strong in 2023, a rally to tag the 0.618 before the halving should not be ruled out. Bitcoin has overcome far steeper odds before.
但在这个市场上，一切皆有可能。如果 2023 年买盘压力依然强劲，则不排除在减半前反弹至 0.618 的可能性。比特币之前已经克服了更大的困难。
As always in crypto, expect high volatility ahead. But FieryTrading offers an insightful potential roadmap for where this pre-halving run could go next.
与加密货币领域一样，预计未来会出现高波动性。但 FieryTrading 为减半前的下一步发展提供了一个富有洞察力的潜在路线图。
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The post Bitcoin (BTC) Did Not Peak in 2023 According to Top Crypto Trader – Here’s His Price Target appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.
根据顶级加密交易员的说法，比特币 (BTC) 在 2023 年并未达到顶峰——这是他的价格目标，该帖子首先出现在 CaptainAltcoin 上。
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