Bitcoin saw a surge today, trading as high as $44,250 before pulling back to $43,600. This brings it close to its 2023 high near $44.5k reached on December 8th. However, crypto analysts are warning that history may repeat itself with a retracement.

比特币今天飙升，交易价格高达 44,250 美元，然后回落至 43,600 美元。这使其接近 12 月 8 日达到的 2023 年高点，接近 4.45 万美元。然而，加密货币分析师警告称，历史可能会重演并出现回调。

Popular crypto analyst CryptoCon, with over 70k Twitter followers, commented on the recent price action: “Is Bitcoin price more optimistic than I thought? It makes sense that as some data fired, others would be thinking ahead and the 48k target that seems to be unanimously agreed upon would not be reached.”

拥有超过 7 万 Twitter 粉丝的热门加密货币分析师 CryptoCon 对最近的价格走势发表了评论：“比特币价格比我想象的更乐观吗？这是有道理的，随着一些数据的发布，其他人会提前思考，而似乎一致同意的 48k 目标将无法实现。”

What CryptoCon means is that many analysts have been expecting Bitcoin to top out around $48k based on various indicators. However, if those indicators did not align perfectly, it leaves room for Bitcoin to potentially break out above $48k if new highs are achieved. CryptoCon explains “If the cycle mid-top is not in and Bitcoin breaks into new highs, then MVRV-Z aligning in its red zone makes sense, along with a few other indicators that have missed their mark. Then we head to the famed 47-49k mark.”

CryptoCon 的意思是，根据各种指标，许多分析师一直预计比特币将达到 4.8 万美元左右的最高点。然而，如果这些指标没有完美吻合，那么如果达到新高，比特币就有可能突破 48,000 美元。 CryptoCon 解释说：“如果周期中顶尚未到来，并且比特币突破新高，那么 MVRV-Z 与其他一些未达到目标的指标一起在红色区域对齐是有意义的。然后我们将迈向著名的 47-49k 大关。”

Another top analyst, Ali, with over 30k Twitter followers, also urged caution in the current market: “From capitulation to belief, the mood in the #Bitcoin market has seen a full spectrum of changes. However, it’s worth noting that historically, every time sentiment has shifted from capitulation to belief, $BTC has experienced a retracement. Could history repeat itself?”

另一位拥有超过 3 万 Twitter 粉丝的顶级分析师阿里也敦促对当前市场保持谨慎：“从投降到信仰，#Bitcoin 市场的情绪已经发生了全方位的变化。然而，值得注意的是，从历史上看，每次情绪从投降转向信念时，BTC 都会经历一次回调。历史会重演吗？”

What Ali is getting at is that market sentiment has moved from extreme fear during the summer capitulation event back to optimism and “belief” in Bitcoin. If history rhymes, sudden sentiment shifts like this have preceded retracements. So despite Bitcoin’s surge, a pullback may still occur.

阿里的意思是，市场情绪已经从夏季投降事件期间的极度恐惧转变为对比特币的乐观和“信念”。如果历史相似的话，像这样的突然情绪转变就先于回调。因此，尽管比特币飙升，但回调可能仍会发生。

On the technical side, Bitcoin’s daily relative strength index (RSI) now reads 63. An RSI above 70 is considered overbought territory, while a reading below 30 is oversold. So at 63, Bitcoin is getting closer to overbought conditions but still has some room left before hitting historically overextended levels.

在技​​术方面，比特币的每日相对强度指数（RSI）目前为 63。RSI 高于 70 被视为超买区域，而低于 30 则被视为超卖。因此，比特币价格为 63 时，正越来越接近超买状态，但在触及历史超买水平之前仍有一定空间。

Finally, there is hype building around a potential Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval by January 2024. The crypto community widely expects such an event, which could drive Bitcoin back toward the $50k threshold. With the deadline impending, the next few weeks will be an interesting period for Bitcoin price action.

最后，围绕比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 可能在 2024 年 1 月获得批准的炒作不断升温。加密货币社区普遍预期这样的事件会发生，这可能会推动比特币重回 5 万美元的门槛。随着截止日期的临近，接下来的几周将是比特币价格走势的有趣时期。

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The post Bitcoin (BTC) Reaches 2023 High Near $44.5k, But Here’s Why Historical Data Suggests a Pullback is Due appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.

比特币 (BTC) 达到 2023 年高点近 4.45 万美元，但历史数据表明回调即将到来的原因首先出现在 CaptainAltcoin 上。