Bitcoin saw a surge today, trading as high as $44,250 before pulling back to $43,600. This brings it close to its 2023 high near $44.5k reached on December 8th. However, crypto analysts are warning that history may repeat itself with a retracement.
比特幣今天飆升，交易價格高達 44,250 美元，然後回落至 43,600 美元。這使其接近 12 月 8 日達到的 2023 年高點，接近 4.45 萬美元。然而，加密貨幣分析師警告稱，歷史可能會重演並出現回調。
Popular crypto analyst CryptoCon, with over 70k Twitter followers, commented on the recent price action: “Is Bitcoin price more optimistic than I thought? It makes sense that as some data fired, others would be thinking ahead and the 48k target that seems to be unanimously agreed upon would not be reached.”
擁有超過 7 萬 Twitter 粉絲的熱門加密貨幣分析師 CryptoCon 對最近的價格走勢發表了評論：「比特幣價格比我想像的更樂觀嗎？這是有道理的，隨著一些數據的發布，其他人會提前思考，而似乎一致同意的 48k 目標將無法實現。”
What CryptoCon means is that many analysts have been expecting Bitcoin to top out around $48k based on various indicators. However, if those indicators did not align perfectly, it leaves room for Bitcoin to potentially break out above $48k if new highs are achieved. CryptoCon explains “If the cycle mid-top is not in and Bitcoin breaks into new highs, then MVRV-Z aligning in its red zone makes sense, along with a few other indicators that have missed their mark. Then we head to the famed 47-49k mark.”
CryptoCon 的意思是，根據各種指標，許多分析師一直預計比特幣將達到 4.8 萬美元左右的最高點。然而，如果這些指標沒有完美吻合，那麼如果達到新高，比特幣就有可能突破 48,000 美元。 CryptoCon 解釋說：「如果週期中頂尚未到來，並且比特幣突破新高，那麼 MVRV-Z 與其他一些未達到目標的指標一起在紅色區域對齊是有意義的。然後我們將邁向著名的 47-49k 大關。”
Another top analyst, Ali, with over 30k Twitter followers, also urged caution in the current market: “From capitulation to belief, the mood in the #Bitcoin market has seen a full spectrum of changes. However, it’s worth noting that historically, every time sentiment has shifted from capitulation to belief, $BTC has experienced a retracement. Could history repeat itself?”
另一位擁有超過 3 萬 Twitter 粉絲的頂級分析師阿里也敦促對當前市場保持謹慎：「從投降到信仰，#Bitcoin 市場的情緒已經發生了全方位的變化。然而，值得注意的是，從歷史上看，每次情緒從投降轉向信仰時，BTC 都會經歷一次回調。歷史會重演嗎？”
What Ali is getting at is that market sentiment has moved from extreme fear during the summer capitulation event back to optimism and “belief” in Bitcoin. If history rhymes, sudden sentiment shifts like this have preceded retracements. So despite Bitcoin’s surge, a pullback may still occur.
阿里的意思是，市場情緒已經從夏季投降事件期間的極度恐懼轉變為對比特幣的樂觀和「信念」。如果歷史相似的話，像這樣的突然情緒轉變就先於回調。因此，儘管比特幣飆升，但回檔可能仍會發生。
On the technical side, Bitcoin’s daily relative strength index (RSI) now reads 63. An RSI above 70 is considered overbought territory, while a reading below 30 is oversold. So at 63, Bitcoin is getting closer to overbought conditions but still has some room left before hitting historically overextended levels.
在技術方面，比特幣的每日相對強度指數（RSI）目前為 63。RSI 高於 70 被視為超買區域，而低於 30 則被視為超賣。因此，當比特幣價格為 63 時，正越來越接近超買狀態，但在觸及歷史超買水平之前仍有一定空間。
Finally, there is hype building around a potential Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval by January 2024. The crypto community widely expects such an event, which could drive Bitcoin back toward the $50k threshold. With the deadline impending, the next few weeks will be an interesting period for Bitcoin price action.
最後，圍繞比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 可能在 2024 年 1 月獲得批准的炒作不斷升溫。加密貨幣社群普遍預期這樣的事件會發生，這可能會推動比特幣重回 5 萬美元的門檻。隨著截止日期的臨近，接下來的幾週將是比特幣價格走勢的有趣時期。
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The post Bitcoin (BTC) Reaches 2023 High Near $44.5k, But Here’s Why Historical Data Suggests a Pullback is Due appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.
比特幣 (BTC) 達到 2023 年高點近 4.45 萬美元，但歷史數據顯示回檔即將到來的原因首先出現在 CaptainAltcoin 上。
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