Dogecoin Poised for Long-Term Bullish Rally, Analyst Predicts

分析师预测，狗狗币将迎来长期看涨反弹

According to crypto analyst Behdark, Dogecoin has entered a bullish rally that could propel its price significantly higher. This assessment follows a sharp recovery from a dip below $0.13, with the price now hovering above $0.16.

根据加密货币分析师 Behdark 的说法，狗狗币已经进入看涨反弹，这可能会推动其价格大幅上涨。此评估是在价格从 0.13 美元以下的跌幅中急剧反弹之后做出的，目前价格徘徊在 0.16 美元以上。

Factors Driving the Bull Run

推动牛市的因素

Behdark identifies several factors contributing to Dogecoin's current bullish momentum.

Behdark 指出了导致狗狗币当前看涨势头的几个因素。

• **Strong Support at $0.1:** The price has established a robust support level just above $0.1, preventing further declines and facilitating rebounds.
• Extended Correction Period: Dogecoin has undergone a prolonged period of correction, making it ripe for a bullish reversal. Behdark draws parallels to a previous 900-day correction, suggesting this one could extend beyond 500 days.
• Breakout from October 2023: The rally commenced in October 2023 when the price broke above $0.06. This move initiated an alternating pattern of uptrends and downtrends, leading to the current bullish wave.

Invalidation Thesis

**0.1 美元的强支撑：** 价格已在 0.1 美元上方建立了强劲的支撑位，防止进一步下跌并促进反弹。 延长修正期：狗狗币经历了长时间的修正，看涨逆转的时机已经成熟。 Behdark 与之前的 900 天修正相类似，表明本次修正可能会延续到 500 天以上。 2023 年 10 月突破：反弹始于 2023 年 10 月，当时价格突破 0.06 美元。这一举措引发了上升趋势和下降趋势的交替模式，导致了当前的看涨浪潮。无效论文

Behdark outlines a condition that could invalidate his bullish prediction: the price falling below $0.08. Closing a daily candle beneath this level would negate the analysis.

Behdark 概述了一个可能使他的看涨预测无效的条件：价格跌破 0.08 美元。每日蜡烛收盘价低于该水平将使分析无效。

Price Targets and Wave Structure

价格目标和波浪结构

Behdark believes Dogecoin is currently in a D wave, following the completion of the C wave after rising above $0.2. Historically, the D wave has been bullish, often triggering a 100% price increase.

Behdark 认为，狗狗币目前正处于 D 浪中，继升破 0.2 美元后完成 C 浪之后。从历史上看，D浪一直看涨，经常引发100%的价格上涨。

The analyst sets the first target at $0.28, followed by a retracement to $0.16, completing the E and F waves. The subsequent G wave could push the price over 100% to $0.38.

分析师将第一个目标定为 0.28 美元，随后回撤至 0.16 美元，完成 E 浪和 F 浪。随后的 G 波可能会将价格推高 100% 以上至 0.38 美元。

Current Market Position

目前的市场地位

As of writing, Dogecoin is trading above $0.16, marking an 18.6% increase over the past week. It remains the 8th-largest cryptocurrency, with a market capitalization of $24.18 billion.

截至撰写本文时，狗狗币的交易价格高于 0.16 美元，较过去一周上涨 18.6%。它仍然是第八大加密货币，市值为 241.8 亿美元。