The Dogecoin open interest rose to a new all-time high earlier in March, and while there has been a small retracement, the open interest has continued to maintain very high record levels since then. Given this continuous high level, it could point to where the price of the meme coin is headed next using historical data.
狗狗币未平仓合约在三月初升至历史新高,虽然出现了小幅回撤,但此后未平仓合约继续保持非常高的历史水平。鉴于这种持续的高水平,它可能会根据历史数据指出模因币的下一步价格走向。
Dogecoin Open Interest Maintains High Level
Open interest is a measure of the total number of futures or options contracts of a particular coin in the market at a give time. It can help to tell how much money is flowing into that particular asset, thereby revealing if there a high or love interest in the asset.
狗狗币未平仓合约保持高水平未平仓合约是衡量特定时间市场上特定货币的期货或期权合约总数的指标。它可以帮助了解有多少资金流入该特定资产,从而揭示对该资产是否有很高的兴趣或喜爱的兴趣。
On Dogecoin’s part, its total open interest has been rising over the last few months, especially as the crypto market recovered, as shown by data from Coinglass. A natural consequence of this was that the price was also climbing at the same time as the open interest and thus, there is a high correlation between open interest and price.
相关阅读:比特币鲸鱼正在兑现,推动历史新高就狗狗币而言,过去几个月,其未平仓总量一直在上升,特别是随着加密货币市场的复苏,Coinglass 的数据显示。这样做的一个自然结果是,价格也在与未平仓合约同时上涨,因此,未平仓合约和价格之间存在高度相关性。
The DOGE open interest hit a new all-time high of $1.47 billion on March 5, and the meme coin has not looked back since. Despite a small decline in the following days, the open interest is rising once again, reaching $.144 billion on March 14 and taking the price with it.
3 月 5 日,DOGE 未平仓合约创下 14.7 亿美元的历史新高,此后,这款 Meme 币就再也没有回过头来。尽管随后几天小幅下跌,但持仓量再次上升,于 3 月 14 日达到 1.44 亿美元,价格也随之上涨。
While the rise in open interest does point to a lot of bullishness in the market, historical performance during times like these also calls for caution. Taking a look at what happened the previous times that the Dogecoin open interest hit new all-time highs could give an idea of where the price is headed next.
虽然未平仓合约的增加确实表明市场存在很大的看涨情绪,但在这样的时期的历史表现也需要谨慎。看看狗狗币未平仓合约创下历史新高之前发生的情况,可以让我们了解价格下一步的走向。
Where Can DOGE Go From Here?
Over the years, there have been various points at which the Dogecoin open interest has reached new all-time highs and a trend has emerged, in a manner of speaking. Looking as far back as 2021 when the open interest hit ATHs multiple time, this trend plays out similarly.
狗狗币可以走向何方? 多年来,狗狗币的未平仓合约在不同的时间点达到了历史新高,并且某种趋势已经出现。回顾 2021 年,当时未平仓合约多次触及 ATH,这一趋势也类似。
A sustained rise until a new all-time high is reached, with the price rising along, and then followed by a crash in open interest, as well as price. This was the case in September 2021 when the open interest reached a new all-time high and then again in November 2021 when it clocked another ATH.
持续上涨,直到达到新的历史高点,价格随之上涨,然后持仓量和价格暴跌。 2021 年 9 月的情况就是这样,当时未平仓合约创下历史新高,然后在 2021 年 11 月再次创下历史新高。
Moving forward, the same trend is seen in October 2021 when the DOGE open rose close to its previous all-time high, but ended the same way as the previous ones – with a crash. These crashes almost always affect the DOGE price as well, causing it to drop to the levels before the surge in open interest.
相关阅读:Samson Mow 给出了比特币价格今年可能达到 100 万美元的原因展望未来,2021 年 10 月也出现了同样的趋势,当时 DOGE 开盘价升至接近之前的历史高点,但收盘方式与之前相同 –伴随着崩溃。这些崩盘几乎总是会影响 DOGE 价格,导致其跌至未平仓合约激增之前的水平。
If this pattern holds this time around, then a crash might be ahead for the Dogecoin open interest and the DOGE price by extension. A likely scenario is a 20% drop that could send the DOGE price back toward $0.15 before the crypto market picks up steam once again.
如果这次保持这种模式,那么狗狗币未平仓合约和狗狗币价格可能会崩盘。一种可能的情况是,在加密货币市场再次提振之前,DOGE 价格会下跌 20%,回到 0.15 美元。
DOGE bulls hold up price | Source: DOGEUSDT on Tradingview.com
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