Dogecoin's Monthly Chart Shows a Recurring Pattern

Dogecoin的每月图表显示了一个经常性的模式

On a monthly timeframe, Dogecoin is exhibiting recurring patterns near previous cycle highs. Price movements during the 2017 breakout mirrored a similar pattern, forming rounded bases before surpassing resistance levels. This pattern is repeating; Dogecoin has formed multiple rounded bottoms and experienced resistance rejection. A breakout above resistance could mirror the 2017 surge. The 2017 breakout included periods of consolidation and rapid price growth. Confirmation of a breakout above the red resistance line could trigger price discovery and a potential return to previous highs.

在每月的时间范围内，Dogecoin在以前的周期高点附近表现出反复出现的图案。 2017年突破期间的价格变动反映了类似的模式，在超过阻力水平之前形成了圆形基础。 这种模式正在重复； Dogecoin已形成多个圆形底部和经历的阻力排斥。 超过阻力的突破可以反映2017年的激增。 2017年的突破包括合并期间和价格快速增长期。 确认在红色阻力线上的突破可能会触发价格发现，并可能回到以前的高点。

DOGE/USD monthly chart | Source: X

DOGE/USD月表|来源：X

However, this pattern also suggests the possibility of extended sideways movement or further resistance unless past conditions are replicated. The resistance area poses a significant barrier, potentially leading to renewed support testing before another breakout attempt. Accumulation behavior observed just before resistance became insurmountable might invalidate the breakout prediction. A decisive break with strong momentum will confirm a rally; otherwise, extended sideways trading is likely.

但是，这种模式还表明，除非复制过去的条件，否则该模式可能会扩展侧向运动或进一步的阻力。 阻力区域构成了重大障碍，有可能导致在一次突破尝试之前进行新的支持测试。 在阻力变得无法克服之前观察到的累积行为可能会使突破预测无效。 具有强大动力的决定性突破将确认集会。否则，可能会进行延长的侧向交易。

Dogecoin's On-Chain Activity Remains Strong Despite Price Drops

尽管价格下降，但Dogecoin的链链活动仍然很强

Despite two months of cryptocurrency market depreciation resulting in significant Dogecoin losses, on-chain activity has increased. Data shows a rise in Dogecoin wallets holding over 1 million tokens since early February (approximately 1.24%). Large financial institutions also continue to increase their holdings, indicating sustained interest. Since mid-November, daily active addresses have reached a four-month high of 150,000, even amidst declining prices.

尽管两个月的加密货币市场折旧导致了巨大的狗狗损失，但链上的活动仍有增加。 数据显示，自2月初以来，狗狗钱包的持有超过100万个令牌（约1.24％）。 大型金融机构还继续增加其持股，表明持续的利息。 自11月中旬以来，每日活跃的地址达到了15万个月的四个月高点，甚至在价格下降的情况下。

DOGE on-chain activity | Source: Santimentfeed

大门链活动|资料来源：SantimentFeed

Increased network activity points to a high level of ongoing engagement. While Dogecoin's price peaked in late 2024 before declining, recent data suggests potential stabilization. The crypto market's growing stability could signal a fundamental shift. The increased ownership by "smart money" and intensified utility signals suggest a potential price increase.

增加网络活动的指向高水平的持续参与度。 尽管Dogecoin的价格在2024年底在下降之前达到顶峰，但最近的数据表明潜在的稳定。 加密货币市场的稳定性增长可能意味着基本转变。 “智能货币”和加强公用事业信号的所有权增加表明潜在的价格上涨。

Dogecoin Market Sentiment: Diverging Views

Dogecoin市场情绪：不同的观点

Sentiment analysis reveals a divergence in investor opinions. Retail investors express negative sentiment (-0.66), described as bearish by Market Prophit on X (formerly Twitter). Conversely, sophisticated investors show bullish sentiment (0.33). This disparity reflects differing perspectives.

情感分析表明投资者意见有分歧。 散户投资者表达负面情绪（-0.66），在X（以前为Twitter）上被市场先知描述为看跌。 相反，先进的投资者表现出看涨的情绪（0.33）。 这种差异反映了不同的观点。

Market sentiment | Source: Market Prophit

市场情绪|资料来源：市场先知

Retail investors' negative outlook stems from Dogecoin's price decline; they often follow short-term trends. Conversely, "smart money" investors identify value opportunities, anticipating future price recovery. This divergence suggests a potential turning point for Dogecoin.

散户投资者的负面看法源于狗狗的价格下跌；他们经常遵循短期趋势。 相反，“智能货币”投资者确定了价值机会，预计未来的价格恢复。这种分歧表明狗狗币的可能转折点。

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