Bitcoin Eyes Support Hold, Altcoins Face Pressure

比特币受到支持，山寨币面临压力

Bitcoin (BTC) has dipped below $90,000, facing resistance from bears eager to shift control. However, historical data reveals a January dip after halving years, presenting potential buying opportunities. In 2017 and 2021, BTC experienced declines of 30% and 25%, respectively, but rebounded and reached record highs later in the year.

比特币 (BTC) 已跌破 90,000 美元，面临急于转移控制权的空头的阻力。然而，历史数据显示，在减半数年后，一月份出现下跌，带来了潜在的买入机会。 2017 年和 2021 年，BTC 分别经历了 30% 和 25% 的下跌，但在当年晚些时候出现反弹并创下历史新高。

The broader financial markets are also experiencing turbulence, with the S&P 500 (SPX) undergoing a correction. The strength of the US Dollar Index (DXY) is pressuring risk assets, while markets anticipate less aggressive rate cuts in the future.

更广泛的金融市场也正在经历动荡，标准普尔 500 指数 (SPX) 正在经历调整。美元指数（DXY）的走强给风险资产带来压力，而市场预计未来降息幅度不会那么大。

Despite short-term uncertainty, long-term investors continue to accumulate Bitcoin. MicroStrategy has recently acquired 2,530 BTC, boosting its holdings to 450,000.

尽管短期存在不确定性，但长期投资者仍在继续积累比特币。 MicroStrategy 最近收购了 2,530 BTC，使其持有量增至 450,000。

Technical Analysis

技术分析

S&P 500 Index

标准普尔 500 指数

SPX has formed a head-and-shoulders pattern, with a breakdown below 5,853. Bulls aim to recover the level, while bears seek to defend it. A drop below 5,853 could trigger a fall to 5,670, while a break above 5,929 (20-day EMA) could invalidate the breakdown.

SPX 已形成头肩形态，跌破 5,853 点。多头的目标是恢复该水平，而空头则寻求捍卫该水平。跌破 5,853 点可能会引发跌至 5,670 点，而突破 5,929 点（20 日均线）则可能导致跌破无效。

US Dollar Index

美元指数

DXY has bounced off its 20-day EMA, indicating positive sentiment and support for the uptrend. Bulls have pushed the index above 109.53. Further rallies are possible towards 111.27 and 113.14, while a drop below 108 could signal a reversal.

DXY 已从 20 日均线反弹，表明积极情绪和对上升趋势的支持。多头已将该指数推升至109.53上方。可能会进一步反弹至111.27和113.14，而跌破108则可能预示着反转。

Bitcoin

比特币

BTC has turned down from its 20-day EMA, facing selling pressure. A dip below $90,000 could lead to a potential drop to $85,000 or $73,777. Bulls are trying to hold the $90,000 level, but a sustained breakdown could extend the decline.

BTC 已从 20 日均线回落，面临抛售压力。跌破 90,000 美元可能导致价格跌至 85,000 美元或 73,777 美元。多头试图守住 90,000 美元的水平，但持续下跌可能会延续跌势。

Ether

醚

ETH has broken down below the head-and-shoulders neckline, indicating bearish dominance. A decline to $2,850 is likely, with support expected there. A rally from $2,850 could face resistance at the neckline, increasing the risk of a drop below $2,850. A break above the neckline could signal a bullish reversal.

ETH 已跌破头肩颈线，表明看跌占据主导地位。价格可能会跌至 2,850 美元，预计会有支撑。从 2,850 美元开始的反弹可能会在颈线遇到阻力，从而增加跌破 2,850 美元的风险。突破颈线可能预示着看涨逆转。

XRP

瑞波币

XRP has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, showing bullish potential. Support lies at $2.35 (20-day EMA), while a rise above the triangle could lead to gains towards $2.60, $2.73, and $2.91. A break below the moving averages could result in a dip to the support line.

XRP 已突破对称三角形模式，显示出看涨潜力。支撑位于 2.35 美元（20 日均线），而升破三角形可能会导致涨至 2.60 美元、2.73 美元和 2.91 美元。跌破移动平均线可能会导致支撑线下跌。

BNB

币安银行

BNB has failed to reclaim $697 (20-day EMA), indicating a sell-off at higher levels. Bears aim to push the pair towards the uptrend line, with a breach below this support potentially leading to a decline to $635. A recovery from the uptrend line would signal ongoing bullish sentiment.

BNB 未能收复 697 美元（20 日均线），表明抛售处于更高水平。空头的目标是将该货币对推向上升趋势线，突破该支撑位可能会导致跌至 635 美元。从上升趋势线的复苏将标志着持续的看涨情绪。

Solana

索拉纳

SOL has fallen below its uptrend line, suggesting bearish momentum. A close below the line could trigger a decline to $155, where bulls are expected to defend the level. A drop below $133 could indicate further bearish pressure. A break above $196 (20-day EMA) would indicate strength.

SOL 已跌破其上升趋势线，表明看跌势头。收盘价跌破该线可能会引发跌至 155 美元，预计多头将守住该水平。跌破 133 美元可能表明进一步的看跌压力。突破 196 美元（20 日均线）将表明强势。

Dogecoin

狗狗币

DOGE has declined from its 20-day EMA, with strong support at $0.30. A breach of this level could lead to a drop to $0.27. A rebound from $0.30 would suggest bullish buying, while a break above the 20-day EMA could signal a potential trading range between $0.30 and $0.40.

DOGE 已从 20 日均线下跌，强劲支撑位为 0.30 美元。突破该水平可能会导致跌至 0.27 美元。从 0.30 美元反弹将表明看涨买盘，而突破 20 日均线可能预示着潜在的交易区间在 0.30 美元至 0.40 美元之间。

Cardano

卡尔达诺

ADA has failed to recover from the uptrend line, facing negative sentiment. Bulls will attempt to defend the line and push the pair above $1.01 (50-day SMA), while bears aim to break below the line and target $0.80 or $0.76. A breakout above the triangle would indicate bullish control.

ADA 未能从上升趋势线恢复，面临负面情绪。多头将尝试守住该线，并将该货币对推至 1.01 美元（50 日移动平均线）上方，而空头则旨在跌破该线，目标为 0.80 美元或 0.76 美元。突破三角形上方将表明看涨控制。

Avalanche

雪崩

AVAX has broken below $34.87, indicating bearish dominance. Support exists at $33.60, but a drop below could lead to a decline to $30.50 or $22.35. Bulls face resistance at $38.67 (20-day EMA) and $45. A break above $45 would signal a potential end to the correction.

AVAX 已跌破 34.87 美元，表明看跌占据主导地位。支撑位为 33.60 美元，但跌破可能导致跌至 30.50 美元或 22.35 美元。多头面临 38.67 美元（20 日均线）和 45 美元的阻力。突破 45 美元将预示着调整可能结束。

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or recommendations.

免责声明：本文仅供参考，不应被视为投资建议或建议。