Bitcoin has been trading between $25,333 and $26,156 since Sept. 1. Typically, a volatility squeeze is followed by an expansion in volatility. Still, it is difficult to predict the direction of the breakout with certainty.
自 9 月 1 日以来,比特币的交易价格一直在 25,333 美元至 26,156 美元之间。通常,波动性紧缩之后会出现波动性扩大。尽管如此,仍然很难准确预测突破的方向。
CoinGlass data shows that Bitcoin has fallen for six consecutive years in September. This historical data could soon keep the bulls at bay and encourage the bears. Additionally, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which has an inverse correlation with Bitcoin, has risen sharply in the past few weeks. Both these suggest that Bitcoin could remain under pressure in the short term.
CoinGlass数据显示,9月份比特币已连续六年下跌。这一历史数据可能很快就会阻止多头并鼓励空头。此外,与比特币呈负相关的美元指数(DXY)在过去几周大幅上涨。这两项都表明比特币短期内可能仍面临压力。
It is not all gloom and doom for the crypto bulls because lower levels will likely attract buyers. The prospect of one or more Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund applications receiving approvals may limit the downside. Several analysts believe this event to be hugely bullish for Bitcoin. Any positive news in this regard may prop prices higher.
对于加密货币多头来说,这并不全是悲观和厄运,因为较低的水平可能会吸引买家。一项或多项比特币现货交易所交易基金申请获得批准的前景可能会限制下行空间。一些分析师认为这一事件对比特币来说非常利多。这方面的任何积极消息都可能会推高价格。
From a macro perspective, there may be a near-term weakness, but lower levels are likely to be purchased. What are the essential support levels to watch out for? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
从宏观角度来看,近期可能会出现疲软,但可能会出现较低水平的买入。需要注意的基本支撑位有哪些?让我们研究一下排名前十的加密货币的图表来找出答案。
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Bitcoin price analysis
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Bitcoin has been trading below $26,000 for the past two days, and the bears are trying to tug the price toward the vital support at $24,800.
过去两天,比特币的交易价格一直低于 26,000 美元,空头正试图将价格拉向 24,800 美元的重要支撑位。
The downsloping moving averages indicate an advantage to sellers, but the positive divergence on the relative strength index (RSI) suggests that the bearish momentum could weaken.
向下倾斜的移动平均线表明卖家有优势,但相对强弱指数(RSI)的正背离表明看跌势头可能减弱。
Buyers must drive and sustain the price above $26,833 to start a relief rally to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($28,048). Such a move will suggest that the price may remain in the extensive range between $24,800 and $31,000.
买家必须推动并维持价格高于 26,833 美元,才能开始反弹至 50 日简单移动平均线 (SMA)(28,048 美元)。这一举措表明价格可能会保持在 24,800 美元至 31,000 美元之间的广泛区间内。
Meanwhile, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to sink the price below the $24,800–$24,000 support zone. If they manage to do that, the selling could accelerate, and the BTC/USDT pair may plunge to $20,000.
与此同时,空头可能还有其他计划。他们将尝试将价格压低至 24,800 美元至 24,000 美元的支撑区域以下。如果他们成功做到这一点,抛售可能会加速,BTC/USDT 货币对可能会暴跌至 20,000 美元。
Ether price analysis
以太币价格分析
The long tail on Ether’s Sept. 4 and 5 candlestick shows that the bulls are buying the dips below the immediate support at $1,626. However, there is no follow-up buying at higher levels.
以太坊 9 月 4 日和 5 日烛台上的长尾表明,多头正在低于直接支撑位 1,626 美元的逢低买入。不过,较高位并无后续买盘。
This means that the bears are selling on rallies near $1,650. This narrow-range trading is unlikely to continue for long. If the price plummets and maintains below $1,600, it will indicate that bears have seized control. There is minor support at $1,550, but if it crumbles, the ETH/USDT pair could nosedive to $1,368.
这意味着空头在 1,650 美元附近逢高抛售。这种窄幅交易不太可能持续很长时间。如果价格暴跌并维持在 1,600 美元以下,则表明空头已夺取控制权。 1,550 美元有小支撑,但如果该支撑位崩溃,ETH/USDT 货币对可能会暴跌至 1,368 美元。
On the upside, the bears are expected to fiercely defend the zone between $1,650 and the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($1,674). If buyers overcome this barrier, the pair could soar to the 50-day SMA ($1,772).
从好的方面来看,空头预计将激烈捍卫 1,650 美元和 20 日指数移动平均线 (EMA)(1,674 美元)之间的区域。如果买家克服这一障碍,该货币对可能会飙升至 50 日移动平均线(1,772 美元)。
BNB price analysis
BNB价格分析
BNB has been trading below the critical level of $220 for the past few days, but the bears have failed to capitalize on this opportunity.
过去几天,BNB 的交易价格一直低于 220 美元的关键水平,但空头未能利用这一机会。
This suggests that selling dries up at lower levels. That could keep the BNB/USDT pair stuck between $220 and $200 for some time. A tight consolidation below the breakdown level increases the possibility of a further slide. If the $200 support cracks, the pair could resume its downtrend. The next significant support on the downside is $183.
这表明抛售在较低水平上枯竭。这可能会使 BNB/USDT 货币对在一段时间内徘徊在 220 美元至 200 美元之间。低于突破水平的紧密盘整增加了进一步下滑的可能性。如果 200 美元支撑位破裂,该货币对可能会恢复下跌趋势。下一个重要的下行支撑位是 183 美元。
Buyers must kick the price above $220 if they want to launch a comeback. That will indicate solid buying at lower levels. The pair may then attempt a rally to the downtrend line.
买家如果想卷土重来,必须将价格提高到 220 美元以上。这将表明较低水平的强劲买盘。然后该货币对可能会尝试反弹至下降趋势线。
XRP price analysis
瑞波币价格分析
XRP has been clinging to the $0.50 support for the past few days. The failure to start a strong rebound off it increases the likelihood of a downside breakdown.
过去几天,XRP 一直坚守在 0.50 美元的支撑位。未能开始强劲反弹会增加下行崩溃的可能性。
A break and close below $0.50 will indicate that the XRP/USDT pair may extend its stay inside the $0.56–$0.41 range for a few more days. There is no significant support between $0.50 and $0.41, so the fall may be swift.
突破并收于 0.50 美元下方将表明 XRP/USDT 货币对可能会在 0.56 美元至 0.41 美元区间内再停留几天。 0.50 美元至 0.41 美元之间没有重大支撑,因此下跌可能会很快。
Another possibility is that the price rises from the current level and rises above the 20-day EMA ($0.52). If that happens, the pair may climb to $0.56, a critical level to watch.
另一种可能性是价格从当前水平上涨并升至 20 日均线(0.52 美元)上方。如果发生这种情况,该货币对可能会攀升至 0.56 美元,这是值得关注的关键水平。
Cardano price analysis
卡尔达诺价格分析
Cardano’s ADA has been trading inside a tight range for the past few days. This suggests that the bulls and the bears are playing it safe and not waging large bets.
过去几天,卡尔达诺的 ADA 一直在窄幅波动。这表明多头和空头都在谨慎行事,没有下大赌注。
The downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have a slight edge. If the price breaks below $0.25, the bears will try to sink the ADA/USDT pair to $0.24.
向下倾斜的移动平均线和 RSI 处于负值区域表明空头有轻微优势。如果价格跌破 0.25 美元,空头将试图将 ADA/USDT 货币对跌至 0.24 美元。
Contrarily, a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($0.26) will be the first sign of strength. That will pave the way for a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.28). Buyers will have to clear this hurdle to start a sustained recovery.
相反,突破并收盘于 20 日均线(0.26 美元)之上将是强势的第一个迹象。这将为反弹至 50 日移动平均线(0.28 美元)铺平道路。买家必须清除这一障碍才能开始持续复苏。
Dogecoin price analysis
狗狗币价格分析
Dogecoin reached the 20-day EMA ($0.06) on Sept. 6, indicating that the bulls are attempting to start a relief rally.
狗狗币于 9 月 6 日触及 20 日均线(0.06 美元),表明多头正试图开始缓解反弹。
However, the bears are unlikely to give up easily and will mount a vigorous defence at the 20-day EMA. If the price drops sharply, the bears will try to strengthen their position by pulling the DOGE/USDT pair below $0.06. The pair may decline to the next support at $0.055 if they succeed.
然而,空头不太可能轻易放弃,并将在 20 日均线处展开强有力的防御。如果价格大幅下跌,空头将试图通过将 DOGE/USDT 货币对拉至 0.06 美元以下来巩固自己的头寸。如果成功,该货币对可能会跌至下一个支撑位 0.055 美元。
On the upside, a break and close above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that the selling pressure is reducing. That may start a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.07) and later to $0.08.
从好的方面来看,突破并收于 20 日均线上方将是抛售压力正在减轻的第一个迹象。这可能会开始反弹至 50 日移动平均线(0.07 美元),然后升至 0.08 美元。
Solana price analysis
Solana 价格分析
SOL’s recovery attempt is facing strong selling at the downtrend line. This indicates that the bears are defending this level aggressively.
SOL 的复苏尝试面临着下降趋势线的强劲抛售。这表明空头正在积极捍卫这一水平。
If the price skids below $19, the SOL/USDT pair could resume its downtrend. The first support on the downside is $18, and the next is $16. Buyers are expected to defend this level with vigour.
如果价格跌破 19 美元,SOL/USDT 货币对可能会恢复下跌趋势。下行的第一个支撑位是 18 美元,下一个支撑位是 16 美元。预计买家将大力捍卫这一水平。
The first strength indication will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($20.69). That could start a more substantial recovery to the 50-day SMA ($22.70). This level may again act as a roadblock, but if bulls clear it, the pair could attempt a rally to $25.42.
第一个强势指标将是突破并收盘于 20 日均线(20.69 美元)上方。这可能会开始更大幅度地反弹至 50 日移动平均线(22.70 美元)。该水平可能再次成为障碍,但如果多头清除该水平,该货币对可能会尝试反弹至 25.42 美元。
Toncoin price analysis
通币价格分析
The sharp rise in Toncoin (TON) pushed the RSI into the overbought territory, indicating that the rally had run ahead. That typically leads to a correction or consolidation, and that is what happened.
Toncoin (TON) 的大幅上涨将 RSI 推入超买区域,表明反弹已经开始。这通常会导致修正或整合,而这就是所发生的事情。
Profit-booking by the bears has pulled the price toward the 20-day EMA ($1.64). This remains the critical support to watch out for. If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips. That could propel the price to $2.07. If this level gives way, the rally could stretch to $2.38.
空头的获利盘将价格拉向 20 日均线(1.64 美元)。这仍然是值得关注的关键支撑。如果价格从 20 日均线反弹,则表明市场情绪依然乐观,交易者逢低买入。这可能会将价格推高至 2.07 美元。如果该水平回落,反弹可能会延伸至 2.38 美元。
Alternatively, if the 20-day EMA cracks, it will suggest that the bulls are losing their grip. The TON/USDT pair may slump to $1.53 and later to the 50-day SMA ($1.42).
或者,如果 20 日均线破裂,则表明多头正在失去控制。 TON/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 1.53 美元,然后跌至 50 日移动平均线(1.42 美元)。
Polkadot price analysis
波卡价格分析
Buyers are struggling to start a strong rebound in Polkadot’s DOT, indicating that the bears have kept up the pressure.
买家正在努力启动 Polkadot 的 DOT 强劲反弹,这表明空头一直在施加压力。
The downsloping moving averages and the RSI near the oversold zone increase the likelihood of a downward breakdown. If the $4.22 level gives way, the DOT/USDT pair could skid to the next significant support at $4.
向下倾斜的移动平均线和超卖区域附近的 RSI 增加了向下崩溃的可能性。如果 4.22 美元的水平失守,DOT/USDT 货币对可能会滑至下一个重要支撑位 4 美元。
Contrary to this assumption, if the price rises from the current level, the bears will try to halt the recovery at the 20-day EMA ($4.44) and again at the downtrend line. Buyers will have to clear this barrier to indicate a potential trend change.
与这一假设相反,如果价格从当前水平上涨,空头将试图在 20 日均线(4.44 美元)处阻止反弹,并再次在下降趋势线处阻止反弹。买家必须清除这一障碍才能表明潜在的趋势变化。
Polygon price analysis
多边形价格分析
Polygon’s MATIC reached the 20-day EMA ($0.57) on Sept. 5, but the bulls could not clear this hurdle. This suggests that demand dries up at higher levels.
Polygon 的 MATIC 于 9 月 5 日达到 20 日均线(0.57 美元),但多头无法清除这一障碍。这表明需求在较高水平上枯竭。
The bears will try to sink the price to the crucial support at $0.50. This remains the critical level to watch out for soon because a break below it will resume the downtrend. The MATIC/USDT pair then risks a further slide to $0.45.
空头将试图将价格压低至 0.50 美元的关键支撑位。这仍然是近期需要关注的关键水平,因为跌破该水平将恢复下降趋势。随后,MATIC/USDT 货币对可能进一步下滑至 0.45 美元。
Bulls must push the price above the 20-day EMA quickly if they want to prevent the downside. That could start a more robust recovery to the overhead resistance at $0.60 and then $0.64. This level is again likely to witness solid selling by the bears.
如果多头想阻止下跌,就必须迅速将价格推升至 20 日均线上方。这可能会开始更强劲地反弹至上方阻力位 0.60 美元,然后是 0.64 美元。这一水平可能会再次见证空头的强劲抛售。
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资料来源:https://thebittimes.com/top-crypto-analysis-6th-sep-btc-eth-bnb-xrp-ada-doge-sol-ton-dot-matic-tbt61939.html